Short Trade on QQQ 18 Nov 2025 at 09:35:21
Take profit at 601.1171 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 603.4614 (0.13 %)
Short Trade on QQQ 18 Nov 2025 at 09:35:21
Take profit at 601.1171 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 603.4614 (0.13 %)
Position size of 6169.9884 $
Take profit at 601.1171 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 603.4614 (0.13 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.9 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.92 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.303403 15m : 0.052366 1H : 0.001784 |
2 |
Indicators:
91093.8
0.0106955
92068.1
0.303403
91711.4
0.00363547
92044.9
0.052366
94014.3
-0.0207016
92068.1
0.001784
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
[1] => 611.67
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
[1] => 611.67
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 611.67
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 610.31
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 02:00:00
[1] => 620.91
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 598.1
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
[1] => 608.51
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
[1] => 597.51
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 04:00:00
[1] => 604.67
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:00:00
[1] => 599.33
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61190401375956
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27363889676806
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.89099494435452
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:30:00
[1] => 598.1
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:00:00
[1] => 608.08
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:45:00
[1] => 602.8
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
[1] => 608.51
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 23:30:00
[1] => 599.2
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 02:15:00
[1] => 597.51
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 04:15:00
[1] => 604.67
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 06:45:00
[1] => 600.81
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:15:00
[1] => 599.33
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:30:00
[1] => 602.68
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28373266078183
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27363889676806
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55895750254449
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 05:25:00
[1] => 601.39
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 05:55:00
[1] => 604
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 06:05:00
[1] => 604
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 06:50:00
[1] => 600.81
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 07:20:00
[1] => 600.91
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 07:40:00
[1] => 602.13
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 07:55:00
[1] => 601.09
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 08:30:00
[1] => 602.22
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:15:00
[1] => 599.33
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:30:00
[1] => 602.68
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28373266078183
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27363889676806
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55895750254449
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 05:25:00 | 601.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 05:55:00 | 604 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 06:05:00 | 604 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 06:50:00 | 600.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 07:20:00 | 600.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 07:40:00 | 602.13 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 07:55:00 | 601.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 08:30:00 | 602.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 09:15:00 | 599.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 09:30:00 | 602.68 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 15:30:00 | 598.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 18:00:00 | 608.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 18:45:00 | 602.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 21:00:00 | 608.51 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 23:30:00 | 599.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 02:15:00 | 597.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 04:15:00 | 604.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 06:45:00 | 600.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 09:15:00 | 599.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 09:30:00 | 602.68 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 09:00:00 | 611.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 11:00:00 | 611.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 611.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 610.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 02:00:00 | 620.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 598.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 21:00:00 | 608.51 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 02:00:00 | 597.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 04:00:00 | 604.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 09:00:00 | 599.33 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 09:35:21 |
18 Nov 2025 09:40:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.68 | 603.4614 | 601.1171 | 2 | 605.59 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 603.4614 - 602.68 = 0.78140000000008
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 602.68 - 601.1171 = 1.5628999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5628999999999 / 0.78140000000008 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6169.9884 | 100 | 10.2376 | 61.70 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.78140000000008 = 10.24
Taille de position USD = 10.24 x 602.68 = 6171.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 10.24 avec un stoploss a 603.4614
Avec un position size USD de 6171.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10.24 x 0.78140000000008 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10.24 x 1.5628999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 601.1172
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 600.7265
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 600.3358
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 599.9451
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 599.5544
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 599.1637
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 598.773
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 598.3823
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 597.9916
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 597.6009
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:45:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 597.2102
[stop_loss] => 603.4614
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 09:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 9.0999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 601.60000000
[low] => 593.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.51
[mae_pct] => -0.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T09:35:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T11:35:21-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 9.0999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.19000000000005
[rr_ratio] => 47.89
[high] => 602.87000000
[low] => 593.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.51
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 47.89
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T09:35:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T16:35:21-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 604.00000000
[high_after] => 602.87000000
[low_before] => 599.33000000
[low_after] => 593.58000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)