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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 17:25:31

Take profit at 189.1375 (1.18 %) and Stop Loss at 192.5163 (0.59 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 17:25:31

With 7.1032 MSTR at 191.39$ per unit.

Position size of 1359.4813 $

Take profit at 189.1375 (1.18 %) and Stop Loss at 192.5163 (0.59 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.491536

15m : -0.072313

1H : 0.071555

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.7508353825
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 191.198
  4. ema21 : 195.35
  5. ema50 : 198.036
  6. ema100 : 198.967
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00100155
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0212526
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0135636
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0380864
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.537142
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.331527
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.141813
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0689949
  17. rsi : 0.41569
  18. adx : 0.288372
  19. kc_percentage : 0.269996
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0847654
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0429884
  22. volume_ema1 : 595164.10203472
  23. volume_ema2 : 570633.44475878
  24. chop : 26.7239
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 189.604
  28. ema21 : 189.071
  29. ema50 : 192.717
  30. ema100 : 196.804
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00941908
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00281648
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0189198
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0275113
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.179668
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0215763
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.116107
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0988452
  41. rsi : 0.561704
  42. adx : 0.379415
  43. kc_percentage : 0.815391
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0396571
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.588302
  46. volume_ema1 : 82447.197969076
  47. volume_ema2 : 200261.67985874
  48. chop : 44.892
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 191.218
  52. ema21 : 189.995
  53. ema50 : 188.783
  54. ema100 : 190.509
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00089684
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00643537
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00642098
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00461948
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.131554
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.137789
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0727424
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0109455
  65. rsi : 0.6369
  66. adx : 0.394253
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00833
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0133062
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.877119
  70. volume_ema1 : 6819.9135220135
  71. volume_ema2 : 55500.196067307
  72. chop : 55.4354
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89977.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00191543
  78. 5m_price: 
    90150.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.491536
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90892.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00726224
  83. 15m_price: 
    90232.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.072313
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92723.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0277561
  88. 1H_price: 
    90150.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.071555
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:00:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.57261842790213
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0085216339546
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6132827533124
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.57261842790213
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3487762237762
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9497377622378
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:00:00
                    [1] => 190.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                    [1] => 184.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                    [1] => 185.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                    [1] => 183.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                    [1] => 186.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                    [1] => 188.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 17:25:00
                    [1] => 190.27
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.57261842790213
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38366531770641
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.96179113890786
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.38%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.96%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4163
0.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.2475
3.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 12:00:00 190.4 ↑ High
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
2025-11-19 17:25:00 190.27 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.35%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.6937
8.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.2475
3.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.01%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.61%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
21.2937
11.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.2475
3.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 16:00:00 192.1 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
17:25:31		 19 Nov 2025
18:05:00		 39 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
191.39 192.5163 189.1375 2 128.53
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 191.39
  • Stop Loss: 192.5163
  • Take Profit: 189.1375

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 192.5163 - 191.39 = 1.1263

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 191.39 - 189.1375 = 2.2525

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2525 / 1.1263 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1359.4813 100 7.1032 13.59
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.1263

Taille de position = 8 / 1.1263 = 7.1

Taille de position USD = 7.1 x 191.39 = 1358.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.1 avec un stoploss a 192.5163

Avec un position size USD de 1358.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.1 x 1.1263 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.1 x 2.2525 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7.1
  • Taille de position USD 1358.87
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.18 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.59 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.59
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7106 % 120.75 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.1375
            [entry_price] => 191.39
            [stop_loss] => 192.62893
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.1375
            [entry_price] => 191.39
            [stop_loss] => 192.74156
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.1375
            [entry_price] => 191.39
            [stop_loss] => 192.85419
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.1375
            [entry_price] => 191.39
            [stop_loss] => 193.07945
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.79999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 3.41
            [rr_ratio] => 0.23
            [high] => 194.80000000
            [low] => 190.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 1.78
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T17:25:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T19:25:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.79999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 5.21
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 190.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 2.72
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T17:25:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T00:25:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 192.10000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 181.89000000
            [low_after] => 190.59000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)