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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 16:57:59

Take profit at 188.8736 (1.66 %) and Stop Loss at 193.6682 (0.83 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 16:57:59

With 5.0056 MSTR at 192.07$ per unit.

Position size of 961.4326 $

Take profit at 188.8736 (1.66 %) and Stop Loss at 193.6682 (0.83 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.86
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.88
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.494055

15m : 0.041056

1H : 0.073661

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 1.065465587
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 191.15
  4. ema21 : 195.746
  5. ema50 : 198.307
  6. ema100 : 199.121
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00480966
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0234773
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0129161
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.035411
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.531953
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.308694
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.124513
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0588944
  17. rsi : 0.424714
  18. adx : 0.289908
  19. kc_percentage : 0.304199
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0915827
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.437218
  22. volume_ema1 : 848395.86365207
  23. volume_ema2 : 590304.17398159
  24. chop : 26.1684
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 188.549
  28. ema21 : 188.562
  29. ema50 : 192.831
  30. ema100 : 197.118
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0186712
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -6.6337E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0221426
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0256099
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.113482
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0867343
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.148946
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.114884
  41. rsi : 0.580572
  42. adx : 0.424595
  43. kc_percentage : 0.910096
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0460608
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.362577
  46. volume_ema1 : 140857.91649709
  47. volume_ema2 : 220980.52917288
  48. chop : 40.8707
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 190.703
  52. ema21 : 188.907
  53. ema50 : 188.076
  54. ema100 : 190.433
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00716658
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0095082
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00441426
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00859333
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.231998
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.164868
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0632311
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00179888
  65. rsi : 0.679892
  66. adx : 0.363585
  67. kc_percentage : 1.2308
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0217554
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.589342
  70. volume_ema1 : 27126.698011685
  71. volume_ema2 : 66056.750259845
  72. chop : 28.6508
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89939.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00850348
  78. 5m_price: 
    90704.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.494055
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90967.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00644627
  83. 15m_price: 
    90380.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.041056
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92784.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.022419
  88. 1H_price: 
    90704.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.073661
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:00:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015616866215513
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.596789268239
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6132827533124
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015616866215513
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9333479020979
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9497377622378
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 11:35:00
                    [1] => 186.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:00:00
                    [1] => 190.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                    [1] => 184.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                    [1] => 185.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                    [1] => 183.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                    [1] => 186.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                    [1] => 188.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015616866215513
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9333479020979
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0614174901711
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.93%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.06%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.5682
0.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.9836
3.70%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 11:35:00 186.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 12:00:00 190.4 ↑ High
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.93%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.5418
7.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.9836
3.70%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.60%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.61%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.1418
10.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.9836
3.70%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 16:00:00 192.1 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
16:57:59		 19 Nov 2025
18:20:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
192.07 193.6682 188.8736 2 131.85
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 192.07
  • Stop Loss: 193.6682
  • Take Profit: 188.8736

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 193.6682 - 192.07 = 1.5982

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 192.07 - 188.8736 = 3.1964

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.1964 / 1.5982 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
961.4326 100 5.0056 9.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.5982

Taille de position = 8 / 1.5982 = 5.01

Taille de position USD = 5.01 x 192.07 = 962.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.01 avec un stoploss a 193.6682

Avec un position size USD de 962.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.01 x 1.5982 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.01 x 3.1964 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.01
  • Taille de position USD 962.27
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.66 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.83 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.83
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8695 % 104.49 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.8736
            [entry_price] => 192.07
            [stop_loss] => 193.82802
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.8736
            [entry_price] => 192.07
            [stop_loss] => 193.98784
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.8736
            [entry_price] => 192.07
            [stop_loss] => 194.14766
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.8736
            [entry_price] => 192.07
            [stop_loss] => 194.4673
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8
            [max_drawdown] => 2.3
            [rr_ratio] => 0.78
            [high] => 194.37000000
            [low] => 190.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.94
            [mae_pct] => 1.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.78
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:57:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T18:57:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8
            [max_drawdown] => 4.53
            [rr_ratio] => 0.4
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 190.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.94
            [mae_pct] => 2.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T16:57:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T23:57:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 192.10000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 181.89000000
            [low_after] => 190.27000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)