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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 16:27:37

Take profit at 186.2949 (1.82 %) and Stop Loss at 191.4776 (0.91 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 16:27:37

With 4.6308 MSTR at 189.75$ per unit.

Position size of 878.6988 $

Take profit at 186.2949 (1.82 %) and Stop Loss at 191.4776 (0.91 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.491253

15m : 0.229063

1H : -0.025397

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 1.151702998
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 190.686
  4. ema21 : 195.535
  5. ema50 : 198.216
  6. ema100 : 199.075
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00491188
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.024797
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.013527
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0468422
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.55089
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.31734
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.12828
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0608034
  17. rsi : 0.382225
  18. adx : 0.292988
  19. kc_percentage : 0.177762
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0906576
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.30989
  22. volume_ema1 : 759540.60405207
  23. volume_ema2 : 579850.61402864
  24. chop : 26.1142
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 186.676
  28. ema21 : 187.859
  29. ema50 : 192.998
  30. ema100 : 197.979
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0164621
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00629628
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0266236
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0415672
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0188707
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.176207
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.19065
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.139429
  41. rsi : 0.493797
  42. adx : 0.473585
  43. kc_percentage : 0.74357
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0449124
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.427127
  46. volume_ema1 : 123721.14145178
  47. volume_ema2 : 215966.38267407
  48. chop : 50.6213
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 188.328
  52. ema21 : 186.942
  53. ema50 : 187.185
  54. ema100 : 190.398
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00754665
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00741393
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00129765
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00340637
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.179476
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.102149
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0143535
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0330653
  65. rsi : 0.635734
  66. adx : 0.293133
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07977
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0249285
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.0338205
  70. volume_ema1 : 69704.378003931
  71. volume_ema2 : 72144.34079543
  72. chop : 23.7401
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89892.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00516167
  78. 5m_price: 
    90356.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.491253
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90955.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0115872
  83. 15m_price: 
    89901.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.229063
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92777.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0260973
  88. 1H_price: 
    90356.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.025397
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.1631663190571
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.09588212656
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.348727252735
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:15:00
                    [1] => 191.13
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.93653534243708
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4418706293706
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.419798951049
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 11:35:00
                    [1] => 186.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:00:00
                    [1] => 190.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                    [1] => 184.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                    [1] => 185.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                    [1] => 183.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                    [1] => 186.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                    [1] => 188.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:20:00
                    [1] => 191.13
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.93653534243708
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4418706293706
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5460631176283
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.94%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.44%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3476
0.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4049
2.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 11:35:00 186.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 12:00:00 190.4 ↑ High
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:20:00 191.13 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.94%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.44%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.42%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.7324
8.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4049
2.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 16:15:00 191.13 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.10%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.3324
11.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4049
2.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
16:27:37		 19 Nov 2025
16:40:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
189.75 191.4776 186.2949 2 129.69
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 189.75
  • Stop Loss: 191.4776
  • Take Profit: 186.2949

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 191.4776 - 189.75 = 1.7276

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 189.75 - 186.2949 = 3.4551

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.4551 / 1.7276 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
878.6988 100 4.6308 8.79
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.7276

Taille de position = 8 / 1.7276 = 4.63

Taille de position USD = 4.63 x 189.75 = 878.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 4.63 avec un stoploss a 191.4776

Avec un position size USD de 878.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4.63 x 1.7276 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4.63 x 3.4551 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4.63
  • Taille de position USD 878.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.82 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.91
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0698 % 117.5 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 186.2949
            [entry_price] => 189.75
            [stop_loss] => 191.65036
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 186.2949
            [entry_price] => 189.75
            [stop_loss] => 191.82312
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 186.2949
            [entry_price] => 189.75
            [stop_loss] => 191.99588
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 186.2949
            [entry_price] => 189.75
            [stop_loss] => 192.3414
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.06
            [max_drawdown] => 3.99
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 193.74000000
            [low] => 188.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 2.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:27:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T18:27:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.06
            [max_drawdown] => 6.85
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 188.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 3.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:27:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T23:27:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 191.13000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 181.89000000
            [low_after] => 188.69000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)