Short Trade on ORDI 19 Nov 2025 at 16:22:35
Take profit at 4.3249 (2.06 %) and Stop Loss at 4.4615 (1.03 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 19 Nov 2025 at 16:22:35
Take profit at 4.3249 (2.06 %) and Stop Loss at 4.4615 (1.03 %)
Position size of 775.9769 $
Take profit at 4.3249 (2.06 %) and Stop Loss at 4.4615 (1.03 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.96 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.76 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.064022 15m : 0.006792 1H : 0.037801 |
1 |
Indicators:
89875.9
0.000256096
89899
0.064022
90955.6
-0.0116174
89899
0.006792
92768.5
-0.0309328
89899
0.037801
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 20:00:00
[1] => 4.431
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 04:00:00
[1] => 4.626
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 12:00:00
[1] => 4.226
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:00:00
[1] => 4.654
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
[1] => 4.167
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 00:00:00
[1] => 4.454
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:00:00
[1] => 4.755
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 01:00:00
[1] => 4.485
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
[1] => 4.665
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:00:00
[1] => 4.197
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.4233654876742
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1227066952585
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.150822015726
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:30:00
[1] => 4.744
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 01:15:00
[1] => 4.485
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 02:45:00
[1] => 4.598
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:15:00
[1] => 4.523
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 05:00:00
[1] => 4.586
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 06:30:00
[1] => 4.518
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 07:30:00
[1] => 4.665
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
[1] => 4.632
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:30:00
[1] => 4.197
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 16:15:00
[1] => 4.429
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38383382253331
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1227066952585
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.5277579223255
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 09:25:00
[1] => 4.493
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:05:00
[1] => 4.632
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 11:05:00
[1] => 4.507
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 12:35:00
[1] => 4.27
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 12:50:00
[1] => 4.371
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:25:00
[1] => 4.228
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:10:00
[1] => 4.258
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:35:00
[1] => 4.197
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:50:00
[1] => 4.258
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
[1] => 4.429
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38383382253331
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1227066952585
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0159699389385
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 09:25:00 | 4.493 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:05:00 | 4.632 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 11:05:00 | 4.507 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 12:35:00 | 4.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 12:50:00 | 4.371 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:25:00 | 4.228 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 14:10:00 | 4.258 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 14:35:00 | 4.197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 14:50:00 | 4.258 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 16:20:00 | 4.429 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 20:30:00 | 4.744 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 01:15:00 | 4.485 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 02:45:00 | 4.598 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 04:15:00 | 4.523 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 05:00:00 | 4.586 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 06:30:00 | 4.518 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 07:30:00 | 4.665 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 10:00:00 | 4.632 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 14:30:00 | 4.197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 16:15:00 | 4.429 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 20:00:00 | 4.431 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 04:00:00 | 4.626 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:00:00 | 4.226 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 09:00:00 | 4.654 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 19:00:00 | 4.167 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 00:00:00 | 4.454 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 18:00:00 | 4.755 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 01:00:00 | 4.485 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 07:00:00 | 4.665 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 14:00:00 | 4.197 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 16:22:35 |
19 Nov 2025 21:35:00 |
5 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.416 | 4.4615 | 4.3249 | 2 | 2.547 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.4615 - 4.416 = 0.0455
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.416 - 4.3249 = 0.0911
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0911 / 0.0455 = 2.0022
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 775.9769 | 100 | 175.7194 | 7.76 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0455 = 175.82
Taille de position USD = 175.82 x 4.416 = 776.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 175.82 avec un stoploss a 4.4615
Avec un position size USD de 776.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 175.82 x 0.0455 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 175.82 x 0.0911 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.06 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2908 % | 125.28 % | 16 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.3249
[entry_price] => 4.416
[stop_loss] => 4.46605
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 21:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.3249
[entry_price] => 4.416
[stop_loss] => 4.4706
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 21:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.3249
[entry_price] => 4.416
[stop_loss] => 4.47515
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-19 22:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.056
[max_drawdown] => 0.013999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 4
[high] => 4.43000000
[low] => 4.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.27
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:22:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T18:22:35-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.058000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.073
[rr_ratio] => 0.79
[high] => 4.48900000
[low] => 4.35800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.31
[mae_pct] => 1.65
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.79
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:22:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-19T23:22:35-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.42900000
[high_after] => 4.48000000
[low_before] => 4.19700000
[low_after] => 4.35800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)