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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 20 Nov 2025 at 17:16:19

Take profit at 4.0302 (1.46 %) and Stop Loss at 4.1199 (0.73 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 17:16:19

With 267.6182 AR at 4.09$ per unit.

Position size of 1094.5586 $

Take profit at 4.0302 (1.46 %) and Stop Loss at 4.1199 (0.73 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 6.23
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.770316

15m : 0.027914

1H : -0.080924

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.01992888551
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.07197
  4. ema21 : 4.12155
  5. ema50 : 4.16587
  6. ema100 : 4.20677
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00442643
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0120284
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0106386
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0277581
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.307434
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.151364
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0783583
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0527495
  17. rsi : 0.467335
  18. adx : 0.229859
  19. kc_percentage : 0.412478
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0810684
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.212289
  22. volume_ema1 : 174865.53676348
  23. volume_ema2 : 221992.15878499
  24. chop : 37.1381
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.04125
  28. ema21 : 4.04026
  29. ema50 : 4.09257
  30. ema100 : 4.13252
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0120623
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000244675
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0127811
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0102899
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0795841
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0466757
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0859044
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0604311
  41. rsi : 0.561129
  42. adx : 0.245456
  43. kc_percentage : 0.812617
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0401161
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.497091
  46. volume_ema1 : 30860.584131381
  47. volume_ema2 : 61364.242259769
  48. chop : 53.8568
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.06321
  52. ema21 : 4.03821
  53. ema50 : 4.0284
  54. ema100 : 4.06197
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00659194
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00619043
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00243603
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00689864
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.143988
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.100708
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0370401
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0032622
  65. rsi : 0.69643
  66. adx : 0.366831
  67. kc_percentage : 1.163
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0185611
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.100859
  70. volume_ema1 : 18299.837453302
  71. volume_ema2 : 16623.220746713
  72. chop : 42.0931
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87926.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000246649
  78. 5m_price: 
    87948.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.770316
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    89700.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0195366
  83. 15m_price: 
    87948.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.027914
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    91544.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0392887
  88. 1H_price: 
    87948.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.080924
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 4.17
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4.188
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
                    [1] => 4.412
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.321
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 4.047
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.266
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 3.948
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 09:00:00
                    [1] => 4.318
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.929
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
                    [1] => 4.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3522524815475
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3522524815475
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 00:45:00
                    [1] => 4.197
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 02:45:00
                    [1] => 4.292
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 04:30:00
                    [1] => 4.284
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:00:00
                    [1] => 4.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:30:00
                    [1] => 4.212
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 09:00:00
                    [1] => 4.208
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 09:45:00
                    [1] => 4.318
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.929
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.032
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 17:15:00
                    [1] => 4.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3522524815475
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6865079365079
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 12:50:00
                    [1] => 3.938
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 13:10:00
                    [1] => 4.019
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.929
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:25:00
                    [1] => 4.03
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:55:00
                    [1] => 4.032
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:15:00
                    [1] => 3.959
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.011
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:55:00
                    [1] => 3.969
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 16:20:00
                    [1] => 4.063
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 17:15:00
                    [1] => 4.1
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3005794910557
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.91065714988924
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.30%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0199
0.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1012
2.51%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 12:50:00 3.938 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 13:10:00 4.019 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 3.929 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 14:25:00 4.03 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:55:00 4.032 ↑ High
2025-11-20 15:15:00 3.959 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 15:30:00 4.011 ↑ High
2025-11-20 15:55:00 3.969 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 16:20:00 4.063 ↑ High
2025-11-20 17:15:00 4.1 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1981
4.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1012
2.51%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 00:45:00 4.197 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 02:45:00 4.292 ↑ High
2025-11-20 04:30:00 4.284 ↑ High
2025-11-20 05:00:00 4.21 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 06:30:00 4.212 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 09:00:00 4.208 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 09:45:00 4.318 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 3.929 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 14:45:00 4.032 ↑ High
2025-11-20 17:15:00 4.1 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2921
7.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1012
2.51%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:00:00 4.17 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 4.188 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 11:00:00 4.412 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 4.321 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 4.047 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 10:00:00 4.266 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 3.948 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 09:00:00 4.318 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 3.929 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 17:00:00 4.1 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
17:16:19		 20 Nov 2025
18:35:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.09 4.1199 4.0302 2 1.624
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.09
  • Stop Loss: 4.1199
  • Take Profit: 4.0302

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.1199 - 4.09 = 0.0299

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.09 - 4.0302 = 0.0598

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0598 / 0.0299 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1094.5586 100 267.6182 10.95
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0299

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0299 = 267.56

Taille de position USD = 267.56 x 4.09 = 1094.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 267.56 avec un stoploss a 4.1199

Avec un position size USD de 1094.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 267.56 x 0.0299 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 267.56 x 0.0598 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 267.56
  • Taille de position USD 1094.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.46 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.73 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5379 % 73.57 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0302
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.01525
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0003
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.98535
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9704
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.95545
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9405
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.92555
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9106
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.89565
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.8807
            [stop_loss] => 4.1199
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.105
            [max_drawdown] => 0.022
            [rr_ratio] => 4.77
            [high] => 4.11200000
            [low] => 3.98500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:16:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T19:16:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.197
            [max_drawdown] => 0.049
            [rr_ratio] => 4.02
            [high] => 4.13900000
            [low] => 3.89300000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.82
            [mae_pct] => 1.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:16:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T00:16:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.10000000
            [high_after] => 4.13900000
            [low_before] => 3.92900000
            [low_after] => 3.94300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)