Short Trade on BCH 20 Nov 2025 at 17:56:23
Take profit at 481.721 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 488.5895 (0.47 %)
Short Trade on BCH 20 Nov 2025 at 17:56:23
Take profit at 481.721 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 488.5895 (0.47 %)
Position size of 1699.221 $
Take profit at 481.721 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 488.5895 (0.47 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.93 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.82 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.668453 15m : 0.099719 1H : 0.10621 |
2 |
Indicators:
87932.7
0.00116888
88035.5
0.668453
89615.3
-0.017697
88029.4
0.099719
91546.5
-0.0383521
88035.5
0.10621
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:00:00
[1] => 515.23
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
[1] => 475.16
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
[1] => 482
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:00:00
[1] => 537.29
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 489.3
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:00:00
[1] => 470.18
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
[1] => 512.5
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 06:00:00
[1] => 506.16
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 473.4
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 486.5
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0020554984583743
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7651035065484
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7672158850866
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
[1] => 484.62
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 00:00:00
[1] => 512.5
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 02:15:00
[1] => 496.68
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 02:45:00
[1] => 505.6
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 04:45:00
[1] => 494.62
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 06:30:00
[1] => 506.16
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
[1] => 504.62
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:15:00
[1] => 474.01
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 473.4
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:45:00
[1] => 486.5
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0020554984583743
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7651035065484
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7672158850866
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 10:35:00
[1] => 499
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:15:00
[1] => 474.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:55:00
[1] => 482.47
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:05:00
[1] => 473.4
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:50:00
[1] => 479.06
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:15:00
[1] => 473.7
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
[1] => 478.59
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 16:20:00
[1] => 484.4
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 480.08
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:55:00
[1] => 486.5
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0020554984583743
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.335194134311
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3372771204799
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 10:35:00 | 499 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 12:15:00 | 474.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 12:55:00 | 482.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:05:00 | 473.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:50:00 | 479.06 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:15:00 | 473.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 15:30:00 | 478.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 16:20:00 | 484.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 480.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:55:00 | 486.5 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 23:30:00 | 484.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 00:00:00 | 512.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 02:15:00 | 496.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 02:45:00 | 505.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 04:45:00 | 494.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 06:30:00 | 506.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 08:30:00 | 504.62 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 12:15:00 | 474.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 473.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:45:00 | 486.5 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 09:00:00 | 515.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 02:00:00 | 475.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 08:00:00 | 482 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 18:00:00 | 537.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 489.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 14:00:00 | 470.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 00:00:00 | 512.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 06:00:00 | 506.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 473.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 486.5 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 17:56:23 |
20 Nov 2025 18:30:00 |
33 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486.3 | 488.5895 | 481.721 | 2 | 480.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 488.5895 - 486.3 = 2.2895
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 486.3 - 481.721 = 4.579
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.579 / 2.2895 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1699.221 | 100 | 3.4942 | 16.99 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.2895 = 3.49
Taille de position USD = 3.49 x 486.3 = 1697.19
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.49 avec un stoploss a 488.5895
Avec un position size USD de 1697.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.49 x 2.2895 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.49 x 4.579 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0391 % | 8.31 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 481.721
[stop_loss] => 488.5895
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 480.57625
[stop_loss] => 488.5895
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 479.4315
[stop_loss] => 488.5895
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 18:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 478.28675
[stop_loss] => 488.5895
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 477.142
[stop_loss] => 488.5895
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 475.99725
[stop_loss] => 488.5895
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 7.03
[max_drawdown] => 0.19
[rr_ratio] => 37
[high] => 486.49000000
[low] => 479.27000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.45
[mae_pct] => 0.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 37
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:56:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-20T19:56:23-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 10.74
[max_drawdown] => 0.19
[rr_ratio] => 56.53
[high] => 486.49000000
[low] => 475.56000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.21
[mae_pct] => 0.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 56.53
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T17:56:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T00:56:23-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 486.50000000
[high_after] => 486.49000000
[low_before] => 473.40000000
[low_after] => 475.56000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)