Short Trade on AR 19 Nov 2025 at 02:38:32

Take profit at 4.1105 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2058 (0.76 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 02:38:32

With 251.9419 AR at 4.174$ per unit.

Position size of 1051.6054 $

Take profit at 4.1105 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2058 (0.76 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.64157

15m : 0.010568

1H : -0.021662

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.02116890299
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.17778
  4. ema21 : 4.22023
  5. ema50 : 4.27896
  6. ema100 : 4.35794
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000905094
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0100598
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137249
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0422091
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.228704
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.149201
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103742
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0841874
  17. rsi : 0.45157
  18. adx : 0.210739
  19. kc_percentage : 0.372969
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0822702
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.396018
  22. volume_ema1 : 168933.50150061
  23. volume_ema2 : 279699.84018123
  24. chop : 55.3348
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.12283
  29. ema21 : 4.14411
  30. ema50 : 4.18851
  31. ema100 : 4.21361
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0124111
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00513615
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0106013
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00940085
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.139258
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.14295
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0974928
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0565605
  42. rsi : 0.506201
  43. adx : 0.235118
  44. kc_percentage : 0.715772
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0355369
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.46212
  47. volume_ema1 : 25575.519459559
  48. volume_ema2 : 47548.804052606
  49. chop : 48.8935
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.1378
  54. ema21 : 4.12176
  55. ema50 : 4.13493
  56. ema100 : 4.16162
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00874683
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0038926
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00318543
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00297418
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.130522
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0574224
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00441428
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0171061
  67. rsi : 0.670381
  68. adx : 0.321674
  69. kc_percentage : 1.10925
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0203907
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.319258
  72. volume_ema1 : 10424.926889167
  73. volume_ema2 : 15314.067209115
  74. chop : 36.4667
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    91643.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000109441
  81. 5m_price:
    91633.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.64157
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91687.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00216071
  86. 15m_price:
    91489.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.010568
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93523.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0202156
  91. 1H_price:
    91633.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.021662
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.419
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4.209
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4.47
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 4.574
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4.17
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4.188
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.412
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.321
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                        [1] => 4.047
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.4714186530896
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0639980232271
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.7704472448727
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 4.266
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:30:00
                        [1] => 4.188
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:30:00
                        [1] => 4.412
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 4.304
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 16:45:00
                        [1] => 4.163
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
                        [1] => 4.123
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:30:00
                        [1] => 4.321
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                        [1] => 4.047
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 01:15:00
                        [1] => 4.047
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 02:30:00
                        [1] => 4.175
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.095808383233522
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0639980232271
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1628366691376
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 19:50:00
                        [1] => 4.271
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:35:00
                        [1] => 4.321
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 21:15:00
                        [1] => 4.303
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:45:00
                        [1] => 4.153
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 23:20:00
                        [1] => 4.188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 23:30:00
                        [1] => 4.158
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 00:50:00
                        [1] => 4.047
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 01:05:00
                        [1] => 4.086
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 01:20:00
                        [1] => 4.047
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 02:35:00
                        [1] => 4.175
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.095808383233522
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0639980232271
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1628366691376
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.06%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.16%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1152
2.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0635
1.54%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 19:50:00 4.271 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:35:00 4.321 ↑ High
2025-11-18 21:15:00 4.303 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:45:00 4.153 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 23:20:00 4.188 ↑ High
2025-11-18 23:30:00 4.158 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 00:50:00 4.047 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 01:05:00 4.086 ↑ High
2025-11-19 01:20:00 4.047 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 02:35:00 4.175 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.06%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2062
4.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0635
1.54%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 07:45:00 4.266 ↑ High
2025-11-18 08:30:00 4.188 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 11:30:00 4.412 ↑ High
2025-11-18 12:30:00 4.304 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 16:45:00 4.163 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 19:15:00 4.123 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 20:30:00 4.321 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 4.047 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 01:15:00 4.047 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 02:30:00 4.175 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.47%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.06%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.77%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3682
8.75%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0635
1.54%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 19:00:00 4.419 ↑ High
2025-11-17 08:00:00 4.209 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:00:00 4.47 ↑ High
2025-11-17 19:00:00 4.11 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 21:00:00 4.574 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 4.17 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 4.188 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 11:00:00 4.412 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 4.321 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 4.047 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
02:38:32
19 Nov 2025
04:05:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.174 4.2058 4.1105 2 1.545
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.174
  • Stop Loss: 4.2058
  • Take Profit: 4.1105

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2058 - 4.174 = 0.0318

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.174 - 4.1105 = 0.0635

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0635 / 0.0318 = 1.9969

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1051.6054 100 251.9419 10.52
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0318

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0318 = 251.57

Taille de position USD = 251.57 x 4.174 = 1050.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 251.57 avec un stoploss a 4.2058

Avec un position size USD de 1050.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 251.57 x 0.0318 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 251.57 x 0.0635 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 251.57
  • Taille de position USD 1050.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9969

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.52 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.76 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8864 % 116.34 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1105
            [entry_price] => 4.174
            [stop_loss] => 4.20898
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1105
            [entry_price] => 4.174
            [stop_loss] => 4.21216
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 04:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1105
            [entry_price] => 4.174
            [stop_loss] => 4.21534
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 04:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1105
            [entry_price] => 4.174
            [stop_loss] => 4.2217
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.02
            [max_drawdown] => 0.066
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 4.24000000
            [low] => 4.15400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 1.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T02:38:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T04:38:32-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.098000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.077999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.26
            [high] => 4.25200000
            [low] => 4.07600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.35
            [mae_pct] => 1.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.26
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T02:38:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T09:38:32-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.18800000
            [high_after] => 4.25200000
            [low_before] => 4.04700000
            [low_after] => 4.15400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)