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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 19:05:13

Take profit at 205.8488 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 204.2156 (0.27 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 19:05:13

With 14.6949 MSTR at 204.76$ per unit.

Position size of 3008.9338 $

Take profit at 205.8488 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 204.2156 (0.27 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.47
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.552492

15m : 0.092341

1H : 0.113435

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.3629369764
Details
  1. score: 2.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 205.222
  4. ema21 : 202.443
  5. ema50 : 200.207
  6. ema100 : 199.8
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0022553
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0137278
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0111684
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0248242
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.503732
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.346535
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.155551
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0720611
  17. rsi : 0.566132
  18. adx : 0.272993
  19. kc_percentage : 0.65506
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0672177
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.610211
  22. volume_ema1 : 174293.2412967
  23. volume_ema2 : 447148.79596164
  24. chop : 32.1531
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 205.478
  28. ema21 : 206.108
  29. ema50 : 204.414
  30. ema100 : 201.483
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.00349602
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00305517
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00828499
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0162625
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.131184
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0837198
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.0160988
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.0398977
  41. rsi : 0.454048
  42. adx : 0.202039
  43. kc_percentage : 0.233806
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0245596
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.943905
  46. volume_ema1 : 6544.4762698055
  47. volume_ema2 : 116669.22939125
  48. chop : 50.538
  49. regime : bull_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 205.306
  52. ema21 : 205.44
  53. ema50 : 206.234
  54. ema100 : 207.104
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.0026619
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000654475
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00384796
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0113217
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.00818735
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00459873
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0203168
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0183041
  65. rsi : 0.396473
  66. adx : 0.195203
  67. kc_percentage : -0.0646791
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00576212
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.937398
  70. volume_ema1 : 1133.9368896839
  71. volume_ema2 : 18113.598012241
  72. chop : 56.7217
  73. regime : bear_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92991.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00344434
  78. 5m_price: 
    92671.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.552492
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92195.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00515916
  83. 15m_price: 
    92671.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.092341
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93676
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0107246
  88. 1H_price: 
    92671.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.113435
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3028857396754
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92734178463968
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                    [1] => 192.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 195.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                    [1] => 193.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 197.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                    [1] => 213.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 204.61
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.80477044650216
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81129954547676
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                    [1] => 209.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                    [1] => 212.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                    [1] => 209.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                    [1] => 212
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                    [1] => 203.42
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                    [1] => 204.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                    [1] => 206.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:05:00
                    [1] => 204.61
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.71813285457809
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72332730560578
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.72%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4856
0.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.8312
3.32%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:05:00 204.61 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.81%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.7356
5.75%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.9612
3.87%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:00:00 204.61 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.93%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.6056
8.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.9612
3.87%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
19:05:13		 18 Nov 2025
19:15:00		 9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
204.76 204.2156 205.8488 2 132.98
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 204.76
  • Stop Loss: 204.2156
  • Take Profit: 205.8488

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 204.2156 - 204.76 = -0.5444

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 204.76 - 205.8488 = -1.0888

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0888 / -0.5444 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3008.9338 100 14.6949 30.09
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.5444

Taille de position = 8 / -0.5444 = -14.7

Taille de position USD = -14.7 x 204.76 = -3009.97

Donc, tu peux acheter -14.7 avec un stoploss a 204.2156

Avec un position size USD de -3009.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -14.7 x -0.5444 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -14.7 x -1.0888 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -14.7
  • Taille de position USD -3009.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.53 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3419 % 128.58 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.8488
            [entry_price] => 204.76
            [stop_loss] => 204.16116
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.8488
            [entry_price] => 204.76
            [stop_loss] => 204.10672
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.8488
            [entry_price] => 204.76
            [stop_loss] => 204.05228
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 19:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.8488
            [entry_price] => 204.76
            [stop_loss] => 203.9434
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 19:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.24000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 2.62
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 205.00000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.12
            [mae_pct] => 1.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:05:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T21:05:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.45
            [max_drawdown] => 5.18
            [rr_ratio] => 0.67
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.68
            [mae_pct] => 2.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:05:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T02:05:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 212.00000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)