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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Nov 2025 at 20:10:41

Take profit at 177.5567 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 179.5867 (0.38 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 20:10:41

With 11.8228 MSTR at 178.91$ per unit.

Position size of 2115.2166 $

Take profit at 177.5567 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 179.5867 (0.38 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.595853

15m : 0.047515

1H : -0.037072

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.4511058949
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 178.832
  4. ema21 : 182.994
  5. ema50 : 189.149
  6. ema100 : 193.411
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000434997
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0227434
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0325433
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0749794
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.600724
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.457248
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.286228
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.172687
  17. rsi : 0.388641
  18. adx : 0.385553
  19. kc_percentage : 0.220815
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0754293
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.361752
  22. volume_ema1 : 895695.74788005
  23. volume_ema2 : 1403366.6042317
  24. chop : 30.4332
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 177.632
  28. ema21 : 177.745
  29. ema50 : 180.476
  30. ema100 : 184.595
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00719017
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000633739
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0151344
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0307975
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0025835
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0299808
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0873635
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0877794
  41. rsi : 0.530876
  42. adx : 0.169601
  43. kc_percentage : 0.734075
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0289945
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.928858
  46. volume_ema1 : 37819.695661361
  47. volume_ema2 : 531615.21055568
  48. chop : 82.254
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 178.121
  52. ema21 : 177.692
  53. ema50 : 177.404
  54. ema100 : 177.112
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00442656
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00241478
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00162335
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0101467
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.058637
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0305895
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0144569
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00968222
  65. rsi : 0.648889
  66. adx : 0.169717
  67. kc_percentage : 1.22886
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00918984
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.942721
  70. volume_ema1 : 4684.3676398834
  71. volume_ema2 : 81782.648881726
  72. chop : 33.5381
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87273.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00114181
  78. 5m_price: 
    87174.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.595853
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    89400.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0249054
  83. 15m_price: 
    87174.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.047515
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    91304.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0452395
  88. 1H_price: 
    87174.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.037072
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.0413644080877
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0395809080326
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.13736903376
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 01:45:00
                    [1] => 191.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 03:45:00
                    [1] => 194.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:45:00
                    [1] => 192.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:15:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
                    [1] => 180.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:00:00
                    [1] => 178.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:45:00
                    [1] => 176.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:00:00
                    [1] => 179.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28451882845188
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3955071477195
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6848196051736
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:55:00
                    [1] => 179.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
                    [1] => 180.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:45:00
                    [1] => 176.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:55:00
                    [1] => 176.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 16:20:00
                    [1] => 179.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
                    [1] => 176.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:00:00
                    [1] => 178.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:10:00
                    [1] => 176.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 176.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:05:00
                    [1] => 179.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28451882845188
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3955071477195
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6848196051736
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.28%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.40%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7333
0.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2767
0.72%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 14:55:00 179.68 ↑ High
2025-11-20 15:30:00 180.32 ↑ High
2025-11-20 15:45:00 176.59 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 15:55:00 176.59 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 16:20:00 179.44 ↑ High
2025-11-20 17:00:00 176.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 18:00:00 178.59 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:10:00 176.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 18:55:00 176.28 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 20:05:00 179.25 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.28%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.40%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.7833
8.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.7567
3.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 01:45:00 191.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 03:45:00 194.36 ↑ High
2025-11-20 05:45:00 192.52 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:15:00 190.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 08:30:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 15:30:00 180.32 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:00:00 178.59 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:45:00 176.28 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 20:00:00 179.25 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.04%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.14%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
34.2233
19.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.7567
3.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 08:00:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
20:10:41		 20 Nov 2025
21:05:00		 54 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
178.91 179.5867 177.5567 2 134.2
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 178.91
  • Stop Loss: 179.5867
  • Take Profit: 177.5567

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 179.5867 - 178.91 = 0.67670000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 178.91 - 177.5567 = 1.3533

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3533 / 0.67670000000001 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2115.2166 100 11.8228 21.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.67670000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.67670000000001 = 11.82

Taille de position USD = 11.82 x 178.91 = 2114.72

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.82 avec un stoploss a 179.5867

Avec un position size USD de 2114.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.82 x 0.67670000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.82 x 1.3533 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.82
  • Taille de position USD 2114.72
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.76 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.38 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 177.5566
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 177.21825
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.8799
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.54155
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.2032
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 175.86485
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 175.5265
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 175.18815
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.8498
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.51145
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.1731
            [stop_loss] => 179.5867
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 7.77
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 178.74000000
            [low] => 171.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.34
            [mae_pct] => -0.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T20:10:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T22:10:41-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 7.94
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 178.74000000
            [low] => 170.97000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.44
            [mae_pct] => -0.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T20:10:41-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T03:10:41-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 179.44000000
            [high_after] => 178.74000000
            [low_before] => 176.28000000
            [low_after] => 171.14000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)