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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 20:17:51

Take profit at 203.4945 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 202.0628 (0.24 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 20:17:51

With 16.7634 MSTR at 202.54$ per unit.

Position size of 3395.2529 $

Take profit at 203.4945 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 202.0628 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 7.15
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.508966

15m : 0.11779

1H : 0.011895

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.72
  4. atr: 0.3181540116
Details
  1. score: 2.72
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 204.54
  4. ema21 : 202.377
  5. ema50 : 200.274
  6. ema100 : 199.911
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00978129
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0106897
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0104973
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0131501
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.455508
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.338658
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.159291
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0748059
  17. rsi : 0.519634
  18. adx : 0.257293
  19. kc_percentage : 0.500055
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0657546
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.719123
  22. volume_ema1 : 121088.1158978
  23. volume_ema2 : 431108.67032586
  24. chop : 32.7076
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 203.879
  28. ema21 : 204.995
  29. ema50 : 204.158
  30. ema100 : 201.383
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.00657045
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00544471
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00409936
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0057431
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0800153
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0703311
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.00584847
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.0347676
  41. rsi : 0.385734
  42. adx : 0.220005
  43. kc_percentage : -0.126817
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0189522
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.971128
  46. volume_ema1 : 2782.9673164627
  47. volume_ema2 : 96392.782111693
  48. chop : 67.4495
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 203.395
  52. ema21 : 204.024
  53. ema50 : 205.152
  54. ema100 : 206.67
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.00420585
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00308435
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00549769
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0199844
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0599371
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0479709
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0399202
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0336987
  65. rsi : 0.246971
  66. adx : 0.43201
  67. kc_percentage : -0.716102
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00585573
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.950543
  70. volume_ema1 : 355.23362648882
  71. volume_ema2 : 7182.6859388845
  72. chop : 30.3792
  73. regime : bear_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92877.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00908461
  78. 5m_price: 
    92033.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.508966
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92132.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00107615
  83. 15m_price: 
    92033.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.11779
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    93655.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0173176
  88. 1H_price: 
    92033.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.011895
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.3552219260091
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10883546057189
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7732264766993
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                    [1] => 192.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 195.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                    [1] => 193.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 197.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                    [1] => 213.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 207.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8955737625442
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10883546057189
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0431384189176
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                    [1] => 209.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                    [1] => 212.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                    [1] => 209.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                    [1] => 212
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                    [1] => 202.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                    [1] => 203.42
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                    [1] => 204.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                    [1] => 206.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8098888834975
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10883546057189
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9540912239042
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.81%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
22 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0772
0.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.1855
4.51%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.90%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.04%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.5828
4.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.3155
5.07%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.77%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.4528
7.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.3155
5.07%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 202.14 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
20:17:51		 18 Nov 2025
20:20:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
202.54 202.0628 203.4945 2 134.53
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 202.54
  • Stop Loss: 202.0628
  • Take Profit: 203.4945

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 202.0628 - 202.54 = -0.47719999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 202.54 - 203.4945 = -0.9545

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.9545 / -0.47719999999998 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3395.2529 100 16.7634 33.95
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.47719999999998

Taille de position = 8 / -0.47719999999998 = -16.76

Taille de position USD = -16.76 x 202.54 = -3394.57

Donc, tu peux acheter -16.76 avec un stoploss a 202.0628

Avec un position size USD de -3394.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -16.76 x -0.47719999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -16.76 x -0.9545 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -16.76
  • Taille de position USD -3394.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0889 % 37.73 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 203.4944
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 203.733
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 203.9716
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.2102
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.4488
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.6874
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.926
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.1646
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.4032
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.6418
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.8804
            [stop_loss] => 202.0628
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.67
            [max_drawdown] => 0.17999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 31.5
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 202.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.8
            [mae_pct] => 0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 31.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T20:17:51-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T22:17:51-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.67
            [max_drawdown] => 2.96
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.8
            [mae_pct] => 1.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T20:17:51-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T03:17:51-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 206.27000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.14000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)