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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 18:36:27

Take profit at 191.1695 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 193.7952 (0.45 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 18:36:27

With 9.1403 MSTR at 192.92$ per unit.

Position size of 1763.3429 $

Take profit at 191.1695 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 193.7952 (0.45 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.05
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.91
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.97
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.522183

15m : 0.003198

1H : -0.027726

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.5834977838
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 191.467
  4. ema21 : 195.09
  5. ema50 : 197.817
  6. ema100 : 198.839
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00758559
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.01857
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.013788
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0297683
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.528677
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.34665
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.155995
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0776654
  17. rsi : 0.446393
  18. adx : 0.281363
  19. kc_percentage : 0.378352
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0831439
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.101428
  22. volume_ema1 : 635397.20525648
  23. volume_ema2 : 576884.8265108
  24. chop : 27.3286
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 191.56
  28. ema21 : 190.314
  29. ema50 : 192.659
  30. ema100 : 196.543
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00709603
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0065487
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0121742
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0184367
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.292406
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.115089
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0372081
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0615235
  41. rsi : 0.608779
  42. adx : 0.294274
  43. kc_percentage : 0.919625
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0321271
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.0158438
  46. volume_ema1 : 188101.29450827
  47. volume_ema2 : 191129.5259234
  48. chop : 36.9955
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 192.661
  52. ema21 : 191.76
  53. ema50 : 190.171
  54. ema100 : 190.214
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00134196
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00469843
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00835809
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0142222
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0618558
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0677899
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0586867
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0244986
  65. rsi : 0.658008
  66. adx : 0.325314
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02244
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0107429
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.847019
  70. volume_ema1 : 107921.94742326
  71. volume_ema2 : 58430.324163203
  72. chop : 40.9855
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90218.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0134321
  78. 5m_price: 
    91430.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.522183
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90976
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00365144
  83. 15m_price: 
    91308.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.003198
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92607.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0127052
  88. 1H_price: 
    91430.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.027726
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:00:00
                    [1] => 193.74
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0051615567255184
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.5094287756336
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.5149266039914
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 17:30:00
                    [1] => 206.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:15:00
                    [1] => 193.74
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0051615567255184
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.8402534965035
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.8457167832168
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                    [1] => 184.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                    [1] => 185.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                    [1] => 183.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                    [1] => 186.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                    [1] => 188.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 17:25:00
                    [1] => 190.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 18:20:00
                    [1] => 193.74
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0051615567255184
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8184684921427
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8237241814264
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.82%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0552
0.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2795
4.85%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
2025-11-19 17:25:00 190.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:20:00 193.74 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.84%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.85%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.4148
7.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2795
4.85%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 17:30:00 206.27 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:15:00 193.74 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.51%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.0148
10.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2795
4.85%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:00:00 193.74 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
18:36:27		 19 Nov 2025
18:40:00		 3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
192.92 193.7952 191.1695 2 130.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 192.92
  • Stop Loss: 193.7952
  • Take Profit: 191.1695

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 193.7952 - 192.92 = 0.87520000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 192.92 - 191.1695 = 1.7505

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7505 / 0.87520000000001 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1763.3429 100 9.1403 17.63
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.87520000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.87520000000001 = 9.14

Taille de position USD = 9.14 x 192.92 = 1763.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.14 avec un stoploss a 193.7952

Avec un position size USD de 1763.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.14 x 0.87520000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.14 x 1.7505 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.14
  • Taille de position USD 1763.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.91 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.45 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5235 % 115.38 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.1695
            [entry_price] => 192.92
            [stop_loss] => 193.88272
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.1695
            [entry_price] => 192.92
            [stop_loss] => 193.97024
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.1695
            [entry_price] => 192.92
            [stop_loss] => 194.05776
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.1695
            [entry_price] => 192.92
            [stop_loss] => 194.2328
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.32000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 3.46
            [rr_ratio] => -0.09
            [high] => 196.38000000
            [low] => 193.24000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.17
            [mae_pct] => 1.79
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T18:36:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T20:36:27-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 3.68
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 192.13000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.41
            [mae_pct] => 1.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T18:36:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T01:36:27-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 193.74000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 183.04000000
            [low_after] => 192.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)