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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 17:26:13

With 276.1048 AR at 4.109$ per unit.

Position size of 1134.5147 $

Take profit at 4.0511 (1.41 %) and Stop Loss at 4.138 (0.71 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 7.44
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.765331

15m : 0.012993

1H : 0.037833

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.26
  4. atr: 0.01931633497
Details
  1. score: 1.26
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 4.07577
  4. ema21 - 4.12327
  5. ema50 - 4.16661
  6. ema100 - 4.20714
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00815165
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0115207
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0104009
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0233289
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.299944
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.147935
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0768818
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0520089
  17. rsi - 0.480915
  18. adx - 0.226409
  19. kc_percentage - 0.465123
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0825431
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.17726
  22. volume_ema1 - 183475.09603015
  23. volume_ema2 - 223005.04811048
  24. chop - 37.1877
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 4.04325
  28. ema21 - 4.04117
  29. ema50 - 4.09296
  30. ema100 - 4.13272
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0162608
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000514568
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0126536
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00573995
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0837476
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0448111
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0851141
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0600347
  41. rsi - 0.573702
  42. adx - 0.246996
  43. kc_percentage - 0.913539
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0408067
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.427618
  46. volume_ema1 - 35431.573698048
  47. volume_ema2 - 61902.005738201
  48. chop - 52.3089
  49. regime - range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 4.08145
  52. ema21 - 4.0515
  53. ema50 - 4.03479
  54. ema100 - 4.06196
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00674809
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00739427
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00413939
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0115803
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.149411
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.110896
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0468254
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.00423308
  65. rsi - 0.720764
  66. adx - 0.405626
  67. kc_percentage - 1.26233
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0177872
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.159034
  70. volume_ema1 - 13810.409431097
  71. volume_ema2 - 16422.092056203
  72. chop - 44.1735
  73. regime - bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87882.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0009847
  78. 5m_price: 87968.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.765331
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 89698.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0204111
  83. 15m_price: 87868.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.012993
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91545.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0390669
  88. 1H_price: 87968.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.037833
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
17:26:13		 20 Nov 2025
18:10:00		 43 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.109 4.138 4.0511 2 3.607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.109
  • Stop Loss: 4.138
  • Take Profit: 4.0511

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.138 - 4.109 = 0.029

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.109 - 4.0511 = 0.0579

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0579 / 0.029 = 1.9966

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1134.5147 100 276.1048 11.35
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.029

Taille de position = 8 / 0.029 = 275.86

Taille de position USD = 275.86 x 4.109 = 1133.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 275.86 avec un stoploss a 4.138

Avec un position size USD de 1133.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 275.86 x 0.029 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 275.86 x 0.0579 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 275.86
  • Taille de position USD 1133.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9966

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.41 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.71 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 1.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.051
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0365
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.022
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0075
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.993
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9785
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.964
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9495
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.935
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9205
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.906
            [stop_loss] => 4.138
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.124
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 4.10700000
            [low] => 3.98500000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.02
            [mae_pct] => -0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:26:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T19:26:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.216
            [max_drawdown] => 0.03
            [rr_ratio] => 7.2
            [high] => 4.13900000
            [low] => 3.89300000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:26:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T00:26:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.11200000
            [high_after] => 4.13900000
            [low_before] => 3.92900000
            [low_after] => 3.93100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)