Short Trade on AAPL 21 Nov 2025 at 06:17:04
Take profit at 266.1962 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 267.4019 (0.15 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 21 Nov 2025 at 06:17:04
Take profit at 266.1962 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 267.4019 (0.15 %)
Position size of 5314.7415 $
Take profit at 266.1962 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 267.4019 (0.15 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.52 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_medium |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.210203 15m : 0.066704 1H : 0.046788 |
3 |
Indicators:
84120.3
-0.0132514
83005.6
0.210203
86667.5
-0.0422533
83005.6
0.066704
90216.3
-0.0799277
83005.6
0.046788
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 10:00:00
[1] => 266.04
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 266.7
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 09:00:00
[1] => 265.54
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
[1] => 272.47
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 17:00:00
[1] => 266.93
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 04:00:00
[1] => 269.26
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 09:00:00
[1] => 275.89
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 265.88
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
[1] => 268.56
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
[1] => 264.84
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61438784629132
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.78160398731311
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4046216583598
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 09:45:00
[1] => 275.89
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 267.05
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 265.88
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 18:45:00
[1] => 267.92
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 19:15:00
[1] => 267.92
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 22:45:00
[1] => 268.56
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 23:30:00
[1] => 267.23
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 03:45:00
[1] => 267.58
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
[1] => 264.84
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 06:15:00
[1] => 267
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03370786516853
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.78160398731311
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8155867693702
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 00:00:00
[1] => 268.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 01:30:00
[1] => 266.89
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 02:00:00
[1] => 267.33
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
[1] => 267.41
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 02:55:00
[1] => 266.72
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 03:10:00
[1] => 267.37
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 03:35:00
[1] => 266.7
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 03:55:00
[1] => 267.58
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 05:10:00
[1] => 264.84
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 06:15:00
[1] => 267
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03370786516853
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.78160398731311
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8155867693702
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 00:00:00 | 268.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 01:30:00 | 266.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 02:00:00 | 267.33 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 02:30:00 | 267.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 02:55:00 | 266.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 03:10:00 | 267.37 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 03:35:00 | 266.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 03:55:00 | 267.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 05:10:00 | 264.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 06:15:00 | 267 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 09:45:00 | 275.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 267.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 265.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 18:45:00 | 267.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 19:15:00 | 267.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 22:45:00 | 268.56 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 23:30:00 | 267.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 03:45:00 | 267.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 05:00:00 | 264.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 06:15:00 | 267 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 10:00:00 | 266.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 266.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 09:00:00 | 265.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:00:00 | 272.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 17:00:00 | 266.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 04:00:00 | 269.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 09:00:00 | 275.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 265.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 22:00:00 | 268.56 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 05:00:00 | 264.84 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 06:17:04 |
21 Nov 2025 07:20:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 267 | 267.4019 | 266.1962 | 2 | 271.76 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 267.4019 - 267 = 0.40190000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 267 - 266.1962 = 0.80380000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.80380000000002 / 0.40190000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5314.7415 | 100 | 19.9054 | 53.15 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.40190000000001 = 19.91
Taille de position USD = 19.91 x 267 = 5315.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 19.91 avec un stoploss a 267.4019
Avec un position size USD de 5315.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 19.91 x 0.40190000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 19.91 x 0.80380000000002 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.015 % | 9.97 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 266.1962
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 265.99525
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 265.7943
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 265.59335
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 265.3924
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 265.19145
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 264.9905
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 264.78955
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 264.5886
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 264.38765
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 264.1867
[stop_loss] => 267.4019
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.07
[max_drawdown] => 0.76999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 1.39
[high] => 267.77000000
[low] => 265.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.4
[mae_pct] => 0.29
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.39
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T06:17:04-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T08:17:04-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.93
[max_drawdown] => 5.04
[rr_ratio] => 0.38
[high] => 272.04000000
[low] => 265.07000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.72
[mae_pct] => 1.89
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.38
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T06:17:04-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T13:17:04-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 267.58000000
[high_after] => 271.70000000
[low_before] => 264.84000000
[low_after] => 265.07000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)