Short Trade on AMZN 19 Nov 2025 at 05:29:22
Take profit at 223.5934 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 224.4283 (0.12 %)
Short Trade on AMZN 19 Nov 2025 at 05:29:22
Take profit at 223.5934 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 224.4283 (0.12 %)
Position size of 6443.3867 $
Take profit at 223.5934 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 224.4283 (0.12 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.62 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.38 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.21285 15m : 0.064995 1H : 0.043004 |
1 |
Indicators:
91588
-0.00115258
91482.5
0.21285
91836.9
-0.00476396
91399.4
0.064995
93437.5
-0.020924
91482.5
0.043004
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 08:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 10:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 12:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 14:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 235.51
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 04:00:00
[1] => 238.19
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 10:00:00
[1] => 229.54
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
[1] => 233.29
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 221.2
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
[1] => 224.24
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.04013556903318
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3336347197107
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.374321880651
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:30:00
[1] => 226.59
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 12:30:00
[1] => 222.95
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 14:45:00
[1] => 226.23
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 17:15:00
[1] => 222.48
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:15:00
[1] => 223.09
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 19:15:00
[1] => 222.53
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:15:00
[1] => 223.46
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
[1] => 221.2
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
[1] => 222.57
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:45:00
[1] => 224.24
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.04013556903318
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.70988902367795
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75032574021657
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
[1] => 221.2
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 01:15:00
[1] => 222.4
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 02:00:00
[1] => 222.07
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 02:45:00
[1] => 223.13
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 03:10:00
[1] => 222.88
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 03:35:00
[1] => 223.63
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
[1] => 222.57
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:40:00
[1] => 223.52
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:50:00
[1] => 224.24
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 05:20:00
[1] => 224.23
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.035677652410464
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28185397279885
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0044597065513175
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 00:45:00 | 221.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 01:15:00 | 222.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 02:00:00 | 222.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 02:45:00 | 223.13 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 03:10:00 | 222.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 03:35:00 | 223.63 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 04:00:00 | 222.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 04:40:00 | 223.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 04:50:00 | 224.24 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 05:20:00 | 224.23 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 11:30:00 | 226.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 12:30:00 | 222.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 14:45:00 | 226.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 17:15:00 | 222.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 18:15:00 | 223.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 19:15:00 | 222.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 22:15:00 | 223.46 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:45:00 | 221.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 04:00:00 | 222.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 04:45:00 | 224.24 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 08:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 10:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 14:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 235.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 04:00:00 | 238.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 10:00:00 | 229.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 21:00:00 | 233.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 221.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 04:00:00 | 224.24 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 05:29:22 |
19 Nov 2025 07:05:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224.15 | 224.4283 | 223.5934 | 2 | 208.03 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 224.4283 - 224.15 = 0.2783
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 224.15 - 223.5934 = 0.5566
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5566 / 0.2783 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6443.3867 | 100 | 28.7459 | 64.43 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2783 = 28.75
Taille de position USD = 28.75 x 224.15 = 6444.31
Donc, tu peux acheter 28.75 avec un stoploss a 224.4283
Avec un position size USD de 6444.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 28.75 x 0.2783 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 28.75 x 0.5566 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1115 % | 89.77 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 223.5934
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 07:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 223.45425
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 07:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 223.3151
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 07:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 223.17595
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 07:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 223.0368
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 09:25:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.89765
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 09:25:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.7585
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 09:25:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.61935
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 09:25:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.4802
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 09:30:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.34105
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 09:30:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.2019
[stop_loss] => 224.4283
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 09:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.59999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.25
[rr_ratio] => 2.4
[high] => 224.40000000
[low] => 223.55000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.27
[mae_pct] => 0.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.4
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-19T05:29:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T07:29:22-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.52
[max_drawdown] => 0.25
[rr_ratio] => 22.08
[high] => 224.40000000
[low] => 218.63000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.46
[mae_pct] => 0.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.08
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-19T05:29:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T12:29:22-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 224.24000000
[high_after] => 224.40000000
[low_before] => 222.07000000
[low_after] => 218.63000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)