Short Trade on AAVE 20 Nov 2025 at 17:14:52
Take profit at 164.3803 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 168.1898 (0.76 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 20 Nov 2025 at 17:14:52
Take profit at 164.3803 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 168.1898 (0.76 %)
Position size of 1051.5914 $
Take profit at 164.3803 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 168.1898 (0.76 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.84 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.831536 15m : -0.0314 1H : 0.073475 |
3 |
Indicators:
87990.2
-0.0021618
87800
0.831536
89680
-0.0209641
87800
-0.0314
91541.8
-0.0408757
87800
0.073475
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 08:00:00
[1] => 182.43
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 164.76
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 179.54
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 21:00:00
[1] => 178.92
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 169.98
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 05:00:00
[1] => 176.88
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
[1] => 163.55
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
[1] => 179.61
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 159.33
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 167.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.083782166367436
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7888031130358
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.876671060064
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
[1] => 174.95
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
[1] => 177.69
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
[1] => 175.75
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 03:30:00
[1] => 178.96
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 05:00:00
[1] => 175.82
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
[1] => 179.61
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 09:00:00
[1] => 173.64
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:00:00
[1] => 160.66
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 159.33
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 167.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.083782166367436
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7888031130358
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.876671060064
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:00:00
[1] => 160.84
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:10:00
[1] => 163.44
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 159.33
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:25:00
[1] => 163.68
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:55:00
[1] => 164.24
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:15:00
[1] => 161.9
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
[1] => 164.64
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 16:20:00
[1] => 166.56
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 164.96
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:10:00
[1] => 167.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.083782166367436
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2124151309408
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2972841901067
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 13:00:00 | 160.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 13:10:00 | 163.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 159.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:25:00 | 163.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:55:00 | 164.24 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:15:00 | 161.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 15:30:00 | 164.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 16:20:00 | 166.56 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 164.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:10:00 | 167.1 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 23:30:00 | 174.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 00:00:00 | 177.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 01:45:00 | 175.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 03:30:00 | 178.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 05:00:00 | 175.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 08:30:00 | 179.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 09:00:00 | 173.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 12:00:00 | 160.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 159.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 167.1 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 08:00:00 | 182.43 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 164.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 179.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 21:00:00 | 178.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 169.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 05:00:00 | 176.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:00:00 | 163.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 08:00:00 | 179.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 159.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 167.1 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 17:14:52 |
20 Nov 2025 18:10:00 |
55 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166.92 | 168.1898 | 164.3803 | 2 | 118.76 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 168.1898 - 166.92 = 1.2698
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 166.92 - 164.3803 = 2.5397
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5397 / 1.2698 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1051.5914 | 100 | 6.3 | 10.52 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.2698 = 6.3
Taille de position USD = 6.3 x 166.92 = 1051.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.3 avec un stoploss a 168.1898
Avec un position size USD de 1051.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.3 x 1.2698 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.3 x 2.5397 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2816 % | 37.02 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 164.3804
[stop_loss] => 168.1898
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 163.7455
[stop_loss] => 168.1898
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 163.1106
[stop_loss] => 168.1898
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.4757
[stop_loss] => 168.1898
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 161.8408
[stop_loss] => 168.1898
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.18
[max_drawdown] => 0.47
[rr_ratio] => 6.77
[high] => 167.39000000
[low] => 163.74000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.91
[mae_pct] => 0.28
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.77
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:14:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-20T19:14:52-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.39
[max_drawdown] => 1.01
[rr_ratio] => 5.34
[high] => 167.93000000
[low] => 161.53000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.23
[mae_pct] => 0.61
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.34
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:14:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T00:14:52-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 167.10000000
[high_after] => 167.93000000
[low_before] => 159.33000000
[low_after] => 161.77000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)