Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 20:46:05

Take profit at 203.8403 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 202.3399 (0.25 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 20:46:05

With 15.9952 MSTR at 202.84$ per unit.

Position size of 3244.4735 $

Take profit at 203.8403 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 202.3399 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.75
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.45394

15m : -0.103376

1H : 0.00356

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.3334326287
Details
  1. score: 2.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 204.6
  4. ema21 : 202.404
  5. ema50 : 200.286
  6. ema100 : 199.917
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0086054
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.01085
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0105741
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0146206
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.458086
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.339827
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.15979
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0750558
  17. rsi : 0.525644
  18. adx : 0.256035
  19. kc_percentage : 0.520193
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0664461
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.713213
  22. volume_ema1 : 123725.20583113
  23. volume_ema2 : 431418.91620037
  24. chop : 32.7299
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 203.658
  29. ema21 : 204.709
  30. ema50 : 204.105
  31. ema100 : 201.507
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00401952
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00513545
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00296112
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00661275
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0898324
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0762565
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00275959
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0287252
  42. rsi : 0.408669
  43. adx : 0.238846
  44. kc_percentage : 0.0300049
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0190458
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.969997
  47. volume_ema1 : 2679.1999036131
  48. volume_ema2 : 89299.014484091
  49. chop : 60.9749
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 203.209
  54. ema21 : 203.663
  55. ema50 : 204.676
  56. ema100 : 205.808
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00181881
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00222862
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00494973
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0144226
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0372919
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0389554
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0355089
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.027784
  67. rsi : 0.358021
  68. adx : 0.403596
  69. kc_percentage : -0.116807
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00628415
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.860784
  72. volume_ema1 : 832.99299107721
  73. volume_ema2 : 5983.4745591831
  74. chop : 34.8905
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92751.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0047456
  81. 5m_price:
    92311.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.45394
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92216.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00103164
  86. 15m_price:
    92311.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.103376
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93660.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0144093
  91. 1H_price:
    92311.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.00356
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 190
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                        [1] => 207.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 189.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 198.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.1307235395912
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34629464727417
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7732264766993
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 04:30:00
                        [1] => 192.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 06:00:00
                        [1] => 195.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 193.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 197.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 213.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6628690551219
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34629464727417
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0431384189176
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:05:00
                        [1] => 209.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:40:00
                        [1] => 212.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 14:55:00
                        [1] => 209.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 15:20:00
                        [1] => 212
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:25:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
                        [1] => 203.42
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:40:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                        [1] => 204.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                        [1] => 206.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5769809306614
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34629464727417
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 28
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9540912239042
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.58%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.35%
Bars Since Swing High
28 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1999
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.8397
4.34%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 14:05:00 209.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 14:40:00 212.68 ↑ High
2025-11-18 14:55:00 209.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 15:20:00 212 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:25:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:55:00 203.42 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:40:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.35%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.04%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.8599
4.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.9697
4.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 04:30:00 192.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 06:00:00 195.1 ↑ High
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.35%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.77%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.7299
7.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.9697
4.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 202.14 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
20:46:05
18 Nov 2025
21:05:00
18 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
202.84 202.3399 203.8403 2 129.85
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 202.84
  • Stop Loss: 202.3399
  • Take Profit: 203.8403

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 202.3399 - 202.84 = -0.5001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 202.84 - 203.8403 = -1.0003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0003 / -0.5001 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3244.4735 100 15.9952 32.44
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.5001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.5001 = -16

Taille de position USD = -16 x 202.84 = -3245.44

Donc, tu peux acheter -16 avec un stoploss a 202.3399

Avec un position size USD de -3245.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -16 x -0.5001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -16 x -1.0003 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -16
  • Taille de position USD -3245.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 203.8402
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.09025
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.3403
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.59035
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.8404
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.09045
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.3405
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.59055
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.8406
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 206.09065
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 206.3407
            [stop_loss] => 202.3399
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.37
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 202.84000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.65
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T20:46:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T22:46:05-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.37
            [max_drawdown] => 3.26
            [rr_ratio] => 1.65
            [high] => 208.21000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.65
            [mae_pct] => 1.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T20:46:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T03:46:05-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 206.27000000
            [high_after] => 208.21000000
            [low_before] => 202.14000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)