Short Trade on AR 20 Nov 2025 at 17:26:13

Take profit at 4.0511 (1.41 %) and Stop Loss at 4.138 (0.71 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 17:26:13

With 276.1048 AR at 4.109$ per unit.

Position size of 1134.5147 $

Take profit at 4.0511 (1.41 %) and Stop Loss at 4.138 (0.71 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 7.44
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.765331

15m : 0.012993

1H : 0.037833

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.26
  4. atr: 0.01931633497
Details
  1. score: 1.26
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.07577
  4. ema21 : 4.12327
  5. ema50 : 4.16661
  6. ema100 : 4.20714
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00815165
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0115207
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0104009
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0233289
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.299944
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.147935
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0768818
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0520089
  17. rsi : 0.480915
  18. adx : 0.226409
  19. kc_percentage : 0.465123
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0825431
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.17726
  22. volume_ema1 : 183475.09603015
  23. volume_ema2 : 223005.04811048
  24. chop : 37.1877
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.04325
  29. ema21 : 4.04117
  30. ema50 : 4.09296
  31. ema100 : 4.13272
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0162608
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000514568
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0126536
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00573995
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0837476
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0448111
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0851141
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0600347
  42. rsi : 0.573702
  43. adx : 0.246996
  44. kc_percentage : 0.913539
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0408067
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.427618
  47. volume_ema1 : 35431.573698048
  48. volume_ema2 : 61902.005738201
  49. chop : 52.3089
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.08145
  54. ema21 : 4.0515
  55. ema50 : 4.03479
  56. ema100 : 4.06196
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00674809
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00739427
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00413939
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0115803
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.149411
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.110896
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0468254
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00423308
  67. rsi : 0.720764
  68. adx : 0.405626
  69. kc_percentage : 1.26233
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0177872
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.159034
  72. volume_ema1 : 13810.409431097
  73. volume_ema2 : 16422.092056203
  74. chop : 44.1735
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87882.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0009847
  81. 5m_price:
    87968.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.765331
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89698.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0204111
  86. 15m_price:
    87868.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.012993
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    91545.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0390669
  91. 1H_price:
    87968.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.037833
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4.17
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4.188
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.412
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.321
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                        [1] => 4.047
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
                        [1] => 4.266
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 3.948
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4.318
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.929
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.112
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24319066147859
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4031560193434
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6576737083227
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 00:45:00
                        [1] => 4.197
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 02:45:00
                        [1] => 4.292
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 04:30:00
                        [1] => 4.284
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 05:00:00
                        [1] => 4.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 06:30:00
                        [1] => 4.212
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4.208
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 09:45:00
                        [1] => 4.318
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.929
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 14:45:00
                        [1] => 4.032
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 4.112
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24319066147859
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4031560193434
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.984126984127
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 12:50:00
                        [1] => 3.938
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 13:10:00
                        [1] => 4.019
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.929
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 14:25:00
                        [1] => 4.03
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 14:55:00
                        [1] => 4.032
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 3.959
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
                        [1] => 4.011
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 15:55:00
                        [1] => 3.969
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 16:20:00
                        [1] => 4.063
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 17:20:00
                        [1] => 4.112
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24319066147859
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3509700176367
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2060054147182
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.35%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0260
0.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1221
3.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 12:50:00 3.938 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 13:10:00 4.019 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 3.929 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 14:25:00 4.03 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:55:00 4.032 ↑ High
2025-11-20 15:15:00 3.959 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 15:30:00 4.011 ↑ High
2025-11-20 15:55:00 3.969 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 16:20:00 4.063 ↑ High
2025-11-20 17:20:00 4.112 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.40%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.98%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1800
4.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1221
3.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 00:45:00 4.197 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 02:45:00 4.292 ↑ High
2025-11-20 04:30:00 4.284 ↑ High
2025-11-20 05:00:00 4.21 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 06:30:00 4.212 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 09:00:00 4.208 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 09:45:00 4.318 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 3.929 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 14:45:00 4.032 ↑ High
2025-11-20 17:15:00 4.112 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.40%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.66%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2740
6.62%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1221
3.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:00:00 4.17 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 08:00:00 4.188 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 11:00:00 4.412 ↑ High
2025-11-18 20:00:00 4.321 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 4.047 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 10:00:00 4.266 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 3.948 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 09:00:00 4.318 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 3.929 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 17:00:00 4.112 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
17:26:13
20 Nov 2025
18:10:00
43 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.109 4.138 4.0511 2 1.643
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.109
  • Stop Loss: 4.138
  • Take Profit: 4.0511

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.138 - 4.109 = 0.029

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.109 - 4.0511 = 0.0579

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0579 / 0.029 = 1.9966

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1134.5147 100 276.1048 11.35
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.029

Taille de position = 8 / 0.029 = 275.86

Taille de position USD = 275.86 x 4.109 = 1133.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 275.86 avec un stoploss a 4.138

Avec un position size USD de 1133.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 275.86 x 0.029 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 275.86 x 0.0579 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 275.86
  • Taille de position USD 1133.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9966

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.41 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.71 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 1.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.051
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0365
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.022
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0075
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.993
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9785
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.964
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9495
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.935
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9205
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.906
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.124
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 4.10700000
            [low] => 3.98500000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.02
            [mae_pct] => -0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:26:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T19:26:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.216
            [max_drawdown] => 0.03
            [rr_ratio] => 7.2
            [high] => 4.13900000
            [low] => 3.89300000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:26:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T00:26:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.11200000
            [high_after] => 4.13900000
            [low_before] => 3.92900000
            [low_after] => 3.93100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)