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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Nov 2025 at 02:55:21

Take profit at 192.9412 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 194.2744 (0.23 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 02:55:21

With 18.0011 MSTR at 193.83$ per unit.

Position size of 3489.1488 $

Take profit at 192.9412 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 194.2744 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.365063

15m : 0.109005

1H : -0.012954

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.2962785639
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 193.395
  4. ema21 : 194.516
  5. ema50 : 196.809
  6. ema100 : 198.15
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00224742
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00576439
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.011649
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0218035
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0597543
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.108066
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0939464
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0572366
  17. rsi : 0.471168
  18. adx : 0.211809
  19. kc_percentage : 0.453138
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0620926
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.836251
  22. volume_ema1 : 72716.667623135
  23. volume_ema2 : 444074.34571033
  24. chop : 47.7474
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 193.179
  28. ema21 : 193.356
  29. ema50 : 193.49
  30. ema100 : 195.137
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00336738
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000914588
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000694111
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00669811
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0163806
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00761269
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00354644
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0201815
  41. rsi : 0.520256
  42. adx : 0.140068
  43. kc_percentage : 0.646401
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0166955
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.91024
  46. volume_ema1 : 5756.3421006829
  47. volume_ema2 : 64130.549955407
  48. chop : 49.5879
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 193.299
  52. ema21 : 193.183
  53. ema50 : 193.457
  54. ema100 : 193.732
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00274569
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000598044
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00141529
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.000502898
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.022935
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00772647
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0126502
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00928827
  65. rsi : 0.582567
  66. adx : 0.230013
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08243
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00577301
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.939025
  70. volume_ema1 : 265.44377039879
  71. volume_ema2 : 4353.3835838235
  72. chop : 25.9024
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92157.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00178316
  78. 5m_price: 
    92321.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.365063
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91452.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00941802
  83. 15m_price: 
    92314
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.109005
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92642.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00346319
  88. 1H_price: 
    92321.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.012954
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 01:00:00
                    [1] => 191.41
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5259409969481
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1441408494854
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7114570816572
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 205.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
                    [1] => 202.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:45:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:30:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 15:15:00
                    [1] => 183.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:45:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
                    [1] => 192.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
                    [1] => 195.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
                    [1] => 191.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 02:45:00
                    [1] => 193.88
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14441922838869
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1441408494854
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2904236978214
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 22:20:00
                    [1] => 193.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 22:40:00
                    [1] => 194.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 22:50:00
                    [1] => 194.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
                    [1] => 192.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 23:40:00
                    [1] => 192.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 00:05:00
                    [1] => 195.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 00:25:00
                    [1] => 193.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 01:10:00
                    [1] => 194.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 01:50:00
                    [1] => 191.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 02:55:00
                    [1] => 193.88
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14441922838869
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1441408494854
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2904236978214
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.14%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8956
0.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5312
0.79%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 22:20:00 193.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 22:40:00 194.14 ↑ High
2025-11-19 22:50:00 194.14 ↑ High
2025-11-19 23:30:00 192.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 23:40:00 192.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 00:05:00 195.17 ↑ High
2025-11-20 00:25:00 193.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 01:10:00 194.85 ↑ High
2025-11-20 01:50:00 191.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 02:55:00 193.88 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.14%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.8956
6.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.0512
5.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-19 03:30:00 205.57 ↑ High
2025-11-19 04:00:00 202.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:45:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:30:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 15:15:00 183.04 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:45:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-19 23:30:00 192.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 00:00:00 195.17 ↑ High
2025-11-20 01:45:00 191.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 02:45:00 193.88 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.53%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.14%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.5356
10.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.0512
5.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 01:00:00 191.41 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
02:55:21		 20 Nov 2025
03:35:00		 39 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
193.83 194.2744 192.9412 2 130.13
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 193.83
  • Stop Loss: 194.2744
  • Take Profit: 192.9412

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 194.2744 - 193.83 = 0.4444

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 193.83 - 192.9412 = 0.8888

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8888 / 0.4444 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3489.1488 100 18.0011 34.89
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4444

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4444 = 18

Taille de position USD = 18 x 193.83 = 3488.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 18 avec un stoploss a 194.2744

Avec un position size USD de 3488.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18 x 0.4444 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18 x 0.8888 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18
  • Taille de position USD 3488.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.46 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2425 % 105.76 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.9412
            [entry_price] => 193.83
            [stop_loss] => 194.31884
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 03:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.9412
            [entry_price] => 193.83
            [stop_loss] => 194.36328
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 04:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.9412
            [entry_price] => 193.83
            [stop_loss] => 194.40772
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 04:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.9412
            [entry_price] => 193.83
            [stop_loss] => 194.4966
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 04:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.26
            [max_drawdown] => 0.53
            [rr_ratio] => 6.15
            [high] => 194.36000000
            [low] => 190.57000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T02:55:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T04:55:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.63
            [max_drawdown] => 0.53999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 12.28
            [high] => 194.37000000
            [low] => 187.20000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T02:55:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T09:55:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 195.17000000
            [high_after] => 194.37000000
            [low_before] => 191.41000000
            [low_after] => 190.08000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)