Short Trade on ALCH 18 Nov 2025 at 15:49:46
Take profit at 0.1505 (1.83 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1547 (0.91 %)
Short Trade on ALCH 18 Nov 2025 at 15:49:46
Take profit at 0.1505 (1.83 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1547 (0.91 %)
Position size of 866.3462 $
Take profit at 0.1505 (1.83 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1547 (0.91 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.380593 15m : -0.030549 1H : 0.009993 |
1 |
Indicators:
92721.3
-0.000385222
92685.6
0.380593
91925.2
0.0082719
92685.6
-0.030549
93851.6
-0.0124238
92685.6
0.009993
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
[1] => 0.15998
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 0.16661
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 00:00:00
[1] => 0.15772
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:00:00
[1] => 0.16373
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1494
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 0.16182
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
[1] => 0.15321
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 00:00:00
[1] => 0.16137
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 10:00:00
[1] => 0.14889
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.15513
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1861019789854
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.955201826852
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1910134998993
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
[1] => 0.15321
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 00:30:00
[1] => 0.16137
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 01:45:00
[1] => 0.15664
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 02:15:00
[1] => 0.16056
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 05:15:00
[1] => 0.1505
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 07:00:00
[1] => 0.14925
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 08:15:00
[1] => 0.15288
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 10:00:00
[1] => 0.14889
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.15513
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 15:30:00
[1] => 0.15387
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37694157405602
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9275498556369
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81887307467341
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 08:35:00
[1] => 0.14982
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 08:50:00
[1] => 0.15213
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:20:00
[1] => 0.14927
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:30:00
[1] => 0.15231
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 10:05:00
[1] => 0.14889
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:05:00
[1] => 0.15513
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 12:25:00
[1] => 0.15069
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 12:50:00
[1] => 0.15342
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 15:30:00
[1] => 0.14893
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 15:35:00
[1] => 0.15387
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37694157405602
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9275498556369
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3169945612032
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 08:35:00 | 0.14982 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 08:50:00 | 0.15213 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 09:20:00 | 0.14927 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 09:30:00 | 0.15231 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 10:05:00 | 0.14889 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:05:00 | 0.15513 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 12:25:00 | 0.15069 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 12:50:00 | 0.15342 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 15:30:00 | 0.14893 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 15:35:00 | 0.15387 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 21:00:00 | 0.15321 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 00:30:00 | 0.16137 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 01:45:00 | 0.15664 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 02:15:00 | 0.16056 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 05:15:00 | 0.1505 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 07:00:00 | 0.14925 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 08:15:00 | 0.15288 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 10:00:00 | 0.14889 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 0.15513 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 15:30:00 | 0.15387 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 05:00:00 | 0.15998 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 0.16661 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 00:00:00 | 0.15772 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 09:00:00 | 0.16373 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 11:00:00 | 0.1494 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 0.16182 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 21:00:00 | 0.15321 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 00:00:00 | 0.16137 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 10:00:00 | 0.14889 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 0.15513 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 15:49:46 |
18 Nov 2025 17:15:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1533 | 0.1547 | 0.1505 | 2 | 0.08118 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1547 - 0.1533 = 0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1533 - 0.1505 = 0.0028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0028 / 0.0014 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 866.3462 | 100 | 5651.6809 | 8.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0014 = 5714.29
Taille de position USD = 5714.29 x 0.1533 = 876
Donc, tu peux acheter 5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.1547
Avec un position size USD de 876$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0028 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.83 % | 15.82 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.82 $ | 1.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6393 % | 70.01 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1505
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 17:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1498
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 17:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1491
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1484
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1477
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.147
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1463
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1456
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1449
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1442
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1435
[stop_loss] => 0.1547
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00357
[max_drawdown] => 0.00098000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 3.64
[high] => 0.15428000
[low] => 0.14973000
[mfe_pct] => 2.33
[mae_pct] => 0.64
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.64
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T15:49:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T17:49:46-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00387
[max_drawdown] => 0.00149
[rr_ratio] => 2.6
[high] => 0.15479000
[low] => 0.14943000
[mfe_pct] => 2.52
[mae_pct] => 0.97
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.6
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T15:49:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T22:49:46-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.15387000
[high_after] => 0.15479000
[low_before] => 0.14893000
[low_after] => 0.14954000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)