Short Trade on RUNE 20 Nov 2025 at 17:16:56
Take profit at 0.6735 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 0.6857 (0.6 %)
Short Trade on RUNE 20 Nov 2025 at 17:16:56
Take profit at 0.6735 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 0.6857 (0.6 %)
Position size of 1342.3746 $
Take profit at 0.6735 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 0.6857 (0.6 %)
That's a 1.98 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.74 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.76 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.65 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.854097 15m : -0.033178 1H : -0.048424 |
3 |
Indicators:
87926.4
0.000246649
87948.1
0.854097
89700.5
-0.0195366
87948.1
-0.033178
91544.7
-0.0392887
87948.1
-0.048424
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
[1] => 0.72
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 03:00:00
[1] => 0.6897
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
[1] => 0.7447
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 0.7004
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
[1] => 0.7236
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
[1] => 0.6778
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 23:00:00
[1] => 0.7256
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
[1] => 0.7184
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 0.651
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 0.6834
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5121451565701
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4393241167435
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9769585253456
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 16:15:00
[1] => 0.703
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 18:00:00
[1] => 0.704
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 23:00:00
[1] => 0.7256
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 23:15:00
[1] => 0.7063
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
[1] => 0.707
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 03:00:00
[1] => 0.7145
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 05:00:00
[1] => 0.7032
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
[1] => 0.7184
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 0.651
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 0.6834
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5121451565701
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4393241167435
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9769585253456
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:35:00
[1] => 0.6671
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:15:00
[1] => 0.6666
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 0.651
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:25:00
[1] => 0.6645
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:55:00
[1] => 0.6674
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
[1] => 0.6695
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:55:00
[1] => 0.6636
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 16:20:00
[1] => 0.6808
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 0.6755
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:10:00
[1] => 0.6834
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5121451565701
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.65136935603256
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1695040710585
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 12:35:00 | 0.6671 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 13:15:00 | 0.6666 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 0.651 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:25:00 | 0.6645 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:55:00 | 0.6674 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:30:00 | 0.6695 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:55:00 | 0.6636 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 16:20:00 | 0.6808 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 0.6755 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:10:00 | 0.6834 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 16:15:00 | 0.703 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 18:00:00 | 0.704 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 23:00:00 | 0.7256 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 23:15:00 | 0.7063 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 01:45:00 | 0.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 03:00:00 | 0.7145 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 05:00:00 | 0.7032 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 08:30:00 | 0.7184 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 0.651 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 0.6834 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 21:00:00 | 0.72 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 03:00:00 | 0.6897 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 13:00:00 | 0.7447 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 0.7004 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:00:00 | 0.7236 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:00:00 | 0.6778 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 23:00:00 | 0.7256 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 08:00:00 | 0.7184 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 0.651 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 0.6834 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 17:16:56 |
20 Nov 2025 18:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6816 | 0.6857 | 0.6735 | 1.98 | 0.3983 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6857 - 0.6816 = 0.0041
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6816 - 0.6735 = 0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0041 = 1.9756
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1342.3746 | 100 | 1969.4463 | 13.42 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0041 = 1951.22
Taille de position USD = 1951.22 x 0.6816 = 1329.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 1951.22 avec un stoploss a 0.6857
Avec un position size USD de 1329.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0041 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0081 = 15.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.8$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.95 $ | 1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5575 % | 92.68 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6734
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.67135
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6693
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.66725
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:50:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6652
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.66315
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:10:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6611
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.65905
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:40:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.657
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.65495
[stop_loss] => 0.6857
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0178
[max_drawdown] => 0.0038
[rr_ratio] => 4.68
[high] => 0.68540000
[low] => 0.66380000
[mfe_pct] => 2.61
[mae_pct] => 0.56
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.68
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:16:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-20T19:16:56-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0281
[max_drawdown] => 0.0038
[rr_ratio] => 7.39
[high] => 0.68540000
[low] => 0.65350000
[mfe_pct] => 4.12
[mae_pct] => 0.56
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.39
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:16:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T00:16:56-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.68340000
[high_after] => 0.68540000
[low_before] => 0.65100000
[low_after] => 0.65360000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)