Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 17:08:49

Take profit at 205.959 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 202.4355 (0.58 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 17:08:49

With 6.8113 MSTR at 203.61$ per unit.

Position size of 1386.847 $

Take profit at 205.959 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 202.4355 (0.58 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 5.1
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.51
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.635062

15m : -0.258498

1H : 0.084657

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.7830135794
Details
  1. score: 2.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 204.872
  4. ema21 : 201.69
  5. ema50 : 199.725
  6. ema100 : 199.617
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00616084
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0157763
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00983653
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0200001
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.503668
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.311903
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.125684
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0533817
  17. rsi : 0.555029
  18. adx : 0.301973
  19. kc_percentage : 0.616609
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0731717
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.835759
  22. volume_ema1 : 368175.56906757
  23. volume_ema2 : 2241688.9290771
  24. chop : 29.3836
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 205.807
  29. ema21 : 206.799
  30. ema50 : 203.995
  31. ema100 : 200.829
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0106785
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00479468
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0137455
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0138445
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.179491
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0211444
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0786216
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0733222
  42. rsi : 0.415788
  43. adx : 0.328795
  44. kc_percentage : 0.063536
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0362704
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.64854
  47. volume_ema1 : 56582.10072211
  48. volume_ema2 : 160991.60907753
  49. chop : 43.3202
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 204.06
  54. ema21 : 205.554
  55. ema50 : 207.138
  56. ema100 : 206.132
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00220621
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00727093
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0076442
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0122378
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.152449
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.142612
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0786787
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.02382
  67. rsi : 0.323056
  68. adx : 0.373087
  69. kc_percentage : -0.166907
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0134844
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.918329
  72. volume_ema1 : 3061.5849725399
  73. volume_ema2 : 37487.04259563
  74. chop : 43.6796
  75. regime : bear_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92724.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00100403
  81. 5m_price:
    92631.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.635062
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92048
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00633696
  86. 15m_price:
    92631.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.258498
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93796.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0124251
  91. 1H_price:
    92631.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.084657
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 190
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                        [1] => 207.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 189.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 198.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7705907113793
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.43407487791645
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 03:30:00
                        [1] => 195.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                        [1] => 192.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                        [1] => 195.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 193.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 197.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 213.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7705907113793
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.43407487791645
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:10:00
                        [1] => 211.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:05:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:25:00
                        [1] => 210.13
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                        [1] => 209.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                        [1] => 212.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                        [1] => 209.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                        [1] => 212
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                        [1] => 203.42
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.9575471698113
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.093402811916245
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.34035416563903
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.96%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.09%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2945
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.8510
3.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 12:10:00 211.96 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:05:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 13:25:00 210.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.77%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.43%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.8255
7.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.8510
3.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:30:00 195.48 ↑ High
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.77%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.43%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.8255
7.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.8510
3.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
17:08:49
18 Nov 2025
17:40:00
31 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
203.61 202.4355 205.959 2 130.97
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 203.61
  • Stop Loss: 202.4355
  • Take Profit: 205.959

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 202.4355 - 203.61 = -1.1745

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 203.61 - 205.959 = -2.349

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.349 / -1.1745 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1386.847 100 6.8113 13.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.1745

Taille de position = 8 / -1.1745 = -6.81

Taille de position USD = -6.81 x 203.61 = -1386.58

Donc, tu peux acheter -6.81 avec un stoploss a 202.4355

Avec un position size USD de -1386.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -6.81 x -1.1745 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -6.81 x -2.349 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -6.81
  • Taille de position USD -1386.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.58 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.959
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 206.54625
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.1335
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 207.72075
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.308
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 208.89525
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 209.4825
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 210.06975
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 210.657
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 211.24425
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 211.8315
            [stop_loss] => 202.4355
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.66
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 206.27000000
            [low] => 203.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.31
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T17:08:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T19:08:49-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.6
            [max_drawdown] => 2.5
            [rr_ratio] => 1.84
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 201.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.26
            [mae_pct] => 1.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.84
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T17:08:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T00:08:49-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 213.81000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 202.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)