Short Trade on AIA 21 Nov 2025 at 10:24:41
Take profit at 0.4659 (4.33 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4975 (2.16 %)
Short Trade on AIA 21 Nov 2025 at 10:24:41
Take profit at 0.4659 (4.33 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4975 (2.16 %)
Position size of 369.3364 $
Take profit at 0.4659 (4.33 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4975 (2.16 %)
That's a 2.01 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.82 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.52 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.528001 15m : -0.02489 1H : 0.039401 |
2 |
Indicators:
83778.4
0.00293406
84024.3
0.528001
85702.8
-0.0181425
84148
-0.02489
89688.2
-0.0631513
84024.3
0.039401
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 09:00:00
[1] => 0.58373
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
[1] => 0.66382
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
[1] => 0.65566
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 01:00:00
[1] => 0.58516
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 09:00:00
[1] => 0.7114
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 11:00:00
[1] => 0.49848
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 11:00:00
[1] => 0.46803
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 0.58447
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:00:00
[1] => 0.43863
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 10:00:00
[1] => 0.4911
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.42353899409488
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.488042313567
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.962246084399
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 20:00:00
[1] => 0.55299
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 23:00:00
[1] => 0.48869
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 23:30:00
[1] => 0.51762
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 00:45:00
[1] => 0.49295
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 01:15:00
[1] => 0.51524
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
[1] => 0.44597
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 04:30:00
[1] => 0.48398
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 05:45:00
[1] => 0.45031
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
[1] => 0.43863
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 10:15:00
[1] => 0.4911
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.42353899409488
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.488042313567
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.962246084399
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 04:30:00
[1] => 0.48398
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 05:45:00
[1] => 0.45031
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 06:10:00
[1] => 0.46425
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 06:45:00
[1] => 0.45192
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
[1] => 0.43863
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:40:00
[1] => 0.46016
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 08:20:00
[1] => 0.44549
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 08:25:00
[1] => 0.45712
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 08:55:00
[1] => 0.44662
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 10:15:00
[1] => 0.4911
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.42353899409488
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.4935291746899
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9592494738256
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 04:30:00 | 0.48398 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 05:45:00 | 0.45031 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 06:10:00 | 0.46425 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 06:45:00 | 0.45192 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 07:15:00 | 0.43863 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 07:40:00 | 0.46016 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 08:20:00 | 0.44549 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 08:25:00 | 0.45712 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 08:55:00 | 0.44662 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 10:15:00 | 0.4911 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 20:00:00 | 0.55299 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 23:00:00 | 0.48869 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 23:30:00 | 0.51762 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 00:45:00 | 0.49295 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 01:15:00 | 0.51524 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 02:30:00 | 0.44597 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 04:30:00 | 0.48398 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 05:45:00 | 0.45031 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 07:15:00 | 0.43863 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 10:15:00 | 0.4911 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 09:00:00 | 0.58373 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 16:00:00 | 0.66382 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 22:00:00 | 0.65566 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 01:00:00 | 0.58516 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 09:00:00 | 0.7114 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 11:00:00 | 0.49848 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 11:00:00 | 0.46803 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 0.58447 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 07:00:00 | 0.43863 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 10:00:00 | 0.4911 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 10:24:41 |
21 Nov 2025 11:05:00 |
40 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.487 | 0.4975 | 0.4659 | 2.01 | 0.1513 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4975 - 0.487 = 0.0105
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.487 - 0.4659 = 0.0211
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0211 / 0.0105 = 2.0095
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 369.3364 | 100 | 758.3911 | 3.69 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0105 = 761.9
Taille de position USD = 761.9 x 0.487 = 371.05
Donc, tu peux acheter 761.9 avec un stoploss a 0.4975
Avec un position size USD de 371.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 761.9 x 0.0105 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 761.9 x 0.0211 = 16.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.16 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 4.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5092 % | 70 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.466
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.46075
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4555
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.45025
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.445
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.43975
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4345
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.42925
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.424
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.41875
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4135
[stop_loss] => 0.4975
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.02176
[max_drawdown] => 0.01343
[rr_ratio] => 1.62
[high] => 0.50043000
[low] => 0.46524000
[mfe_pct] => 4.47
[mae_pct] => 2.76
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.62
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T10:24:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T12:24:41-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.02176
[max_drawdown] => 0.01343
[rr_ratio] => 1.62
[high] => 0.50043000
[low] => 0.46524000
[mfe_pct] => 4.47
[mae_pct] => 2.76
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.62
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T10:24:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T17:24:41-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.49110000
[high_after] => 0.50043000
[low_before] => 0.43863000
[low_after] => 0.46524000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)