Short Trade on COIN 18 Nov 2025 at 21:30:13
Take profit at 261.4909 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 263.2145 (0.22 %)
Short Trade on COIN 18 Nov 2025 at 21:30:13
Take profit at 261.4909 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 263.2145 (0.22 %)
Position size of 3657.094 $
Take profit at 261.4909 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 263.2145 (0.22 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.5 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.437091 15m : -0.024043 1H : -0.022252 |
1 |
Indicators:
92781
-0.00221811
92575.3
0.437091
92212.3
0.00393632
92575.3
-0.024043
93556.5
-0.0104888
92575.3
-0.022252
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 286.71
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 21:00:00
[1] => 283.4
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 03:00:00
[1] => 287.87
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
[1] => 258.7
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 23:00:00
[1] => 255.09
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 03:00:00
[1] => 263.67
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:00:00
[1] => 270.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
[1] => 259.43
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.72121436505
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2797286358555
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1128628146321
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 03:30:00
[1] => 263.67
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
[1] => 259.28
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:30:00
[1] => 270.1
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:30:00
[1] => 270.02
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
[1] => 264.69
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 14:45:00
[1] => 267.84
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 16:45:00
[1] => 260.3
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:30:00
[1] => 261.99
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
[1] => 259.43
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 21:30:00
[1] => 262.75
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2797286358555
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2797286358555
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 16:55:00
[1] => 260.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 17:05:00
[1] => 260.3
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
[1] => 261.73
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:00:00
[1] => 261.68
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:15:00
[1] => 261.3
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:40:00
[1] => 261.99
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 19:20:00
[1] => 260.07
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 19:45:00
[1] => 261.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
[1] => 259.43
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 21:30:00
[1] => 262.75
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2797286358555
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2797286358555
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 16:55:00 | 260.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 17:05:00 | 260.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 17:30:00 | 261.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 18:00:00 | 261.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 18:15:00 | 261.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 18:40:00 | 261.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 19:20:00 | 260.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 19:45:00 | 261.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 20:15:00 | 259.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 21:30:00 | 262.75 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 03:30:00 | 263.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 07:45:00 | 259.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 09:30:00 | 270.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 11:30:00 | 270.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 12:30:00 | 264.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 14:45:00 | 267.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 16:45:00 | 260.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 18:30:00 | 261.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 20:15:00 | 259.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 21:30:00 | 262.75 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 11:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 286.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 21:00:00 | 283.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 03:00:00 | 287.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 14:00:00 | 258.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 23:00:00 | 255.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 03:00:00 | 263.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 09:00:00 | 270.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 20:00:00 | 259.43 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 21:30:13 |
18 Nov 2025 21:35:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262.64 | 263.2145 | 261.4909 | 2 | 175.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 263.2145 - 262.64 = 0.5745
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 262.64 - 261.4909 = 1.1491
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1491 / 0.5745 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3657.094 | 100 | 13.9244 | 36.57 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.5745 = 13.93
Taille de position USD = 13.93 x 262.64 = 3658.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 13.93 avec un stoploss a 263.2145
Avec un position size USD de 3658.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 13.93 x 0.5745 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 13.93 x 1.1491 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2703 % | 123.59 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.4909
[entry_price] => 262.64
[stop_loss] => 263.27195
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.4909
[entry_price] => 262.64
[stop_loss] => 263.3294
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.4909
[entry_price] => 262.64
[stop_loss] => 263.38685
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.4909
[entry_price] => 262.64
[stop_loss] => 263.50175
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-18 22:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.48
[max_drawdown] => 0.80000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 3.1
[high] => 263.44000000
[low] => 260.16000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.94
[mae_pct] => 0.3
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.1
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T21:30:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T23:30:13-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.72
[max_drawdown] => 0.80000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 7.15
[high] => 263.44000000
[low] => 256.92000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.18
[mae_pct] => 0.3
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.15
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-18T21:30:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T04:30:13-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 262.75000000
[high_after] => 263.44000000
[low_before] => 259.43000000
[low_after] => 256.92000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)