Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 19:02:00
Take profit at 192.6837 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 195.2132 (0.43 %)
Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 19:02:00
Take profit at 192.6837 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 195.2132 (0.43 %)
Position size of 1844.1727 $
Take profit at 192.6837 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 195.2132 (0.43 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.479746 15m : -0.011454 1H : 0.040965 |
1 |
Indicators:
90175.3
0.0147441
91504.9
0.479746
90952.3
0.00607525
91504.9
-0.011454
92587.5
-0.0116931
91504.9
0.040965
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 12:45:00 | 184.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 13:30:00 | 181.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 14:15:00 | 185.62 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 14:40:00 | 183.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 14:55:00 | 186.62 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 15:15:00 | 183.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 15:35:00 | 188.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 16:45:00 | 192.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 17:25:00 | 190.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 18:55:00 | 194.37 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 18:15:00 | 206.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 20:15:00 | 202.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 22:00:00 | 208.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:45:00 | 199.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 03:30:00 | 205.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 04:00:00 | 202.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 07:45:00 | 206.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:30:00 | 181.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 15:15:00 | 183.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 18:45:00 | 194.37 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 05:00:00 | 207.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 14:00:00 | 189.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 198.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 02:00:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 13:00:00 | 213.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 22:00:00 | 208.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 199.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 07:00:00 | 206.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:00:00 | 181.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 18:00:00 | 194.37 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 19:02:00 |
19 Nov 2025 19:30:00 |
28 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194.37 | 195.2132 | 192.6837 | 2 | 133.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 195.2132 - 194.37 = 0.8432
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 194.37 - 192.6837 = 1.6863
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.6863 / 0.8432 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1844.1727 | 100 | 9.4879 | 18.44 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.8432 = 9.49
Taille de position USD = 9.49 x 194.37 = 1844.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 9.49 avec un stoploss a 195.2132
Avec un position size USD de 1844.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9.49 x 0.8432 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9.49 x 1.6863 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9003 % | 207.54 % | 1 |
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