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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 18 Nov 2025 at 19:43:47

Take profit at 4.1824 (1.59 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2838 (0.8 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 19:43:47

With 236.7389 AR at 4.25$ per unit.

Position size of 1006.1401 $

Take profit at 4.1824 (1.59 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2838 (0.8 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.99
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.718664

15m : -0.127656

1H : -0.029983

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.02252833956
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.24892
  4. ema21 : 4.26975
  5. ema50 : 4.31087
  6. ema100 : 4.36932
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000251965
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00487703
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00954001
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0273093
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0599865
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0539964
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0587034
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0547548
  17. rsi : 0.476143
  18. adx : 0.140842
  19. kc_percentage : 0.450278
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0868258
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.530056
  22. volume_ema1 : 142722.40577187
  23. volume_ema2 : 303701.11018786
  24. chop : 61.0763
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.19869
  28. ema21 : 4.22654
  29. ema50 : 4.25468
  30. ema100 : 4.26267
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.012219
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.006589
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00661418
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00297249
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.124714
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.108901
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0618831
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0310426
  41. rsi : 0.385216
  42. adx : 0.24799
  43. kc_percentage : 0.701044
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.029614
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.295951
  46. volume_ema1 : 33202.721423581
  47. volume_ema2 : 47159.738649472
  48. chop : 45.993
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.19518
  52. ema21 : 4.19875
  53. ema50 : 4.22173
  54. ema100 : 4.25857
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0130665
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000850073
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00544349
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00201279
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0443119
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0441799
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0418505
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0378505
  65. rsi : 0.611316
  66. adx : 0.291032
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0234
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0233251
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.822467
  70. volume_ema1 : 24241.919689239
  71. volume_ema2 : 13301.699316229
  72. chop : 20.747
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92993.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00464537
  78. 5m_price: 
    92562
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.718664
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92235
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00152362
  83. 15m_price: 
    92094.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.127656
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93673.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0118696
  88. 1H_price: 
    92562
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.029983
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 4.198
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.419
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4.209
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:00:00
                    [1] => 4.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
                    [1] => 4.574
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 4.17
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4.188
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
                    [1] => 4.412
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.123
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3544877606528
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4198399223866
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.0094591317002
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:15:00
                    [1] => 4.17
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:30:00
                    [1] => 4.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 05:00:00
                    [1] => 4.334
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                    [1] => 4.266
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:30:00
                    [1] => 4.188
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:30:00
                    [1] => 4.412
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4.304
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:45:00
                    [1] => 4.163
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
                    [1] => 4.123
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:30:00
                    [1] => 4.266
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046882325363333
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4198399223866
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.46834829008
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.288
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                    [1] => 4.239
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:10:00
                    [1] => 4.273
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                    [1] => 4.163
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 4.246
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:05:00
                    [1] => 4.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:15:00
                    [1] => 4.204
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:35:00
                    [1] => 4.227
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
                    [1] => 4.123
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:40:00
                    [1] => 4.266
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046882325363333
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4198399223866
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.46834829008
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0042
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0594
1.42%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 15:30:00 4.288 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 4.239 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:10:00 4.273 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:55:00 4.163 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 4.246 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:05:00 4.24 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:15:00 4.204 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:35:00 4.227 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:15:00 4.123 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 19:40:00 4.266 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.47%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1282
2.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0594
1.42%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:15:00 4.17 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:30:00 4.34 ↑ High
2025-11-18 05:00:00 4.334 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 4.266 ↑ High
2025-11-18 08:30:00 4.188 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 11:30:00 4.412 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 4.304 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:45:00 4.163 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 19:15:00 4.123 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 19:30:00 4.266 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.42%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2902
6.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0724
1.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 16:00:00 4.198 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 19:00:00 4.419 ↑ High
2025-11-17 08:00:00 4.209 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:00:00 4.47 ↑ High
2025-11-17 19:00:00 4.11 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 21:00:00 4.574 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 4.17 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 4.188 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 11:00:00 4.412 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:00:00 4.123 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
19:43:47		 18 Nov 2025
20:20:00		 36 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.25 4.2838 4.1824 2 1.643
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.25
  • Stop Loss: 4.2838
  • Take Profit: 4.1824

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2838 - 4.25 = 0.0338

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.25 - 4.1824 = 0.0676

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0676 / 0.0338 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1006.1401 100 236.7389 10.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0338

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0338 = 236.69

Taille de position USD = 236.69 x 4.25 = 1005.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 236.69 avec un stoploss a 4.2838

Avec un position size USD de 1005.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 236.69 x 0.0338 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 236.69 x 0.0676 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 236.69
  • Taille de position USD 1005.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.59 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.8 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8941 % 112.42 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1824
            [entry_price] => 4.25
            [stop_loss] => 4.28718
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1824
            [entry_price] => 4.25
            [stop_loss] => 4.29056
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1824
            [entry_price] => 4.25
            [stop_loss] => 4.29394
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1824
            [entry_price] => 4.25
            [stop_loss] => 4.3007
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.024
            [max_drawdown] => 0.071
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [high] => 4.32100000
            [low] => 4.22600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 1.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:43:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T21:43:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.203
            [max_drawdown] => 0.071
            [rr_ratio] => 2.86
            [high] => 4.32100000
            [low] => 4.04700000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.78
            [mae_pct] => 1.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.86
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:43:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T02:43:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.27300000
            [high_after] => 4.32100000
            [low_before] => 4.12300000
            [low_after] => 4.04700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)