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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Nov 2025 at 00:10:48

Take profit at 193.669 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 195.4405 (0.3 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 00:10:48

With 13.5479 MSTR at 194.85$ per unit.

Position size of 2639.8162 $

Take profit at 193.669 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 195.4405 (0.3 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.331555

15m : -0.17249

1H : 0.229779

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.3936637761
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 193.759
  4. ema21 : 194.911
  5. ema50 : 197.16
  6. ema100 : 198.378
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00562877
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00590895
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.011411
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.017785
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0957431
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.196652
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.127699
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0723641
  17. rsi : 0.483955
  18. adx : 0.21516
  19. kc_percentage : 0.50555
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0627518
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.778902
  22. volume_ema1 : 105255.70021872
  23. volume_ema2 : 476059.53093149
  24. chop : 48.6898
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 193.817
  28. ema21 : 193.652
  29. ema50 : 193.603
  30. ema100 : 195.513
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00532472
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000853847
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00025518
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00339323
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0568449
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00888655
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.00504872
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0196023
  41. rsi : 0.569809
  42. adx : 0.182062
  43. kc_percentage : 0.784996
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0209718
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.88441
  46. volume_ema1 : 10866.148944587
  47. volume_ema2 : 94006.442386097
  48. chop : 50.8699
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 193.996
  52. ema21 : 193.772
  53. ema50 : 193.786
  54. ema100 : 192.84
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00439968
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00115549
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -7.1876E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0104195
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0082286
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0132941
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00872275
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00652811
  65. rsi : 0.613419
  66. adx : 0.322268
  67. kc_percentage : 1.1599
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00840765
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.344398
  70. volume_ema1 : 5366.3166677162
  71. volume_ema2 : 8185.3364405641
  72. chop : 16.6904
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    91759.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0123957
  78. 5m_price: 
    92897.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.331555
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91296
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0175365
  83. 15m_price: 
    92897.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.17249
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92690.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00222868
  88. 1H_price: 
    92897.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.229779
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1190233977619
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.8777832756061
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.0873055143218
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 23:15:00
                    [1] => 203.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:45:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
                    [1] => 192.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
                    [1] => 195.17
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39452784751754
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1814916983293
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5822620100973
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 19:30:00
                    [1] => 196.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:05:00
                    [1] => 193.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:45:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 21:45:00
                    [1] => 193.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 22:20:00
                    [1] => 193.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 22:40:00
                    [1] => 194.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 22:50:00
                    [1] => 194.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
                    [1] => 192.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 23:40:00
                    [1] => 192.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 00:05:00
                    [1] => 195.17
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39452784751754
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1814916983293
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5822620100973
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.58%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1595
0.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5390
0.79%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 19:30:00 196.12 ↑ High
2025-11-19 20:05:00 193.88 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:45:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-19 21:45:00 193.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 22:20:00 193.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 22:40:00 194.14 ↑ High
2025-11-19 22:50:00 194.14 ↑ High
2025-11-19 23:30:00 192.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 23:40:00 192.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 00:05:00 195.17 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.58%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.7295
5.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.7790
6.08%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 23:15:00 203.42 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:45:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:45:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-19 23:30:00 192.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 00:00:00 195.17 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.88%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.3695
9.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.7790
6.08%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
00:10:48		 20 Nov 2025
01:30:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.85 195.4405 193.669 2 133.68
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.85
  • Stop Loss: 195.4405
  • Take Profit: 193.669

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.4405 - 194.85 = 0.59049999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.85 - 193.669 = 1.181

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.181 / 0.59049999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2639.8162 100 13.5479 26.40
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.59049999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.59049999999999 = 13.55

Taille de position USD = 13.55 x 194.85 = 2640.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.55 avec un stoploss a 195.4405

Avec un position size USD de 2640.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.55 x 0.59049999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.55 x 1.181 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.55
  • Taille de position USD 2640.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.61 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.3 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.669
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 01:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.37375
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 01:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.0785
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 01:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.78325
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 01:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.488
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.19275
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.8975
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.60225
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 01:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.307
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 04:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.01175
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 04:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.7165
            [stop_loss] => 195.4405
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 04:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.44
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 194.85000000
            [low] => 191.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.77
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T00:10:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T02:10:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.77
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 194.85000000
            [low] => 190.08000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.45
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T00:10:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T07:10:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 196.60000000
            [high_after] => 194.85000000
            [low_before] => 192.13000000
            [low_after] => 190.11000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)