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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 21 Nov 2025 at 00:25:06

Take profit at 173.5412 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 175.6244 (0.4 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 21 Nov 2025 at 00:25:06

With 11.5206 MSTR at 174.93$ per unit.

Position size of 2015.3034 $

Take profit at 173.5412 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 175.6244 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.424549

15m : 0.125103

1H : -0.026716

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.4629377422
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 175.657
  4. ema21 : 179.893
  5. ema50 : 186.742
  6. ema100 : 191.585
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00414366
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0235438
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0366773
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0869373
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.422983
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.418889
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.293951
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.182878
  17. rsi : 0.37194
  18. adx : 0.417658
  19. kc_percentage : 0.146506
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0748424
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.678041
  22. volume_ema1 : 401766.61023063
  23. volume_ema2 : 1247881.3173945
  24. chop : 56.2085
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 173.93
  28. ema21 : 174.688
  29. ema50 : 177.296
  30. ema100 : 181.252
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00574853
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00434304
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0147093
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.034881
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.14604
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.128994
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.114824
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0988359
  41. rsi : 0.488807
  42. adx : 0.249783
  43. kc_percentage : 0.56837
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0266096
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.788366
  46. volume_ema1 : 65490.166644022
  47. volume_ema2 : 309450.88410017
  48. chop : 41.6203
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 174.307
  52. ema21 : 173.815
  53. ema50 : 174.299
  54. ema100 : 175.26
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00356968
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00283034
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00277372
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00188613
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0767378
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0299868
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0106013
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0178325
  65. rsi : 0.62666
  66. adx : 0.235182
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13973
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00986317
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.535458
  70. volume_ema1 : 12674.724242064
  71. volume_ema2 : 27284.348339041
  72. chop : 30.2227
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86470.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00208127
  78. 5m_price: 
    86291
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.424549
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88499.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0256164
  83. 15m_price: 
    86232.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.125103
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90986
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0516022
  88. 1H_price: 
    86291
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.026716
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 171.14
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.083860678088
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1210704686222
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.38564917611314
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 05:45:00
                    [1] => 192.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 06:15:00
                    [1] => 190.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:30:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
                    [1] => 180.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:00:00
                    [1] => 178.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:45:00
                    [1] => 176.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:00:00
                    [1] => 179.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 171.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 00:15:00
                    [1] => 175.28
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29096303057964
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1210704686222
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4190721047096
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
                    [1] => 176.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:00:00
                    [1] => 178.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:10:00
                    [1] => 176.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 176.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:05:00
                    [1] => 179.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:25:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 171.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:45:00
                    [1] => 174.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 23:35:00
                    [1] => 171.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 00:20:00
                    [1] => 175.28
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29096303057964
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6400116312882
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9366094794999
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.64%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.6256
2.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4012
1.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 17:00:00 176.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 18:00:00 178.59 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:10:00 176.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 18:55:00 176.28 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 20:05:00 179.25 ↑ High
2025-11-20 20:25:00 177.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 22:00:00 171.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 22:45:00 174.25 ↑ High
2025-11-20 23:35:00 171.95 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 00:20:00 175.28 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.12%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.42%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.7456
10.67%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4012
1.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 05:45:00 192.52 ↑ High
2025-11-20 06:15:00 190.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 08:30:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 15:30:00 180.32 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:00:00 178.59 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:45:00 176.28 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 20:00:00 179.25 ↑ High
2025-11-20 22:00:00 171.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 00:15:00 175.28 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-10.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.12%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.39%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
38.1856
21.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4012
1.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 08:00:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 22:00:00 171.14 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Nov 2025
00:25:06		 21 Nov 2025
00:35:00		 9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
174.93 175.6244 173.5412 2 134.2
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 174.93
  • Stop Loss: 175.6244
  • Take Profit: 173.5412

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 175.6244 - 174.93 = 0.6944

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 174.93 - 173.5412 = 1.3888

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3888 / 0.6944 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2015.3034 100 11.5206 20.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.6944

Taille de position = 8 / 0.6944 = 11.52

Taille de position USD = 11.52 x 174.93 = 2015.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.52 avec un stoploss a 175.6244

Avec un position size USD de 2015.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.52 x 0.6944 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.52 x 1.3888 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.52
  • Taille de position USD 2015.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.79 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 173.5412
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 00:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 173.194
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.8468
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.4996
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.1524
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.8052
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.458
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.1108
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 02:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.7636
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.4164
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.0692
            [stop_loss] => 175.6244
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 04:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.58
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 174.77000000
            [low] => 173.35000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.9
            [mae_pct] => -0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T00:25:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T02:25:06-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.77
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 174.77000000
            [low] => 166.16000000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.01
            [mae_pct] => -0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T00:25:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T07:25:06-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 178.44000000
            [high_after] => 174.77000000
            [low_before] => 171.14000000
            [low_after] => 166.16000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)