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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 20:08:32

Take profit at 204.4005 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 203.0797 (0.22 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 20:08:32

With 18.171 MSTR at 203.52$ per unit.

Position size of 3698.1683 $

Take profit at 204.4005 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 203.0797 (0.22 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.43
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.503629

15m : 0.032276

1H : 0.058876

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.26
  4. atr: 0.2935074648
Details
  1. score: 2.26
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 204.736
  4. ema21 : 202.466
  5. ema50 : 200.313
  6. ema100 : 199.93
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00594261
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.011213
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0107482
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0179535
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.46393
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.342476
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.16092
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0756221
  17. rsi : 0.539793
  18. adx : 0.259875
  19. kc_percentage : 0.56823
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0639049
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.719175
  22. volume_ema1 : 121065.12866446
  23. volume_ema2 : 431105.96594547
  24. chop : 32.664
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 204.41
  28. ema21 : 205.33
  29. ema50 : 204.297
  30. ema100 : 201.623
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.00435631
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00448083
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00505879
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.00940443
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0646111
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0628164
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.011326
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.0357584
  41. rsi : 0.416815
  42. adx : 0.208128
  43. kc_percentage : 0.0515461
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0194236
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.958685
  46. volume_ema1 : 4151.4637413607
  47. volume_ema2 : 100484.11498787
  48. chop : 77.7877
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 203.876
  52. ema21 : 204.336
  53. ema50 : 205.362
  54. ema100 : 206.783
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.00174931
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00225048
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00499641
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0157818
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0568282
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0442601
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.037595
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0318156
  65. rsi : 0.328333
  66. adx : 0.387061
  67. kc_percentage : -0.260167
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00505419
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.909779
  70. volume_ema1 : 764.79480959983
  71. volume_ema2 : 8476.9456562696
  72. chop : 28.5447
  73. regime : bear_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92899
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00747794
  78. 5m_price: 
    92204.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.503629
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92221.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000189664
  83. 15m_price: 
    92204.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.032276
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93658.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0155284
  88. 1H_price: 
    92204.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.058876
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8126841588326
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38968085631136
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4653973264934
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                    [1] => 192.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 195.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                    [1] => 193.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 197.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                    [1] => 213.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 203.32
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3332040529403
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.098367106039749
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4509148140862
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                    [1] => 209.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                    [1] => 212.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                    [1] => 209.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                    [1] => 212
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                    [1] => 203.42
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                    [1] => 204.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                    [1] => 206.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 203.32
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2470279974768
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.098367106039749
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3623844186504
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.10%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3497
0.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.2795
4.05%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 203.32 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.10%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.5997
5.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.4095
4.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 203.32 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.81%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.39%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.4697
7.62%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.4095
4.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:00:00 202.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
20:08:32		 18 Nov 2025
20:10:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
203.52 203.0797 204.4005 2 132.87
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 203.52
  • Stop Loss: 203.0797
  • Take Profit: 204.4005

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 203.0797 - 203.52 = -0.44030000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 203.52 - 204.4005 = -0.88049999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.88049999999998 / -0.44030000000001 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3698.1683 100 18.171 36.98
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.44030000000001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.44030000000001 = -18.17

Taille de position USD = -18.17 x 203.52 = -3697.96

Donc, tu peux acheter -18.17 avec un stoploss a 203.0797

Avec un position size USD de -3697.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -18.17 x -0.44030000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -18.17 x -0.88049999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -18.17
  • Taille de position USD -3697.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.43 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.22 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.22
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4815 % 222.61 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.4005
            [entry_price] => 203.52
            [stop_loss] => 203.03567
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.4005
            [entry_price] => 203.52
            [stop_loss] => 202.99164
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.4005
            [entry_price] => 203.52
            [stop_loss] => 202.94761
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.4005
            [entry_price] => 203.52
            [stop_loss] => 202.85955
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.69
            [max_drawdown] => 1.38
            [rr_ratio] => 3.4
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 202.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.3
            [mae_pct] => 0.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T20:08:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T22:08:32-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.69
            [max_drawdown] => 3.94
            [rr_ratio] => 1.19
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.3
            [mae_pct] => 1.94
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T20:08:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T03:08:32-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 206.27000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.73000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)