Short Trade on KAS 21 Nov 2025 at 12:05:24
Take profit at 0.03793 (2.62 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03946 (1.31 %)
Short Trade on KAS 21 Nov 2025 at 12:05:24
Take profit at 0.03793 (2.62 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03946 (1.31 %)
Position size of 613.3759 $
Take profit at 0.03793 (2.62 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03946 (1.31 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.98 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.99 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.877835 15m : -0.040703 1H : 0.07095 |
3 |
Indicators:
83495.1
0.0176739
84970.8
0.877835
85126.4
-0.0018284
84970.8
-0.040703
89409
-0.0496395
84970.8
0.07095
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[1] => 0.04105
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.04477
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 01:00:00
[1] => 0.04118
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
[1] => 0.0437
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
[1] => 0.0399
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 01:00:00
[1] => 0.04337
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
[1] => 0.04396
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 0.03987
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:00:00
[1] => 0.03598
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
[1] => 0.03924
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15290519877675
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.8938299055031
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0605892162312
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 22:30:00
[1] => 0.04029
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 23:30:00
[1] => 0.03946
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 00:15:00
[1] => 0.04018
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
[1] => 0.03718
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
[1] => 0.03721
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 06:00:00
[1] => 0.03814
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
[1] => 0.03598
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 09:45:00
[1] => 0.03878
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
[1] => 0.0371
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
[1] => 0.03924
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15290519877675
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6064690026954
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7681940700809
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 06:10:00
[1] => 0.03814
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:25:00
[1] => 0.03598
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:45:00
[1] => 0.03788
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 08:05:00
[1] => 0.0373
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 08:15:00
[1] => 0.03804
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 08:50:00
[1] => 0.03821
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 09:25:00
[1] => 0.03755
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 09:50:00
[1] => 0.03878
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 11:05:00
[1] => 0.0371
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 12:05:00
[1] => 0.03924
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15290519877675
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6064690026954
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7681940700809
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 06:10:00 | 0.03814 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 07:25:00 | 0.03598 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 07:45:00 | 0.03788 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 08:05:00 | 0.0373 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 08:15:00 | 0.03804 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 08:50:00 | 0.03821 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 09:25:00 | 0.03755 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 09:50:00 | 0.03878 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 11:05:00 | 0.0371 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 12:05:00 | 0.03924 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 22:30:00 | 0.04029 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 23:30:00 | 0.03946 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 00:15:00 | 0.04018 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 02:30:00 | 0.03718 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 05:00:00 | 0.03721 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 06:00:00 | 0.03814 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 07:15:00 | 0.03598 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 09:45:00 | 0.03878 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 11:00:00 | 0.0371 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 12:00:00 | 0.03924 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 22:00:00 | 0.04105 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 0.04477 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 01:00:00 | 0.04118 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:00:00 | 0.0437 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 13:00:00 | 0.0399 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 01:00:00 | 0.04337 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 08:00:00 | 0.04396 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 0.03987 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 07:00:00 | 0.03598 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 12:00:00 | 0.03924 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 12:05:24 |
21 Nov 2025 13:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03895 | 0.03946 | 0.03793 | 2 | 0.03166 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03946 - 0.03895 = 0.00051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03895 - 0.03793 = 0.00102
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00102 / 0.00051 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 613.3759 | 100 | 15747.7757 | 6.13 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00051 = 15686.27
Taille de position USD = 15686.27 x 0.03895 = 610.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 15686.27 avec un stoploss a 0.03946
Avec un position size USD de 610.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 15686.27 x 0.00051 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 15686.27 x 0.00102 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.62 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.31 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.06 $ | 2.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9243 % | 70.59 % | 6 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03793
[stop_loss] => 0.03946
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 13:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.037675
[stop_loss] => 0.03946
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 15:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00119
[max_drawdown] => 0.00036
[rr_ratio] => 3.31
[high] => 0.03931000
[low] => 0.03776000
[mfe_pct] => 3.06
[mae_pct] => 0.92
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.31
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T12:05:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T14:05:24-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00153
[max_drawdown] => 0.00036
[rr_ratio] => 4.25
[high] => 0.03931000
[low] => 0.03742000
[mfe_pct] => 3.93
[mae_pct] => 0.92
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.25
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T12:05:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T19:05:24-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.03924000
[high_after] => 0.03931000
[low_before] => 0.03710000
[low_after] => 0.03742000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)