Short Trade on ALCH 20 Nov 2025 at 22:01:50
Take profit at 0.1398 (2.98 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1462 (1.46 %)
Short Trade on ALCH 20 Nov 2025 at 22:01:50
Take profit at 0.1398 (2.98 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1462 (1.46 %)
Position size of 535.9258 $
Take profit at 0.1398 (2.98 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1462 (1.46 %)
That's a 2.05 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.93 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.001302 15m : 0.209942 1H : -0.121166 |
3 |
Indicators:
86875.9
-0.0163007
85459.8
-0.001302
89028.8
-0.0400883
85459.8
0.209942
91220.6
-0.0631529
85459.8
-0.121166
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 00:00:00
[1] => 0.16137
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 10:00:00
[1] => 0.14889
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.15513
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 18:00:00
[1] => 0.15479
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 04:00:00
[1] => 0.14647
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
[1] => 0.15527
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 17:00:00
[1] => 0.15242
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 10:00:00
[1] => 0.2354
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 11:00:00
[1] => 0.14665
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 18:00:00
[1] => 0.13797
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -38.908241291419
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2328042328042
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2912227295789
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 21:15:00
[1] => 0.16533
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 04:45:00
[1] => 0.19796
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 06:30:00
[1] => 0.22449
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 07:00:00
[1] => 0.20283
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 10:15:00
[1] => 0.2354
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 11:00:00
[1] => 0.14665
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 18:45:00
[1] => 0.13797
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 19:00:00
[1] => 0.15211
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 21:00:00
[1] => 0.13859
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1447
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61506565307533
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.7665055198788
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4086874954903
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:45:00
[1] => 0.1645
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:00:00
[1] => 0.15339
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 15:05:00
[1] => 0.164
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 18:50:00
[1] => 0.13797
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 19:00:00
[1] => 0.15211
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 19:30:00
[1] => 0.13926
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 19:45:00
[1] => 0.14835
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 21:05:00
[1] => 0.13859
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 21:15:00
[1] => 0.142
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1447
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61506565307533
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.7665055198788
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9014084507042
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 13:45:00 | 0.1645 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 15:00:00 | 0.15339 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 15:05:00 | 0.164 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 18:50:00 | 0.13797 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 19:00:00 | 0.15211 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 19:30:00 | 0.13926 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 19:45:00 | 0.14835 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 21:05:00 | 0.13859 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 21:15:00 | 0.142 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 22:00:00 | 0.1447 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 21:15:00 | 0.16533 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 04:45:00 | 0.19796 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 06:30:00 | 0.22449 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 07:00:00 | 0.20283 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 10:15:00 | 0.2354 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 11:00:00 | 0.14665 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 18:45:00 | 0.13797 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 19:00:00 | 0.15211 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 21:00:00 | 0.13859 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 22:00:00 | 0.1447 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 00:00:00 | 0.16137 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 10:00:00 | 0.14889 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 0.15513 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 18:00:00 | 0.15479 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 04:00:00 | 0.14647 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:00:00 | 0.15527 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 17:00:00 | 0.15242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 10:00:00 | 0.2354 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 11:00:00 | 0.14665 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 18:00:00 | 0.13797 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 22:01:50 |
20 Nov 2025 23:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1441 | 0.1462 | 0.1398 | 2.05 | 0.08029 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1462 - 0.1441 = 0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1441 - 0.1398 = 0.0043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0043 / 0.0021 = 2.0476
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 535.9258 | 100 | 3719.6404 | 5.36 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0021 = 3809.52
Taille de position USD = 3809.52 x 0.1441 = 548.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.1462
Avec un position size USD de 548.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0021 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0043 = 16.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.38$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.98 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.46 % | 7.81 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.81 $ | -1.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -14.1221 % | 969.06 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1398
[entry_price] => 0.1441
[stop_loss] => 0.14641
[rr_ratio] => 1.86
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1398
[entry_price] => 0.1441
[stop_loss] => 0.14662
[rr_ratio] => 1.71
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1398
[entry_price] => 0.1441
[stop_loss] => 0.14683
[rr_ratio] => 1.58
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1398
[entry_price] => 0.1441
[stop_loss] => 0.14725
[rr_ratio] => 1.37
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-20 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00339
[max_drawdown] => 0.03616
[rr_ratio] => 0.09
[high] => 0.18026000
[low] => 0.14071000
[mfe_pct] => 2.35
[mae_pct] => 25.09
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T22:01:50-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T00:01:50-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00339
[max_drawdown] => 0.03775
[rr_ratio] => 0.09
[high] => 0.18185000
[low] => 0.14071000
[mfe_pct] => 2.35
[mae_pct] => 26.2
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-20T22:01:50-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T05:01:50-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.15211000
[high_after] => 0.18185000
[low_before] => 0.13797000
[low_after] => 0.14071000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)