Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 20:04:41

Take profit at 204.5896 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 203.2402 (0.22 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 20:04:41

With 17.7861 MSTR at 203.69$ per unit.

Position size of 3622.8582 $

Take profit at 204.5896 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 203.2402 (0.22 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.64
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.504092

15m : -0.149659

1H : -0.1057

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.2998590098
Details
  1. score: 2.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 204.77
  4. ema21 : 202.481
  5. ema50 : 200.32
  6. ema100 : 199.933
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00527747
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0113038
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0107917
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0187866
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.46539
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.343138
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.161203
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0757637
  17. rsi : 0.54345
  18. adx : 0.259875
  19. kc_percentage : 0.580057
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0638516
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.719487
  22. volume_ema1 : 120925.98946446
  23. volume_ema2 : 431089.59662782
  24. chop : 32.664
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 204.444
  29. ema21 : 205.345
  30. ema50 : 204.303
  31. ema100 : 201.627
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00369037
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00439018
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00510164
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0102307
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0632358
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0621939
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0115983
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0358981
  42. rsi : 0.422732
  43. adx : 0.208128
  44. kc_percentage : 0.0904546
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0194074
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.960063
  47. volume_ema1 : 4012.3245413607
  48. volume_ema2 : 100467.74567022
  49. chop : 77.7877
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 203.957
  54. ema21 : 204.414
  55. ema50 : 205.43
  56. ema100 : 206.808
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00131304
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00223411
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00494668
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0150792
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0602489
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0443923
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0372474
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0311688
  67. rsi : 0.347084
  68. adx : 0.371071
  69. kc_percentage : -0.157805
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00515279
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.880472
  72. volume_ema1 : 971.08021439975
  73. volume_ema2 : 8124.3366292166
  74. chop : 29.0623
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92911
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00739492
  81. 5m_price:
    92224
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.504092
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92222.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    1.86573E-5
  86. 15m_price:
    92224
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.149659
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93659.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0153233
  91. 1H_price:
    92224
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.1057
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 190
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                        [1] => 207.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 189.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 198.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7144661147748
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.49326690672323
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                        [1] => 192.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                        [1] => 195.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 193.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 197.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 213.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 203.32
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2313957434431
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20165256738147
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4509148140862
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                        [1] => 209.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                        [1] => 212.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                        [1] => 209.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                        [1] => 212
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                        [1] => 203.42
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                        [1] => 204.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                        [1] => 206.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 203.32
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.145130768111
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20165256738147
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 19
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3623844186504
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.20%
Bars Since Swing High
19 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5102
0.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.0904
3.95%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 203.32 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.20%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.7602
5.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2204
4.51%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 203.32 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.49%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.6302
7.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2204
4.51%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
20:04:41
18 Nov 2025
20:10:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
203.69 203.2402 204.5896 2 132.74
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 203.69
  • Stop Loss: 203.2402
  • Take Profit: 204.5896

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 203.2402 - 203.69 = -0.44980000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 203.69 - 204.5896 = -0.89959999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.89959999999999 / -0.44980000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3622.8582 100 17.7861 36.23
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.44980000000001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.44980000000001 = -17.79

Taille de position USD = -17.79 x 203.69 = -3623.65

Donc, tu peux acheter -17.79 avec un stoploss a 203.2402

Avec un position size USD de -3623.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17.79 x -0.44980000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17.79 x -0.89959999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17.79
  • Taille de position USD -3623.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.44 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.22 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.22
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2406 % 108.97 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.5896
            [entry_price] => 203.69
            [stop_loss] => 203.19522
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.5896
            [entry_price] => 203.69
            [stop_loss] => 203.15024
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.5896
            [entry_price] => 203.69
            [stop_loss] => 203.10526
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.5896
            [entry_price] => 203.69
            [stop_loss] => 203.0153
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.52
            [max_drawdown] => 1.55
            [rr_ratio] => 2.92
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.76
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T20:04:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T22:04:41-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.52
            [max_drawdown] => 4.11
            [rr_ratio] => 1.1
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.22
            [mae_pct] => 2.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T20:04:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T03:04:41-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 206.27000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)