Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 19:26:55

Take profit at 205.0133 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 203.5534 (0.24 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 19:26:55

With 16.439 MSTR at 204.04$ per unit.

Position size of 3354.2072 $

Take profit at 205.0133 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 203.5534 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.11
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.516068

15m : -0.046012

1H : -0.114891

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.38
  4. atr: 0.3244323534
Details
  1. score: 2.38
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 205.078
  4. ema21 : 202.378
  5. ema50 : 200.179
  6. ema100 : 199.785
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00506556
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0133441
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0109841
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0212934
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.497532
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.343729
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.154354
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0714613
  17. rsi : 0.550843
  18. adx : 0.270339
  19. kc_percentage : 0.605014
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0691997
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.602778
  22. volume_ema1 : 177779.92316336
  23. volume_ema2 : 447558.99382831
  24. chop : 32.2035
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 205.113
  29. ema21 : 205.879
  30. ema50 : 204.381
  31. ema100 : 201.524
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00523167
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00372369
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00733117
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0124824
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.106636
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0769978
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0150997
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0388977
  42. rsi : 0.432742
  43. adx : 0.202656
  44. kc_percentage : 0.119575
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.023454
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.9323
  47. volume_ema1 : 7607.0912687592
  48. volume_ema2 : 112366.28027482
  49. chop : 65.7497
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 204.565
  54. ema21 : 205.001
  55. ema50 : 205.999
  56. ema100 : 207.525
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00257001
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0021245
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00484513
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0167951
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0365204
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0202614
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0272723
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0279458
  67. rsi : 0.336187
  68. adx : 0.266703
  69. kc_percentage : -0.380229
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00519667
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.887999
  72. volume_ema1 : 1735.3435856166
  73. volume_ema2 : 15494.066787129
  74. chop : 36.0494
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92954.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0078879
  81. 5m_price:
    92221
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.516068
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92196.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00245062
  86. 15m_price:
    91970.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.046012
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93667.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0154389
  91. 1H_price:
    92221
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.114891
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 190
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                        [1] => 207.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 189.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 198.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7051120153407
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.5031322448577
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                        [1] => 192.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                        [1] => 195.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 193.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 197.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 213.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
                        [1] => 203.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2216997139671
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2368098159509
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                        [1] => 209.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                        [1] => 212.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                        [1] => 209.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                        [1] => 212
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                        [1] => 203.42
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                        [1] => 204.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                        [1] => 206.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 19:25:00
                        [1] => 203.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1354262700762
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1484662576687
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.15%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8234
0.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.6667
3.74%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:25:00 203.75 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.0734
5.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.7967
4.29%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:15:00 203.75 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.50%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.9434
7.83%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.7967
4.29%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
19:26:55
18 Nov 2025
20:00:00
33 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
204.04 203.5534 205.0133 2 133.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 204.04
  • Stop Loss: 203.5534
  • Take Profit: 205.0133

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 203.5534 - 204.04 = -0.48659999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 204.04 - 205.0133 = -0.97329999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.97329999999999 / -0.48659999999998 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3354.2072 100 16.439 33.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.48659999999998

Taille de position = 8 / -0.48659999999998 = -16.44

Taille de position USD = -16.44 x 204.04 = -3354.42

Donc, tu peux acheter -16.44 avec un stoploss a 203.5534

Avec un position size USD de -3354.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -16.44 x -0.48659999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -16.44 x -0.97329999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -16.44
  • Taille de position USD -3354.42
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.48 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3529 % 147.97 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.0133
            [entry_price] => 204.04
            [stop_loss] => 203.50474
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.0133
            [entry_price] => 204.04
            [stop_loss] => 203.45608
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.0133
            [entry_price] => 204.04
            [stop_loss] => 203.40742
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.0133
            [entry_price] => 204.04
            [stop_loss] => 203.3101
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.68
            [max_drawdown] => 1.9
            [rr_ratio] => 1.94
            [high] => 207.72000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.8
            [mae_pct] => 0.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:26:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T21:26:55-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.17
            [max_drawdown] => 4.46
            [rr_ratio] => 0.93
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.04
            [mae_pct] => 2.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:26:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T02:26:55-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 210.13000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)