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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 19:46:37

Take profit at 204.8395 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 203.3702 (0.24 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 19:46:37

With 16.3341 MSTR at 203.86$ per unit.

Position size of 3329.8653 $

Take profit at 204.8395 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 203.3702 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.4
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.522615

15m : 0.142282

1H : -0.127598

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.326515707
Details
  1. score: 2.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 205.042
  4. ema21 : 202.361
  5. ema50 : 200.172
  6. ema100 : 199.782
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00576874
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0132482
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.010938
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0204107
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.495981
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.343027
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.154055
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0713113
  17. rsi : 0.547148
  18. adx : 0.269547
  19. kc_percentage : 0.592848
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0697317
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.596409
  22. volume_ema1 : 180772.5958967
  23. volume_ema2 : 447911.0729734
  24. chop : 32.217
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 204.635
  28. ema21 : 205.512
  29. ema50 : 204.35
  30. ema100 : 201.743
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.00378769
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00426974
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00568493
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0104929
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.069542
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0646075
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.0130742
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.0356092
  41. rsi : 0.428766
  42. adx : 0.204852
  43. kc_percentage : 0.109803
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0203707
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.948106
  46. volume_ema1 : 5402.0985120411
  47. volume_ema2 : 104099.71329371
  48. chop : 80.6607
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 204.125
  52. ema21 : 204.621
  53. ema50 : 205.679
  54. ema100 : 207.28
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.0012985
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00242748
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00514138
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0165016
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0620145
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0394065
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0353346
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0324453
  65. rsi : 0.365774
  66. adx : 0.33078
  67. kc_percentage : -0.135652
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00561639
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.805699
  70. volume_ema1 : 2111.3595485992
  71. volume_ema2 : 10866.456617367
  72. chop : 31.4645
  73. regime : bear_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92978.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0048855
  78. 5m_price: 
    92524.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.522615
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92251.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00295891
  83. 15m_price: 
    92524.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.142282
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93673.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0122621
  88. 1H_price: 
    92524.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.127598
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6583415181703
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.55245893553002
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                    [1] => 192.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 195.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                    [1] => 193.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 197.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                    [1] => 213.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:30:00
                    [1] => 203.63
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1732195665875
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10803909050729
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2964690860875
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                    [1] => 209.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                    [1] => 212.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                    [1] => 209.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                    [1] => 212
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                    [1] => 203.42
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                    [1] => 204.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                    [1] => 206.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 19:35:00
                    [1] => 203.63
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.086903779902
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10803909050729
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2080734665815
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6402
0.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.8405
3.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:35:00 203.63 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.8902
5.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.9705
4.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 19:30:00 203.63 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.7602
7.75%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.9705
4.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
19:46:37		 18 Nov 2025
20:00:00		 13 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
203.86 203.3702 204.8395 2 133.73
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 203.86
  • Stop Loss: 203.3702
  • Take Profit: 204.8395

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 203.3702 - 203.86 = -0.4898

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 203.86 - 204.8395 = -0.97949999999997

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.97949999999997 / -0.4898 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3329.8653 100 16.3341 33.30
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.4898

Taille de position = 8 / -0.4898 = -16.33

Taille de position USD = -16.33 x 203.86 = -3329.03

Donc, tu peux acheter -16.33 avec un stoploss a 203.3702

Avec un position size USD de -3329.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -16.33 x -0.4898 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -16.33 x -0.97949999999997 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -16.33
  • Taille de position USD -3329.03
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.48 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2649 % 110.24 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.8395
            [entry_price] => 203.86
            [stop_loss] => 203.32122
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.8395
            [entry_price] => 203.86
            [stop_loss] => 203.27224
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.8395
            [entry_price] => 203.86
            [stop_loss] => 203.22326
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.8395
            [entry_price] => 203.86
            [stop_loss] => 203.1253
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.86
            [max_drawdown] => 1.72
            [rr_ratio] => 2.24
            [high] => 207.72000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.89
            [mae_pct] => 0.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:46:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T21:46:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.35
            [max_drawdown] => 4.28
            [rr_ratio] => 1.02
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.13
            [mae_pct] => 2.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T19:46:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T02:46:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 209.53000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)