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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 18:08:09

Take profit at 190.5824 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 193.5188 (0.51 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 18:08:09

With 8.1734 MSTR at 192.54$ per unit.

Position size of 1573.707 $

Take profit at 190.5824 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 193.5188 (0.51 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.92
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.544713

15m : 0.001568

1H : 0.070716

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.25
  4. atr: 0.6525229725
Details
  1. score: 1.25
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 191.391
  4. ema21 : 195.055
  5. ema50 : 197.803
  6. ema100 : 198.831
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00600024
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0187858
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138884
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0316427
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.531775
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.348065
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.156611
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0779778
  17. rsi : 0.439772
  18. adx : 0.285301
  19. kc_percentage : 0.352504
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0808151
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.200115
  22. volume_ema1 : 443370.64612314
  23. volume_ema2 : 554293.46661276
  24. chop : 27.2635
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 190.577
  28. ema21 : 189.679
  29. ema50 : 192.594
  30. ema100 : 196.614
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0102966
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00473389
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0151336
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.020723
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.258146
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0653901
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0683003
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0768193
  41. rsi : 0.593399
  42. adx : 0.310445
  43. kc_percentage : 0.917617
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0359314
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.626118
  46. volume_ema1 : 68582.566601949
  47. volume_ema2 : 183433.94930233
  48. chop : 42.313
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 191.462
  52. ema21 : 190.743
  53. ema50 : 189.403
  54. ema100 : 189.969
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00562544
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00377023
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0070747
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0135331
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0214525
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0614338
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0534823
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0165158
  65. rsi : 0.678195
  66. adx : 0.282326
  67. kc_percentage : 1.24685
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0119935
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.284115
  70. volume_ema1 : 34873.73890031
  71. volume_ema2 : 48714.193074859
  72. chop : 59.8526
  73. regime : bull_low_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90095.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0112033
  78. 5m_price: 
    91105.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.544713
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90970.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00148589
  83. 15m_price: 
    91105.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.001568
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92600.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0161494
  88. 1H_price: 
    91105.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.070716
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:00:00
                    [1] => 192.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24902723735408
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.706745835395
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.9706415965694
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:00:00
                    [1] => 192.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24902723735408
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0426136363636
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.3048513986014
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                    [1] => 184.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                    [1] => 185.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                    [1] => 183.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                    [1] => 186.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                    [1] => 188.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 17:25:00
                    [1] => 190.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:05:00
                    [1] => 192.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24902723735408
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0511378567299
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3034109423451
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.30%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7688
0.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.6924
4.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
2025-11-19 17:25:00 190.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:05:00 192.75 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.04%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.6912
7.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.6924
4.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:00:00 192.75 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.71%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.97%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.2912
10.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.6924
4.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:00:00 192.75 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
18:08:09		 19 Nov 2025
18:20:00		 11 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
192.54 193.5188 190.5824 2 130.54
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 192.54
  • Stop Loss: 193.5188
  • Take Profit: 190.5824

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 193.5188 - 192.54 = 0.97880000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 192.54 - 190.5824 = 1.9576

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.9576 / 0.97880000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1573.707 100 8.1734 15.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.97880000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.97880000000001 = 8.17

Taille de position USD = 8.17 x 192.54 = 1573.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 8.17 avec un stoploss a 193.5188

Avec un position size USD de 1573.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8.17 x 0.97880000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8.17 x 1.9576 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8.17
  • Taille de position USD 1573.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.02 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.51 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6232 % 122.58 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.5824
            [entry_price] => 192.54
            [stop_loss] => 193.61668
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.5824
            [entry_price] => 192.54
            [stop_loss] => 193.71456
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.5824
            [entry_price] => 192.54
            [stop_loss] => 193.81244
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.5824
            [entry_price] => 192.54
            [stop_loss] => 194.0082
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.26999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 3.58
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 196.12000000
            [low] => 192.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.14
            [mae_pct] => 1.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T18:08:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T20:08:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.41
            [max_drawdown] => 4.06
            [rr_ratio] => 0.1
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 192.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.21
            [mae_pct] => 2.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T18:08:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T01:08:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 192.75000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 183.04000000
            [low_after] => 192.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)