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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 21 Nov 2025 at 07:52:11

Take profit at 170.0845 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 176.0328 (1.14 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 21 Nov 2025 at 07:52:11

With 4.0348 MSTR at 174.05$ per unit.

Position size of 702.2546 $

Take profit at 170.0845 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 176.0328 (1.14 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.84
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.73281

15m : 0.083825

1H : -0.225374

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 1.321837839
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.232
  4. ema21 : 175.683
  5. ema50 : 183.009
  6. ema100 : 189.364
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0105502
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0196417
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.040028
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0808741
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.306645
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.350742
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.290309
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.197987
  17. rsi : 0.437297
  18. adx : 0.454853
  19. kc_percentage : 0.415199
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0895831
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0871571
  22. volume_ema1 : 1314021.8219262
  23. volume_ema2 : 1208676.9794502
  24. chop : 49.8834
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 171.055
  28. ema21 : 171.211
  29. ema50 : 173.111
  30. ema100 : 176.846
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0175047
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000912264
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0109725
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0158141
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00353688
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0543816
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0758858
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0806683
  41. rsi : 0.571762
  42. adx : 0.266579
  43. kc_percentage : 0.849626
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0473855
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.168685
  46. volume_ema1 : 334352.12072854
  47. volume_ema2 : 286092.54583074
  48. chop : 35.6548
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 171.788
  52. ema21 : 170.907
  53. ema50 : 170.864
  54. ema100 : 171.348
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0131645
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00515289
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000251593
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.015766
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0689859
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.020401
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00312007
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00930268
  65. rsi : 0.675108
  66. adx : 0.282992
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03932
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0331501
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.693001
  70. volume_ema1 : 195793.79316522
  71. volume_ema2 : 115648.93496471
  72. chop : 23.4828
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    83526.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0044894
  78. 5m_price: 
    83151.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.73281
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86165
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0349738
  83. 15m_price: 
    83151.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.083825
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90067
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0767822
  88. 1H_price: 
    83151.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.225374
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 13:00:00
                    [1] => 213.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:00:00
                    [1] => 174.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10860866582828
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1697159364468
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2840635532017
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 15:30:00
                    [1] => 180.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:00:00
                    [1] => 178.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 18:45:00
                    [1] => 176.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 20:00:00
                    [1] => 179.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 171.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 00:15:00
                    [1] => 175.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 02:45:00
                    [1] => 170.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
                    [1] => 167.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:45:00
                    [1] => 174.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10860866582828
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3595103015826
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4729770080621
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 01:15:00
                    [1] => 173.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 01:50:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 02:50:00
                    [1] => 170.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 03:10:00
                    [1] => 173.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 03:50:00
                    [1] => 171.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 04:10:00
                    [1] => 173.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 06:25:00
                    [1] => 172.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:25:00
                    [1] => 167.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:45:00
                    [1] => 174.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10860866582828
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3595103015826
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4729770080621
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.36%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0928
0.62%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.9245
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 01:15:00 173.35 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 01:50:00 174.21 ↑ High
2025-11-21 02:50:00 170.97 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 03:10:00 173.72 ↑ High
2025-11-21 03:50:00 171.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 04:10:00 173.27 ↑ High
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 06:25:00 172.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 07:25:00 167.45 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:45:00 174.94 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.47%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.2872
2.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.9245
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 15:30:00 180.32 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:00:00 178.59 ↑ High
2025-11-20 18:45:00 176.28 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 20:00:00 179.25 ↑ High
2025-11-20 22:00:00 171.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 00:15:00 175.28 ↑ High
2025-11-21 02:45:00 170.97 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:15:00 167.45 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:45:00 174.94 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.17%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.28%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
37.7772
21.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.9245
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 13:00:00 213.81 ↑ High
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 08:00:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:00:00 174.94 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Nov 2025
07:52:11		 21 Nov 2025
08:15:00		 22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
174.05 176.0328 170.0845 2 133.19
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 174.05
  • Stop Loss: 176.0328
  • Take Profit: 170.0845

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 176.0328 - 174.05 = 1.9828

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 174.05 - 170.0845 = 3.9655

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.9655 / 1.9828 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
702.2546 100 4.0348 7.02
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.9828

Taille de position = 8 / 1.9828 = 4.03

Taille de position USD = 4.03 x 174.05 = 701.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 4.03 avec un stoploss a 176.0328

Avec un position size USD de 701.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4.03 x 1.9828 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4.03 x 3.9655 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4.03
  • Taille de position USD 701.42
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.28 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7179 % 150.8 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.0845
            [entry_price] => 174.05
            [stop_loss] => 176.23108
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 08:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.0845
            [entry_price] => 174.05
            [stop_loss] => 176.42936
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 08:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.0845
            [entry_price] => 174.05
            [stop_loss] => 176.62764
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 08:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.0845
            [entry_price] => 174.05
            [stop_loss] => 177.0242
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 08:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8
            [max_drawdown] => 7.09
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [high] => 181.14000000
            [low] => 172.25000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.03
            [mae_pct] => 4.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T07:52:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T09:52:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 7.54
            [max_drawdown] => 7.09
            [rr_ratio] => 1.06
            [high] => 181.14000000
            [low] => 166.51000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.33
            [mae_pct] => 4.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T07:52:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T14:52:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 174.94000000
            [high_after] => 181.14000000
            [low_before] => 166.16000000
            [low_after] => 166.51000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)