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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 20 Nov 2025 at 20:17:54

With 274.7424 AR at 4.1$ per unit.

Position size of 1126.4438 $

Take profit at 4.0418 (1.42 %) and Stop Loss at 4.1291 (0.71 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 9.22
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.57
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.730081

15m : -0.013097

1H : 0.065726

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.01941212433
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 4.06654
  4. ema21 - 4.10531
  5. ema50 - 4.15377
  6. ema100 - 4.20166
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00822784
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0094439
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0116679
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0241953
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.349098
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.214257
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.116397
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0754397
  17. rsi - 0.486748
  18. adx - 0.224182
  19. kc_percentage - 0.491374
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0786957
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.535047
  22. volume_ema1 - 97201.086363254
  23. volume_ema2 - 209055.90331777
  24. chop - 39.246
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 4.06588
  28. ema21 - 4.05454
  29. ema50 - 4.07983
  30. ema100 - 4.11626
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00839174
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00279615
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00619837
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00395193
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0458064
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0271936
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0267204
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0319182
  41. rsi - 0.579904
  42. adx - 0.158946
  43. kc_percentage - 0.822559
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.03434
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.609689
  46. volume_ema1 - 17569.858233163
  47. volume_ema2 - 45015.0230064
  48. chop - 57.6841
  49. regime - range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 4.07532
  52. ema21 - 4.05982
  53. ema50 - 4.0466
  54. ema100 - 4.03503
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00605453
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00381886
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0032651
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0161013
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0977622
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.049448
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.026285
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0173174
  65. rsi - 0.649915
  66. adx - 0.272683
  67. kc_percentage - 1.01373
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.018733
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.204957
  70. volume_ema1 - 7978.9542427495
  71. volume_ema2 - 10035.88841926
  72. chop - 46.0175
  73. regime - bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87239.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00127581
  78. 5m_price: 87128.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.730081
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 89406.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0254746
  83. 15m_price: 87128.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.013097
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91303.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0457306
  88. 1H_price: 87128.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.065726
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Nov 2025
20:17:54		 20 Nov 2025
20:25:00		 7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.1 4.1291 4.0418 2 3.603
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.1
  • Stop Loss: 4.1291
  • Take Profit: 4.0418

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.1291 - 4.1 = 0.029100000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.1 - 4.0418 = 0.058199999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.058199999999999 / 0.029100000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1126.4438 100 274.7424 11.26
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.029100000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.029100000000001 = 274.91

Taille de position USD = 274.91 x 4.1 = 1127.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 274.91 avec un stoploss a 4.1291

Avec un position size USD de 1127.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 274.91 x 0.029100000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 274.91 x 0.058199999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 274.91
  • Taille de position USD 1127.13
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.42 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.71 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9512 % 134.01 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0418
            [entry_price] => 4.1
            [stop_loss] => 4.13201
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0418
            [entry_price] => 4.1
            [stop_loss] => 4.13492
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0418
            [entry_price] => 4.1
            [stop_loss] => 4.13783
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0418
            [entry_price] => 4.1
            [stop_loss] => 4.14365
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-20 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.157
            [max_drawdown] => 0.039000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 4.03
            [high] => 4.13900000
            [low] => 3.94300000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.83
            [mae_pct] => 0.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T20:17:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-20T22:17:54-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.614
            [max_drawdown] => 0.039000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 15.74
            [high] => 4.13900000
            [low] => 3.48600000
            [mfe_pct] => 14.98
            [mae_pct] => 0.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.74
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-20T20:17:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T03:17:54-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.11200000
            [high_after] => 4.13900000
            [low_before] => 3.98500000
            [low_after] => 3.85900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)