Short Trade on AAVE 19 Nov 2025 at 15:39:53
Take profit at 164.6523 (1.64 %) and Stop Loss at 168.7739 (0.82 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 19 Nov 2025 at 15:39:53
Take profit at 164.6523 (1.64 %) and Stop Loss at 168.7739 (0.82 %)
Position size of 974.764 $
Take profit at 164.6523 (1.64 %) and Stop Loss at 168.7739 (0.82 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.66 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.93 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.822961 15m : 0.011117 1H : -0.084292 |
3 |
Indicators:
89902.4
-0.00647671
89320.2
0.822961
91092.6
-0.0187744
89382.4
0.011117
92848.8
-0.0380041
89320.2
-0.084292
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
[1] => 182.1
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 12:00:00
[1] => 167.66
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 18:00:00
[1] => 168.64
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 08:00:00
[1] => 182.43
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 164.76
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 179.54
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 21:00:00
[1] => 178.92
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 169.98
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 05:00:00
[1] => 176.88
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
[1] => 163.55
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.3369516056083
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3784775298074
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.1504127178233
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 21:15:00
[1] => 178.92
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
[1] => 169.98
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
[1] => 175.84
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
[1] => 173.48
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 05:00:00
[1] => 176.88
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 06:45:00
[1] => 173.96
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
[1] => 175.57
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:15:00
[1] => 175.48
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:15:00
[1] => 163.55
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 15:30:00
[1] => 168.36
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5464480874317
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3784775298074
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.940996637114
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 07:50:00
[1] => 175.57
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 09:25:00
[1] => 170.78
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:15:00
[1] => 175.48
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 12:35:00
[1] => 163.58
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 12:40:00
[1] => 166.76
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:10:00
[1] => 166.79
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:25:00
[1] => 163.55
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:05:00
[1] => 165.79
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:20:00
[1] => 163.72
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
[1] => 168.36
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5464480874317
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2721720009773
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8341070119717
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 07:50:00 | 175.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 09:25:00 | 170.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:15:00 | 175.48 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 12:35:00 | 163.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 12:40:00 | 166.76 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:10:00 | 166.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:25:00 | 163.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 14:05:00 | 165.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 14:20:00 | 163.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 15:35:00 | 168.36 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 21:15:00 | 178.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:45:00 | 169.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 03:30:00 | 175.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 04:00:00 | 173.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 05:00:00 | 176.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 06:45:00 | 173.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 07:45:00 | 175.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 10:15:00 | 175.48 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:15:00 | 163.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 15:30:00 | 168.36 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 05:00:00 | 182.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:00:00 | 167.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 18:00:00 | 168.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 08:00:00 | 182.43 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 164.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 179.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 21:00:00 | 178.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 169.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 05:00:00 | 176.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:00:00 | 163.55 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 15:39:53 |
19 Nov 2025 15:50:00 |
10 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167.4 | 168.7739 | 164.6523 | 2 | 113.01 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 168.7739 - 167.4 = 1.3739
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 167.4 - 164.6523 = 2.7477
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7477 / 1.3739 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 974.764 | 100 | 5.823 | 9.75 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.3739 = 5.82
Taille de position USD = 5.82 x 167.4 = 974.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.82 avec un stoploss a 168.7739
Avec un position size USD de 974.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.82 x 1.3739 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.82 x 2.7477 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.64 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0275 % | 125.2 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 164.6523
[entry_price] => 167.4
[stop_loss] => 168.91129
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 164.6523
[entry_price] => 167.4
[stop_loss] => 169.04868
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 164.6523
[entry_price] => 167.4
[stop_loss] => 169.18607
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 15:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 164.6523
[entry_price] => 167.4
[stop_loss] => 169.46085
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 15:55:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.48000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 7.07
[rr_ratio] => 0.07
[high] => 174.47000000
[low] => 166.92000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.29
[mae_pct] => 4.22
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-19T15:39:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T17:39:53-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.48000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 9.26
[rr_ratio] => 0.05
[high] => 176.66000000
[low] => 166.92000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.29
[mae_pct] => 5.53
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-19T15:39:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T22:39:53-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 168.37000000
[high_after] => 175.90000000
[low_before] => 163.55000000
[low_after] => 166.92000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)