Short Trade on AAVE 21 Nov 2025 at 12:09:28

Take profit at 154.6492 (2.68 %) and Stop Loss at 161.0404 (1.34 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 21 Nov 2025 at 12:09:28

With 3.7551 AAVE at 158.91$ per unit.

Position size of 596.7264 $

Take profit at 154.6492 (2.68 %) and Stop Loss at 161.0404 (1.34 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 7.82
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.93
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.99
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.905294

15m : -0.008501

1H : 0.117978

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 1.420282376
Details
  1. score: 1.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 156.737
  4. ema21 : 159.514
  5. ema50 : 164.714
  6. ema100 : 168.664
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0138613
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0174117
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.031567
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0578322
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.387791
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.372292
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.261541
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.165333
  17. rsi : 0.461681
  18. adx : 0.514946
  19. kc_percentage : 0.479078
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.107125
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.241218
  22. volume_ema1 : 684573.02122794
  23. volume_ema2 : 902200.89767261
  24. chop : 41.7489
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 155.363
  29. ema21 : 155.109
  30. ema50 : 156.838
  31. ema100 : 159.539
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0228245
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00163905
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0110229
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00394403
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0254203
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0203144
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0664965
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0672932
  42. rsi : 0.611859
  43. adx : 0.29362
  44. kc_percentage : 0.903885
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0596212
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.222234
  47. volume_ema1 : 210908.18458169
  48. volume_ema2 : 271172.01312039
  49. chop : 49.5053
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 156.154
  54. ema21 : 154.924
  55. ema50 : 154.65
  56. ema100 : 155.002
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0176458
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00793829
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00177506
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0252084
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.179559
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0639726
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0130081
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00173854
  67. rsi : 0.701479
  68. adx : 0.233204
  69. kc_percentage : 1.17313
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0368614
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0140667
  72. volume_ema1 : 77317.894866418
  73. volume_ema2 : 76245.369120682
  74. chop : 31.5319
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    83502.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0222104
  81. 5m_price:
    85357.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.905294
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    85134.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0026229
  86. 15m_price:
    85357.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.008501
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89416.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0453973
  91. 1H_price:
    85357.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.117978
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
                        [1] => 179.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-18 21:00:00
                        [1] => 178.92
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                        [1] => 169.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 05:00:00
                        [1] => 176.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 163.55
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                        [1] => 179.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                        [1] => 159.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 20:00:00
                        [1] => 167.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 02:00:00
                        [1] => 146.93
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
                        [1] => 159.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20745583705286
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.0378411488464
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.2624378955965
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 20:15:00
                        [1] => 167.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 21:45:00
                        [1] => 161.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-20 23:30:00
                        [1] => 161.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 00:30:00
                        [1] => 164.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 02:30:00
                        [1] => 146.93
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                        [1] => 153.37
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
                        [1] => 148.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 09:30:00
                        [1] => 157.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                        [1] => 150.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
                        [1] => 159.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20745583705286
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1467178909717
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.3653043651056
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 05:10:00
                        [1] => 156.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 06:00:00
                        [1] => 153.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 06:05:00
                        [1] => 156
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 07:20:00
                        [1] => 148.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 08:15:00
                        [1] => 157.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 08:45:00
                        [1] => 156.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 09:25:00
                        [1] => 153.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 09:35:00
                        [1] => 157.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 11:05:00
                        [1] => 150.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-21 12:05:00
                        [1] => 159.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20745583705286
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1467178909717
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.3653043651056
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.37%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.9704
1.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.8292
3.77%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 05:10:00 156.18 ↑ High
2025-11-21 06:00:00 153.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 06:05:00 156 ↑ High
2025-11-21 07:20:00 148.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 08:15:00 157.38 ↑ High
2025-11-21 08:45:00 156.85 ↑ High
2025-11-21 09:25:00 153.62 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:35:00 157.55 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:05:00 150.97 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 12:05:00 159.07 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.37%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.8896
4.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.7192
4.99%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-20 20:15:00 167.93 ↑ High
2025-11-20 21:45:00 161.77 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 23:30:00 161.53 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 00:30:00 164.44 ↑ High
2025-11-21 02:30:00 146.93 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 05:00:00 153.37 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:15:00 148.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:30:00 157.55 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 150.97 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 12:00:00 159.07 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.04%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.5696
11.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.7192
4.99%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 11:00:00 179.54 ↑ High
2025-11-18 21:00:00 178.92 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 169.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 05:00:00 176.88 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 163.55 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 08:00:00 179.61 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 159.33 ↓ Low
2025-11-20 20:00:00 167.93 ↑ High
2025-11-21 02:00:00 146.93 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 12:00:00 159.07 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Nov 2025
12:09:28
21 Nov 2025
13:15:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
158.91 161.0404 154.6492 2 115.94
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 158.91
  • Stop Loss: 161.0404
  • Take Profit: 154.6492

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.0404 - 158.91 = 2.1304

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 158.91 - 154.6492 = 4.2608

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.2608 / 2.1304 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
596.7264 100 3.7551 5.97
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 2.1304

Taille de position = 8 / 2.1304 = 3.76

Taille de position USD = 3.76 x 158.91 = 597.5

Donc, tu peux acheter 3.76 avec un stoploss a 161.0404

Avec un position size USD de 597.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3.76 x 2.1304 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3.76 x 4.2608 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3.76
  • Taille de position USD 597.5
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.68 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.34 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.68
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2077 % 15.49 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 154.6492
            [stop_loss] => 161.0404
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 13:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.63
            [max_drawdown] => 0.58000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 7.98
            [high] => 159.49000000
            [low] => 154.28000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.91
            [mae_pct] => 0.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.98
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T12:09:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T14:09:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.27
            [max_drawdown] => 0.58000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 9.09
            [high] => 159.49000000
            [low] => 153.64000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.32
            [mae_pct] => 0.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T12:09:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T19:09:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 159.07000000
            [high_after] => 159.49000000
            [low_before] => 150.97000000
            [low_after] => 153.64000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)