Short Trade on QQQ 20 Nov 2025 at 18:58:10
Take profit at 586.7643 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 588.6929 (0.11 %)
Short Trade on QQQ 20 Nov 2025 at 18:58:10
Take profit at 586.7643 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 588.6929 (0.11 %)
Position size of 7317.7913 $
Take profit at 586.7643 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 588.6929 (0.11 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed |
1H_regime : bear_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.408041 15m : 0.027161 1H : -0.132169 |
3 |
Indicators:
87725.7
-0.0112279
86740.8
0.408041
89556.8
-0.0307416
86803.7
0.027161
91459.3
-0.0515919
86740.8
-0.132169
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 04:00:00
[1] => 604.67
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 593.58
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 14:00:00
[1] => 602.87
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 02:00:00
[1] => 604.47
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
[1] => 606.65
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 12:00:00
[1] => 596.37
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 02:00:00
[1] => 613.04
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 05:00:00
[1] => 607.12
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 10:00:00
[1] => 615.17
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 583.9
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.4085374774453
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.71073814009248
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.3553690700462
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 23:30:00
[1] => 610.01
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 02:15:00
[1] => 613.04
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 05:00:00
[1] => 607.12
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 06:00:00
[1] => 611.15
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 07:00:00
[1] => 608.8
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 10:00:00
[1] => 615.17
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 588.77
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:00:00
[1] => 593.52
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:30:00
[1] => 583.9
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 18:45:00
[1] => 588.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0017005067510103
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.71073814009248
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.7124507621168
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 10:40:00
[1] => 615.15
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:35:00
[1] => 591.5
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 12:50:00
[1] => 591.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:15:00
[1] => 597.83
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:05:00
[1] => 588.77
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:25:00
[1] => 592.54
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:55:00
[1] => 593.52
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:55:00
[1] => 586.65
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:30:00
[1] => 583.9
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 18:45:00
[1] => 588.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0017005067510103
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.71073814009248
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.7124507621168
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 10:40:00 | 615.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 12:35:00 | 591.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 12:50:00 | 591.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 13:15:00 | 597.83 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:05:00 | 588.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 14:25:00 | 592.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:55:00 | 593.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:55:00 | 586.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:30:00 | 583.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 18:45:00 | 588.06 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 23:30:00 | 610.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 02:15:00 | 613.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 05:00:00 | 607.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 06:00:00 | 611.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 07:00:00 | 608.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 10:00:00 | 615.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 588.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 15:00:00 | 593.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 17:30:00 | 583.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 18:45:00 | 588.06 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 04:00:00 | 604.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 593.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 14:00:00 | 602.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 02:00:00 | 604.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 10:00:00 | 606.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 12:00:00 | 596.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 02:00:00 | 613.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 05:00:00 | 607.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 10:00:00 | 615.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 583.9 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 18:58:10 |
20 Nov 2025 19:55:00 |
56 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 588.05 | 588.6929 | 586.7643 | 2 | 606.74 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 588.6929 - 588.05 = 0.64290000000005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 588.05 - 586.7643 = 1.2856999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2856999999999 / 0.64290000000005 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7317.7913 | 100 | 12.4442 | 73.18 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.64290000000005 = 12.44
Taille de position USD = 12.44 x 588.05 = 7315.34
Donc, tu peux acheter 12.44 avec un stoploss a 588.6929
Avec un position size USD de 7315.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12.44 x 0.64290000000005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12.44 x 1.2856999999999 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.119 % | 108.87 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 586.7643
[entry_price] => 588.05
[stop_loss] => 588.75719
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 586.7643
[entry_price] => 588.05
[stop_loss] => 588.82148
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 586.7643
[entry_price] => 588.05
[stop_loss] => 588.88577
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 586.7643
[entry_price] => 588.05
[stop_loss] => 589.01435
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.019999999999982
[max_drawdown] => 1.95
[rr_ratio] => 0.01
[high] => 590.00000000
[low] => 588.03000000
[mfe_pct] => 0
[mae_pct] => 0.33
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.01
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T18:58:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-20T20:58:10-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.92
[max_drawdown] => 1.95
[rr_ratio] => 0.98
[high] => 590.00000000
[low] => 586.13000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.33
[mae_pct] => 0.33
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.98
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T18:58:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T01:58:10-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 593.52000000
[high_after] => 590.00000000
[low_before] => 583.90000000
[low_after] => 586.13000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)