Short Trade on BTC 20 Nov 2025 at 17:33:07
Take profit at 87458.442 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 88565.229 (0.42 %)
Short Trade on BTC 20 Nov 2025 at 17:33:07
Take profit at 87458.442 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 88565.229 (0.42 %)
Position size of 1912.4829 $
Take profit at 87458.442 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 88565.229 (0.42 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.86 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.76 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.92 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.047097 1H : 0.117965 |
3 |
Indicators:
87957.2
0.00271755
88196.3
1
89686.1
-0.0166113
88196.3
-0.047097
91549.6
-0.0366292
88196.3
0.117965
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:00:00
[1] => 96034.9
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 23:00:00
[1] => 89265.1
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 93788
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 90000
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
[1] => 92366.6
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 15:00:00
[1] => 88600
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
[1] => 93123.9
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
[1] => 92515.1
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 86077.6
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 88236.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29001636512822
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2106796657899
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5079695530544
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 16:15:00
[1] => 90844.4
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 21:00:00
[1] => 92765.9
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 23:15:00
[1] => 92082.9
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
[1] => 93123.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
[1] => 91647.6
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 04:45:00
[1] => 91389.4
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 06:15:00
[1] => 91451.9
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
[1] => 92515.1
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 86077.6
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:30:00
[1] => 88236.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29001636512822
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2106796657899
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5079695530544
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:35:00
[1] => 86350
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:15:00
[1] => 87742.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:05:00
[1] => 86077.6
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:25:00
[1] => 87140.7
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:55:00
[1] => 87000
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:15:00
[1] => 86314.2
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
[1] => 87115
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:55:00
[1] => 86366
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 87188
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:30:00
[1] => 88236.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29001636512822
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.90895536082947
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2024590539983
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 12:35:00 | 86350 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 13:15:00 | 87742.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:05:00 | 86077.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:25:00 | 87140.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:55:00 | 87000 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:15:00 | 86314.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 15:30:00 | 87115 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:55:00 | 86366 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 87188 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:30:00 | 88236.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 16:15:00 | 90844.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 21:00:00 | 92765.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 23:15:00 | 92082.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 00:00:00 | 93123.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 01:45:00 | 91647.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 04:45:00 | 91389.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 06:15:00 | 91451.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 08:30:00 | 92515.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 86077.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:30:00 | 88236.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 09:00:00 | 96034.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 23:00:00 | 89265.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 93788 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 90000 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:00:00 | 92366.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 15:00:00 | 88600 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 00:00:00 | 93123.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 08:00:00 | 92515.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 86077.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 88236.4 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 17:33:07 |
20 Nov 2025 18:10:00 |
36 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88196.3 | 88565.229 | 87458.442 | 2 | 66034.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 88565.229 - 88196.3 = 368.929
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88196.3 - 87458.442 = 737.85800000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 737.85800000001 / 368.929 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1912.4829 | 100 | 0.02168 | 19.12 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 368.929 = 0.02
Taille de position USD = 0.02 x 88196.3 = 1763.93
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.02 avec un stoploss a 88565.229
Avec un position size USD de 1763.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.02 x 368.929 = 7.38
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.38$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.02 x 737.85800000001 = 14.76
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.76$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87458.442
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87273.9775
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87089.513
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86905.0485
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86720.584
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:50:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86536.1195
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:55:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86351.655
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86167.1905
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 85982.726
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:40:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 85798.2615
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:50:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 85613.797
[stop_loss] => 88565.229
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1678.2
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 88186.80000000
[low] => 86518.10000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.9
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:33:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-20T19:33:07-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2880.4
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 88186.80000000
[low] => 85315.90000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.27
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:33:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T00:33:07-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 88236.40000000
[high_after] => 88186.80000000
[low_before] => 86077.60000000
[low_after] => 85315.90000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)