Short Trade on QQQ
The 18 Nov 2025 at 09:35:21
With 10.2376 QQQ at 602.68$ per unit.
Position size of 6169.9884 $
Take profit at 601.1171 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 603.4614 (0.13 %)
That's a 2 RR TradePosition size of 6169.9884 $
Take profit at 601.1171 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 603.4614 (0.13 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.9 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.92 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.303403 15m : 0.052366 1H : 0.001784 |
2 |
Indicators:
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 09:35:21 |
18 Nov 2025 09:40:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.68 | 603.4614 | 601.1171 | 2 | 596.62 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 603.4614 - 602.68 = 0.78140000000008
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 602.68 - 601.1171 = 1.5628999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5628999999999 / 0.78140000000008 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6169.9884 | 100 | 10.2376 | 61.70 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.78140000000008 = 10.24
Taille de position USD = 10.24 x 602.68 = 6171.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 10.24 avec un stoploss a 603.4614
Avec un position size USD de 6171.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10.24 x 0.78140000000008 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10.24 x 1.5628999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 601.1172
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 600.7265
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 600.3358
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 599.9451
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 599.5544
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 599.1637
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 598.773
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 598.3823
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 597.9916
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 597.6009
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 597.2102
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 9.0999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 601.60000000
[low] => 593.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.51
[mae_pct] => -0.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T09:35:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T11:35:21-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 9.0999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.19000000000005
[rr_ratio] => 47.89
[high] => 602.87000000
[low] => 593.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.51
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 47.89
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T09:35:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T16:35:21-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 604.00000000
[high_after] => 602.87000000
[low_before] => 599.33000000
[low_after] => 593.58000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)