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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Nov 2025 at 19:28:52

Take profit at 193.0964 (0.82 %) and Stop Loss at 195.4868 (0.41 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Nov 2025 at 19:28:52

With 10.0405 MSTR at 194.69$ per unit.

Position size of 1954.777 $

Take profit at 193.0964 (0.82 %) and Stop Loss at 195.4868 (0.41 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.37
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.88
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.478139

15m : 0.027131

1H : -0.070356

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.5311842158
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 192.344
  4. ema21 : 195.173
  5. ema50 : 197.749
  6. ema100 : 198.785
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0121964
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0144988
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0130268
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0206005
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.50484
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.351904
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.165795
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0842055
  17. rsi : 0.47566
  18. adx : 0.269924
  19. kc_percentage : 0.480914
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0777591
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.179353
  22. volume_ema1 : 458861.08202654
  23. volume_ema2 : 559145.61570791
  24. chop : 27.9298
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 192.835
  28. ema21 : 191.284
  29. ema50 : 192.839
  30. ema100 : 196.419
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00961508
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00810846
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0080644
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00880268
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.270422
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.149935
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00463763
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0437971
  41. rsi : 0.625792
  42. adx : 0.280502
  43. kc_percentage : 1.10017
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0287583
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.545095
  46. volume_ema1 : 79350.446208624
  47. volume_ema2 : 174433.30496344
  48. chop : 45.8123
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 194.024
  52. ema21 : 193.195
  53. ema50 : 191.319
  54. ema100 : 189.812
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00343134
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0042905
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00980695
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0256947
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0677943
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0740957
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0704526
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.048922
  65. rsi : 0.694251
  66. adx : 0.349712
  67. kc_percentage : 1.22803
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0100343
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.798036
  70. volume_ema1 : 8619.7389908446
  71. volume_ema2 : 42679.584116484
  72. chop : 57.1846
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90291
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0165902
  78. 5m_price: 
    91789
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.478139
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90972.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00766585
  83. 15m_price: 
    91669.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.027131
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92593.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00868492
  88. 1H_price: 
    91789
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.070356
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 194.8
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0976964099181
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.0976964099181
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 18:15:00
                    [1] => 206.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:15:00
                    [1] => 202.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 19:15:00
                    [1] => 194.8
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.4248251748252
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4248251748252
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 12:45:00
                    [1] => 184.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:15:00
                    [1] => 185.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:40:00
                    [1] => 183.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 14:55:00
                    [1] => 186.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:35:00
                    [1] => 188.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 16:45:00
                    [1] => 192.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 17:25:00
                    [1] => 190.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 19:25:00
                    [1] => 194.8
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3808272454932
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3808272454932
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
24 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6868
0.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.2064
5.80%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 12:45:00 184.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:15:00 185.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 14:40:00 183.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 14:55:00 186.62 ↑ High
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:35:00 188.22 ↑ High
2025-11-19 16:45:00 192.1 ↑ High
2025-11-19 17:25:00 190.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 19:25:00 194.8 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.42%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.7232
6.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.2064
5.80%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 18:15:00 206.09 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:15:00 202.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 19:15:00 194.8 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.10%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.3232
9.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.2064
5.80%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 19:00:00 194.8 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Nov 2025
19:28:52		 19 Nov 2025
19:30:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.69 195.4868 193.0964 2 130.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.69
  • Stop Loss: 195.4868
  • Take Profit: 193.0964

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.4868 - 194.69 = 0.79679999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.69 - 193.0964 = 1.5936

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5936 / 0.79679999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1954.777 100 10.0405 19.55
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.79679999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.79679999999999 = 10.04

Taille de position USD = 10.04 x 194.69 = 1954.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.04 avec un stoploss a 195.4868

Avec un position size USD de 1954.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.04 x 0.79679999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.04 x 1.5936 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.04
  • Taille de position USD 1954.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.82 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.41 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7345 % 179.45 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.0964
            [entry_price] => 194.69
            [stop_loss] => 195.56648
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.0964
            [entry_price] => 194.69
            [stop_loss] => 195.64616
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.0964
            [entry_price] => 194.69
            [stop_loss] => 195.72584
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.0964
            [entry_price] => 194.69
            [stop_loss] => 195.8852
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.81
            [max_drawdown] => 1.91
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 193.88000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.98
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T19:28:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-19T21:28:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.28
            [max_drawdown] => 1.91
            [rr_ratio] => 1.72
            [high] => 196.60000000
            [low] => 191.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.98
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.72
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-19T19:28:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T02:28:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.80000000
            [high_after] => 196.60000000
            [low_before] => 184.60000000
            [low_after] => 192.13000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)