Short Trade on AVAX 19 Nov 2025 at 16:11:19
Take profit at 13.8738 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 14.1651 (0.69 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 19 Nov 2025 at 16:11:19
Take profit at 13.8738 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 14.1651 (0.69 %)
Position size of 1159.0773 $
Take profit at 13.8738 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 14.1651 (0.69 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.802773 15m : -0.033312 1H : -0.020555 |
3 |
Indicators:
89898.2
-0.00129914
89781.5
0.802773
91026.3
-0.0136753
89781.5
-0.033312
92766.2
-0.0321751
89781.5
-0.020555
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 02:00:00
[1] => 15.762
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:00:00
[1] => 15.883
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[1] => 14.023
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 03:00:00
[1] => 14.729
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 10:00:00
[1] => 14.359
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 14.91
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 13.925
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 05:00:00
[1] => 14.592
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
[1] => 13.692
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 16:00:00
[1] => 14.152
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.6359525155455
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7023079170318
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3596260590126
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 21:45:00
[1] => 14.687
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
[1] => 13.925
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
[1] => 14.462
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:15:00
[1] => 14.239
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 05:00:00
[1] => 14.592
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
[1] => 14.574
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 09:15:00
[1] => 14.077
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:15:00
[1] => 14.529
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:15:00
[1] => 13.692
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 16:00:00
[1] => 14.152
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.6359525155455
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7023079170318
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3596260590126
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 07:55:00
[1] => 14.574
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 09:25:00
[1] => 14.077
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:15:00
[1] => 14.529
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 12:05:00
[1] => 13.795
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 12:35:00
[1] => 13.751
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:10:00
[1] => 13.976
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:25:00
[1] => 13.692
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:10:00
[1] => 13.882
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 15:05:00
[1] => 13.731
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 16:05:00
[1] => 14.152
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.6359525155455
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4106037433545
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0660549122424
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 07:55:00 | 14.574 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 09:25:00 | 14.077 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:15:00 | 14.529 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 12:05:00 | 13.795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 12:35:00 | 13.751 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 13:10:00 | 13.976 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:25:00 | 13.692 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 14:10:00 | 13.882 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 15:05:00 | 13.731 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 16:05:00 | 14.152 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 21:45:00 | 14.687 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:45:00 | 13.925 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 03:30:00 | 14.462 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 04:15:00 | 14.239 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 05:00:00 | 14.592 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 07:45:00 | 14.574 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 09:15:00 | 14.077 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:15:00 | 14.529 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:15:00 | 13.692 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 16:00:00 | 14.152 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 02:00:00 | 15.762 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 09:00:00 | 15.883 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 22:00:00 | 14.023 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 03:00:00 | 14.729 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 10:00:00 | 14.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 14.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 13.925 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 05:00:00 | 14.592 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:00:00 | 13.692 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 16:00:00 | 14.152 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 16:11:19 |
19 Nov 2025 16:20:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.068 | 14.1651 | 13.8738 | 2 | 8.45 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.1651 - 14.068 = 0.097100000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.068 - 13.8738 = 0.1942
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1942 / 0.097100000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1159.0773 | 100 | 82.3911 | 11.59 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.097100000000001 = 82.39
Taille de position USD = 82.39 x 14.068 = 1159.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 82.39 avec un stoploss a 14.1651
Avec un position size USD de 1159.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 82.39 x 0.097100000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 82.39 x 0.1942 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.706 % | 247.17 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.8738
[entry_price] => 14.068
[stop_loss] => 14.17481
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.8738
[entry_price] => 14.068
[stop_loss] => 14.18452
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.8738
[entry_price] => 14.068
[stop_loss] => 14.19423
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.8738
[entry_price] => 14.068
[stop_loss] => 14.21365
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.023
[max_drawdown] => 0.273
[rr_ratio] => 0.08
[high] => 14.34100000
[low] => 14.04500000
[mfe_pct] => 0.16
[mae_pct] => 1.94
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:11:19-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T18:11:19-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.023
[max_drawdown] => 0.327
[rr_ratio] => 0.07
[high] => 14.39500000
[low] => 14.04500000
[mfe_pct] => 0.16
[mae_pct] => 2.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:11:19-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T23:11:19-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 14.15200000
[high_after] => 14.39500000
[low_before] => 13.69200000
[low_after] => 14.04500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)