Long Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 23:20:19

Take profit at 204.6381 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 202.6909 (0.32 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 23:20:19

With 12.3253 MSTR at 203.34$ per unit.

Position size of 2506.228 $

Take profit at 204.6381 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 202.6909 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.38
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.41
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.39655

15m : -0.140985

1H : -0.147927

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.26
  4. atr: 0.4327140297
Details
  1. score: 2.26
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 204.633
  4. ema21 : 203.009
  5. ema50 : 200.811
  6. ema100 : 200.221
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00631932
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00799905
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0109446
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0155729
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.179246
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.232648
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.133539
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0668359
  17. rsi : 0.520363
  18. adx : 0.237379
  19. kc_percentage : 0.513759
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0663126
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.767118
  22. volume_ema1 : 83147.570394409
  23. volume_ema2 : 357037.44021819
  24. chop : 49.9442
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 204.567
  29. ema21 : 205.01
  30. ema50 : 204.481
  31. ema100 : 201.723
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00600076
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00216288
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00259169
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00801379
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0198442
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00308316
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0156182
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0384437
  42. rsi : 0.423024
  43. adx : 0.185996
  44. kc_percentage : 0.109484
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0207387
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.823613
  47. volume_ema1 : 12019.51955954
  48. volume_ema2 : 68142.985127361
  49. chop : 40.6722
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 203.91
  54. ema21 : 204.617
  55. ema50 : 205.023
  56. ema100 : 205.76
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00279919
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00345484
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00197764
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0117644
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.120294
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0677471
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.02781
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0199729
  67. rsi : 0.355812
  68. adx : 0.340277
  69. kc_percentage : -0.258036
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.008077
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.848287
  72. volume_ema1 : 1174.2820217859
  73. volume_ema2 : 7740.1596312647
  74. chop : 25.3798
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92486.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00838704
  81. 5m_price:
    91710.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.39655
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92052.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0038134
  86. 15m_price:
    91701.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.140985
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93629.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0204926
  91. 1H_price:
    91710.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.147927
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 14:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 200.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                        [1] => 190
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                        [1] => 207.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 189.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 198.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.6079439027905
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31661224893639
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.002869298506
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 193.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 197.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 213.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 207.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:15:00
                        [1] => 202.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                        [1] => 206.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 23:15:00
                        [1] => 202.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.6079439027905
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6777788736562
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:10:00
                        [1] => 204.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:25:00
                        [1] => 206.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:50:00
                        [1] => 202.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 21:00:00
                        [1] => 202.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 21:15:00
                        [1] => 207.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:10:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 23:10:00
                        [1] => 204.22
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 23:20:00
                        [1] => 202.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70512192733327
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.71012920406352
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5509
0.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.5719
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 18:10:00 204.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 18:25:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 20:50:00 202.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 21:00:00 202.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 21:15:00 207.72 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:10:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-18 23:10:00 204.22 ↑ High
2025-11-18 23:20:00 202.78 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.61%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.3409
4.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.1719
4.48%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 07:45:00 193.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 197.59 ↑ High
2025-11-18 11:15:00 213.06 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 207.18 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 16:15:00 202.73 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-18 23:15:00 202.78 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.61%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.32%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.0809
7.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.1719
4.48%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 14:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 16:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
23:20:19
18 Nov 2025
23:35:00
14 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
203.34 202.6909 204.6381 2 131.56
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 203.34
  • Stop Loss: 202.6909
  • Take Profit: 204.6381

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 202.6909 - 203.34 = -0.6491

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 203.34 - 204.6381 = -1.2981

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2981 / -0.6491 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2506.228 100 12.3253 25.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.6491

Taille de position = 8 / -0.6491 = -12.32

Taille de position USD = -12.32 x 203.34 = -2505.15

Donc, tu peux acheter -12.32 avec un stoploss a 202.6909

Avec un position size USD de -2505.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -12.32 x -0.6491 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -12.32 x -1.2981 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -12.32
  • Taille de position USD -2505.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.64 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5951 % 186.43 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.6381
            [entry_price] => 203.34
            [stop_loss] => 202.62599
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.6381
            [entry_price] => 203.34
            [stop_loss] => 202.56108
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.6381
            [entry_price] => 203.34
            [stop_loss] => 202.49617
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 204.6381
            [entry_price] => 203.34
            [stop_loss] => 202.36635
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 23:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.079999999999984
            [max_drawdown] => 3.76
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 203.42000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.04
            [mae_pct] => 1.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T23:20:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T01:20:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.31
            [max_drawdown] => 3.76
            [rr_ratio] => 0.61
            [high] => 205.65000000
            [low] => 199.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.14
            [mae_pct] => 1.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T23:20:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T06:20:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 208.21000000
            [high_after] => 205.57000000
            [low_before] => 202.14000000
            [low_after] => 199.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)