Short Trade on AVAX 20 Nov 2025 at 15:30:22
Take profit at 13.6588 (1.55 %) and Stop Loss at 13.9816 (0.78 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 20 Nov 2025 at 15:30:22
Take profit at 13.6588 (1.55 %) and Stop Loss at 13.9816 (0.78 %)
Position size of 1031.5202 $
Take profit at 13.6588 (1.55 %) and Stop Loss at 13.9816 (0.78 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.67 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.42 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.809061 15m : 0.164052 1H : -0.182769 |
3 |
Indicators:
88467.2
-0.0154913
87096.8
0.809061
89827.1
-0.0303953
87096.8
0.164052
91764
-0.0508611
87096.8
-0.182769
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[1] => 14.023
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 03:00:00
[1] => 14.729
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 10:00:00
[1] => 14.359
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 14.91
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 13.925
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 05:00:00
[1] => 14.592
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
[1] => 13.692
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
[1] => 14.441
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
[1] => 14.523
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:00:00
[1] => 13.484
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8337120429663
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4992583803026
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7054286561851
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
[1] => 14.441
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
[1] => 14.221
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 03:00:00
[1] => 14.378
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 05:00:00
[1] => 14.215
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
[1] => 14.523
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 09:00:00
[1] => 14.258
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:00:00
[1] => 13.484
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:15:00
[1] => 13.865
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 13.502
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
[1] => 13.878
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41072200605275
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3626129462302
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7847726262776
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 09:10:00
[1] => 14.258
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 09:30:00
[1] => 14.475
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 10:05:00
[1] => 14.275
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:10:00
[1] => 13.484
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:35:00
[1] => 13.823
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:15:00
[1] => 13.865
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:05:00
[1] => 13.502
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:25:00
[1] => 13.752
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:10:00
[1] => 13.625
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
[1] => 13.878
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41072200605275
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4385321100917
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.856880733945
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 09:10:00 | 14.258 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 09:30:00 | 14.475 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 10:05:00 | 14.275 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 12:10:00 | 13.484 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 12:35:00 | 13.823 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 13:15:00 | 13.865 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:05:00 | 13.502 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:25:00 | 13.752 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:10:00 | 13.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 15:30:00 | 13.878 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 00:00:00 | 14.441 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 01:45:00 | 14.221 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 03:00:00 | 14.378 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 05:00:00 | 14.215 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 08:30:00 | 14.523 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 09:00:00 | 14.258 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 12:00:00 | 13.484 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 13:15:00 | 13.865 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 13.502 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 15:30:00 | 13.878 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 22:00:00 | 14.023 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 03:00:00 | 14.729 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 10:00:00 | 14.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 14.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 13.925 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 05:00:00 | 14.592 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:00:00 | 13.692 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 00:00:00 | 14.441 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 08:00:00 | 14.523 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 12:00:00 | 13.484 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 15:30:22 |
20 Nov 2025 17:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.874 | 13.9816 | 13.6588 | 2 | 9.289 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.9816 - 13.874 = 0.1076
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.874 - 13.6588 = 0.2152
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2152 / 0.1076 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1031.5202 | 100 | 74.3492 | 10.32 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1076 = 74.35
Taille de position USD = 74.35 x 13.874 = 1031.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 74.35 avec un stoploss a 13.9816
Avec un position size USD de 1031.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 74.35 x 0.1076 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 74.35 x 0.2152 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.55 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.78 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7784 % | 100.36 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.131
[max_drawdown] => 0.108
[rr_ratio] => 1.21
[high] => 13.98200000
[low] => 13.74300000
[mfe_pct] => 0.94
[mae_pct] => 0.78
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.21
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T15:30:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-20T17:30:22-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.205
[max_drawdown] => 0.108
[rr_ratio] => 1.9
[high] => 13.98200000
[low] => 13.66900000
[mfe_pct] => 1.48
[mae_pct] => 0.78
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.9
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T15:30:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-20T22:30:22-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.87800000
[high_after] => 13.98200000
[low_before] => 13.48400000
[low_after] => 13.74300000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)