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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 19:16:30

Take profit at 205.2876 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 203.7312 (0.25 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 19:16:30

With 15.4197 MSTR at 204.25$ per unit.

Position size of 3149.4741 $

Take profit at 205.2876 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 203.7312 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.82
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.558465

15m : -0.022627

1H : -0.046356

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.34
  4. atr: 0.3458778492
Details
  1. score: 2.34
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 205.12
  4. ema21 : 202.397
  5. ema50 : 200.187
  6. ema100 : 199.79
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00424549
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0134561
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0110378
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0223233
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.49934
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.344547
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.154703
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0716362
  17. rsi : 0.555216
  18. adx : 0.271627
  19. kc_percentage : 0.61976
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0683843
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.609303
  22. volume_ema1 : 174719.03253003
  23. volume_ema2 : 447198.88904791
  24. chop : 32.182
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 205.151
  28. ema21 : 205.896
  29. ema50 : 204.388
  30. ema100 : 201.528
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.0043923
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00362271
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00737896
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0135055
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.105112
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0763051
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.015404
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.039054
  41. rsi : 0.438636
  42. adx : 0.201538
  43. kc_percentage : 0.154184
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0230578
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.958516
  46. volume_ema1 : 4646.8450020925
  47. volume_ema2 : 112018.01600815
  48. chop : 65.7298
  49. regime : bull_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 204.906
  52. ema21 : 205.223
  53. ema50 : 206.083
  54. ema100 : 207.04
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.00320615
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00154006
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0041739
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0134774
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0182941
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0099931
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0216409
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0195108
  65. rsi : 0.351213
  66. adx : 0.227473
  67. kc_percentage : -0.338894
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00555129
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.953554
  70. volume_ema1 : 780.55775097063
  71. volume_ema2 : 16805.894156832
  72. chop : 45.7678
  73. regime : bear_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92941.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00524912
  78. 5m_price: 
    92453.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.558465
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92205.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00268843
  83. 15m_price: 
    92453.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.022627
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93671.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0130032
  88. 1H_price: 
    92453.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.046356
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5601234741125
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.6560449859419
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                    [1] => 192.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 195.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                    [1] => 193.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 197.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                    [1] => 213.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
                    [1] => 204.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0714112570902
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0830147995688
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                    [1] => 209.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                    [1] => 212.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                    [1] => 209.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                    [1] => 212
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                    [1] => 203.42
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                    [1] => 204.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                    [1] => 206.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
                    [1] => 204.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.98500655053617
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.99480544937763
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0012
0.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.3924
3.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:15:00 204.06 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.2512
5.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.5224
4.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:15:00 204.06 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.66%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.1212
7.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.5224
4.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
19:16:30		 18 Nov 2025
19:35:00		 18 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
204.25 203.7312 205.2876 2 133.64
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 204.25
  • Stop Loss: 203.7312
  • Take Profit: 205.2876

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 203.7312 - 204.25 = -0.5188

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 204.25 - 205.2876 = -1.0376

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0376 / -0.5188 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3149.4741 100 15.4197 31.49
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.5188

Taille de position = 8 / -0.5188 = -15.42

Taille de position USD = -15.42 x 204.25 = -3149.54

Donc, tu peux acheter -15.42 avec un stoploss a 203.7312

Avec un position size USD de -3149.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -15.42 x -0.5188 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -15.42 x -1.0376 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -15.42
  • Taille de position USD -3149.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3035 % 119.49 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.2876
            [entry_price] => 204.25
            [stop_loss] => 203.67932
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.2876
            [entry_price] => 204.25
            [stop_loss] => 203.62744
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.2876
            [entry_price] => 204.25
            [stop_loss] => 203.57556
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.2876
            [entry_price] => 204.25
            [stop_loss] => 203.4718
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.47
            [max_drawdown] => 2.11
            [rr_ratio] => 1.64
            [high] => 207.72000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.7
            [mae_pct] => 1.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.64
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:16:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T21:16:30-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.96
            [max_drawdown] => 4.67
            [rr_ratio] => 0.85
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.94
            [mae_pct] => 2.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:16:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T02:16:30-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 212.00000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)