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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 18:19:38

Take profit at 191.0926 (1 %) and Stop Loss at 193.9837 (0.5 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 18:19:38

With 8.3015 MSTR at 193.02$ per unit.

Position size of 1602.3462 $

Take profit at 191.0926 (1 %) and Stop Loss at 193.9837 (0.5 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.543717

15m : 0.01622

1H : -0.051682

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.3
  4. atr: 0.6424579247
Details
  1. score: 1.3
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 191.487
  4. ema21 : 195.099
  5. ema50 : 197.821
  6. ema100 : 198.841
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00800258
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0185132
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137616
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.029275
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.527861
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.346278
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.155833
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0775832
  17. rsi : 0.44811
  18. adx : 0.283026
  19. kc_percentage : 0.382468
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0820233
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.177212
  22. volume_ema1 : 457426.54612314
  23. volume_ema2 : 555947.10190688
  24. chop : 27.3004
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 191.117
  28. ema21 : 190.009
  29. ema50 : 192.64
  30. ema100 : 196.678
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00995541
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00582818
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0136555
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0185991
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.280158
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0926292
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0523241
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0699514
  41. rsi : 0.606977
  42. adx : 0.300764
  43. kc_percentage : 0.964977
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0336567
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.687877
  46. volume_ema1 : 55675.133645743
  47. volume_ema2 : 178375.88182299
  48. chop : 39.3304
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 191.963
  52. ema21 : 191.105
  53. ema50 : 189.654
  54. ema100 : 189.994
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00550459
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00448988
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00765013
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0159265
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0366814
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0616363
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0544729
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0193499
  65. rsi : 0.702724
  66. adx : 0.295177
  67. kc_percentage : 1.29783
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0119455
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.430603
  70. volume_ema1 : 25029.37659273
  71. volume_ema2 : 43957.726424796
  72. chop : 47.263
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90184.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0135061
  78. 5m_price: 
    91402.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.543717
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90984.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00460074
  83. 15m_price: 
    91402.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.01622
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92606.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0130005
  88. 1H_price: 
    91402.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.051682
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:00:00
                    [1] => 193.22
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10350895352447
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.1190829622299
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2290395293859
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:15:00
                    [1] => 193.22
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10350895352447
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.4523601398601
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.5616258741259
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                    [1] => 184.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                    [1] => 185.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                    [1] => 183.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                    [1] => 186.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                    [1] => 188.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 17:25:00
                    [1] => 190.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:15:00
                    [1] => 193.22
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10350895352447
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4453145530036
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5504283386766
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.45%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7637
0.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2026
4.82%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
2025-11-19 17:25:00 190.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:15:00 193.22 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.45%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.56%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.2263
7.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2026
4.82%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:15:00 193.22 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.12%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.8263
10.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2026
4.82%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:00:00 193.22 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
18:19:38		 19 Nov 2025
18:55:00		 35 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
193.02 193.9837 191.0926 2 133.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 193.02
  • Stop Loss: 193.9837
  • Take Profit: 191.0926

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 193.9837 - 193.02 = 0.96369999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 193.02 - 191.0926 = 1.9274

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.9274 / 0.96369999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1602.3462 100 8.3015 16.02
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.96369999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.96369999999999 = 8.3

Taille de position USD = 8.3 x 193.02 = 1602.07

Donc, tu peux acheter 8.3 avec un stoploss a 193.9837

Avec un position size USD de 1602.07$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8.3 x 0.96369999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8.3 x 1.9274 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8.3
  • Taille de position USD 1602.07
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.5 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6994 % 140.08 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.0926
            [entry_price] => 193.02
            [stop_loss] => 194.08007
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.0926
            [entry_price] => 193.02
            [stop_loss] => 194.17644
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.0926
            [entry_price] => 193.02
            [stop_loss] => 194.27281
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.0926
            [entry_price] => 193.02
            [stop_loss] => 194.46555
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.10000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 3.1
            [rr_ratio] => 0.03
            [high] => 196.12000000
            [low] => 192.92000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.05
            [mae_pct] => 1.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T18:19:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T20:19:38-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.89000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 3.58
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 192.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 1.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T18:19:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T01:19:38-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 193.22000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 183.04000000
            [low_after] => 192.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)