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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 16:17:09

Take profit at 185.4752 (1.75 %) and Stop Loss at 190.4324 (0.88 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 16:17:09

With 4.8414 MSTR at 188.78$ per unit.

Position size of 913.9586 $

Take profit at 185.4752 (1.75 %) and Stop Loss at 190.4324 (0.88 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.02
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.76
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.469504

15m : -0.013571

1H : 0.00951

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 1.101610802
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 190.492
  4. ema21 : 195.447
  5. ema50 : 198.178
  6. ema100 : 199.055
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00899053
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0253496
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137826
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0516233
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.558808
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.320955
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.129854
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0616016
  17. rsi : 0.362539
  18. adx : 0.298004
  19. kc_percentage : 0.11372
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0880511
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.236655
  22. volume_ema1 : 709845.30451874
  23. volume_ema2 : 574004.10820119
  24. chop : 26.033
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 186.662
  28. ema21 : 187.853
  29. ema50 : 192.995
  30. ema100 : 197.978
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0113418
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00633714
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0266428
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.04646
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0194942
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.176483
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.190766
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.139487
  41. rsi : 0.491661
  42. adx : 0.473585
  43. kc_percentage : 0.630531
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0451432
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.434419
  46. volume_ema1 : 122034.00811845
  47. volume_ema2 : 215767.89639956
  48. chop : 50.6213
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 187.352
  52. ema21 : 186.281
  53. ema50 : 186.941
  54. ema100 : 190.403
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00761774
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00574887
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00353081
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00852557
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.140981
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0709824
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00514931
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0442141
  65. rsi : 0.620932
  66. adx : 0.252829
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04856
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0237092
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.161504
  70. volume_ema1 : 61464.939050511
  71. volume_ema2 : 73303.804145067
  72. chop : 29.9465
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89875.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000101625
  78. 5m_price: 
    89866.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.469504
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90955
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.011971
  83. 15m_price: 
    89866.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.013571
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92767.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0312796
  88. 1H_price: 
    89866.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.00951
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.4008342629869
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8264885370279
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.348727252735
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:00:00
                    [1] => 189.68
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.43757908055673
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1741695804196
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6276223776224
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 11:35:00
                    [1] => 186.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:00:00
                    [1] => 190.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                    [1] => 184.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                    [1] => 185.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                    [1] => 183.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                    [1] => 186.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                    [1] => 188.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:10:00
                    [1] => 189.68
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.43757908055673
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1741695804196
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.77568802465201
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.17%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.78%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0324
0.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.5852
1.93%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 11:35:00 186.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 12:00:00 190.4 ↑ High
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:10:00 189.68 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.17%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.63%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.7776
9.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.5852
1.93%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 16:00:00 189.68 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.83%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.3776
12.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.5852
1.93%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
16:17:09		 19 Nov 2025
16:20:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.78 190.4324 185.4752 2 128.93
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.78
  • Stop Loss: 190.4324
  • Take Profit: 185.4752

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 190.4324 - 188.78 = 1.6524

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.78 - 185.4752 = 3.3048

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.3048 / 1.6524 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
913.9586 100 4.8414 9.14
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.6524

Taille de position = 8 / 1.6524 = 4.84

Taille de position USD = 4.84 x 188.78 = 913.7

Donc, tu peux acheter 4.84 avec un stoploss a 190.4324

Avec un position size USD de 913.7$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4.84 x 1.6524 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4.84 x 3.3048 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4.84
  • Taille de position USD 913.7
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.75 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.88 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2448 % 142.21 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 185.4752
            [entry_price] => 188.78
            [stop_loss] => 190.59764
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 185.4752
            [entry_price] => 188.78
            [stop_loss] => 190.76288
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 185.4752
            [entry_price] => 188.78
            [stop_loss] => 190.92812
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 185.4752
            [entry_price] => 188.78
            [stop_loss] => 191.2586
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.090000000000003
            [max_drawdown] => 4.44
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 193.22000000
            [low] => 188.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.05
            [mae_pct] => 2.35
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:17:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T18:17:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.090000000000003
            [max_drawdown] => 7.82
            [rr_ratio] => 0.01
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 188.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.05
            [mae_pct] => 4.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:17:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T23:17:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 189.68000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 181.89000000
            [low_after] => 188.69000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)