Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 19:02:00

Take profit at 192.6837 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 195.2132 (0.43 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 19:02:00

With 9.4879 MSTR at 194.37$ per unit.

Position size of 1844.1727 $

Take profit at 192.6837 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 195.2132 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.09
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.479746

15m : -0.011454

1H : 0.040965

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.33
  4. atr: 0.562116556
Details
  1. score: 1.33
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 192.28
  4. ema21 : 195.144
  5. ema50 : 197.737
  6. ema100 : 198.778
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0108691
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0146798
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0131113
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0221791
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.507445
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.353093
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.166314
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0844685
  17. rsi : 0.470282
  18. adx : 0.271132
  19. kc_percentage : 0.46055
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0754382
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.213596
  22. volume_ema1 : 437761.86852654
  23. volume_ema2 : 556663.35529615
  24. chop : 27.8663
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 192.648
  29. ema21 : 191.063
  30. ema50 : 192.816
  31. ema100 : 196.494
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00893421
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00829829
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00909375
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0108108
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.29169
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.14659
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0121364
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.048311
  42. rsi : 0.64557
  43. adx : 0.285135
  44. kc_percentage : 1.08154
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0289218
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.465429
  47. volume_ema1 : 95874.386862936
  48. volume_ema2 : 179348.57173602
  49. chop : 39.2212
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 193.552
  54. ema21 : 192.594
  55. ema50 : 190.777
  56. ema100 : 189.945
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0042258
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00497167
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00952506
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0232961
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.102793
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0888329
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0727463
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0416133
  67. rsi : 0.719598
  68. adx : 0.351766
  69. kc_percentage : 1.32847
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0105342
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.580507
  72. volume_ema1 : 21652.553204434
  73. volume_ema2 : 51616.126565475
  74. chop : 34.214
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90175.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0147441
  81. 5m_price:
    91504.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.479746
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90952.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00607525
  86. 15m_price:
    91504.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.011454
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92587.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0116931
  91. 1H_price:
    91504.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.040965
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                        [1] => 207.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                        [1] => 189.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 198.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 213.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                        [1] => 199.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                        [1] => 206.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 181.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 194.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082317230025208
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.773324536808
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.8612897905327
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 18:15:00
                        [1] => 206.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                        [1] => 202.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                        [1] => 208.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                        [1] => 199.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                        [1] => 205.57
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                        [1] => 202.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                        [1] => 206.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                        [1] => 181.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                        [1] => 183.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 18:45:00
                        [1] => 194.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082317230025208
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.1024912587413
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.1899038461539
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                        [1] => 184.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                        [1] => 181.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                        [1] => 185.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                        [1] => 183.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                        [1] => 186.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                        [1] => 183.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                        [1] => 188.22
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                        [1] => 192.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 17:25:00
                        [1] => 190.27
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 18:55:00
                        [1] => 194.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082317230025208
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0707415777579
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1548326062963
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.07%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.15%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8432
0.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.7937
5.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
2025-11-19 17:25:00 190.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:55:00 194.37 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.10%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.9968
6.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.7937
5.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 18:15:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:45:00 194.37 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.77%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.86%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.5968
9.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.7937
5.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 18:00:00 194.37 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
19:02:00
19 Nov 2025
19:30:00
28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.37 195.2132 192.6837 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.37
  • Stop Loss: 195.2132
  • Take Profit: 192.6837

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.2132 - 194.37 = 0.8432

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.37 - 192.6837 = 1.6863

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.6863 / 0.8432 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1844.1727 100 9.4879 18.44
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.8432

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8432 = 9.49

Taille de position USD = 9.49 x 194.37 = 1844.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.49 avec un stoploss a 195.2132

Avec un position size USD de 1844.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.49 x 0.8432 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.49 x 1.6863 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.49
  • Taille de position USD 1844.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.87 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9003 % 207.54 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.6837
            [entry_price] => 194.37
            [stop_loss] => 195.29752
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.6837
            [entry_price] => 194.37
            [stop_loss] => 195.38184
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.6837
            [entry_price] => 194.37
            [stop_loss] => 195.46616
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.6837
            [entry_price] => 194.37
            [stop_loss] => 195.6348
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.81
            [max_drawdown] => 2.23
            [rr_ratio] => 0.36
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 193.56000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 1.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T19:02:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T21:02:00-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.96
            [max_drawdown] => 2.23
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 191.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.52
            [mae_pct] => 1.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T19:02:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T02:02:00-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.37000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 183.04000000
            [low_after] => 192.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)