Short Trade on MORPHO 21 Nov 2025 at 18:29:37
Take profit at 1.4874 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.5155 (0.62 %)
Short Trade on MORPHO 21 Nov 2025 at 18:29:37
Take profit at 1.4874 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.5155 (0.62 %)
Position size of 1285.4905 $
Take profit at 1.4874 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.5155 (0.62 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.93 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.97 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.760209 15m : -0.015276 1H : -0.066644 |
2 |
Indicators:
84440.1
0.0058587
84934.9
0.760209
84908.8
-0.00315967
84640.6
-0.015276
88501.5
-0.0403003
84934.9
-0.066644
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 1.7667
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 21:00:00
[1] => 1.8588
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 01:00:00
[1] => 1.7914
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 11:00:00
[1] => 1.9208
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
[1] => 1.8121
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 10:00:00
[1] => 1.9245
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:00:00
[1] => 1.7787
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 16:00:00
[1] => 1.871
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 02:00:00
[1] => 1.4208
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 15:00:00
[1] => 1.461
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -19.50293960449
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0869267624914
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 50
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8293918918919
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 04:30:00
[1] => 1.5205
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 06:00:00
[1] => 1.565
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
[1] => 1.5073
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:45:00
[1] => 1.5629
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 09:30:00
[1] => 1.5603
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 11:15:00
[1] => 1.4882
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 12:15:00
[1] => 1.5559
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 15:30:00
[1] => 1.461
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 17:15:00
[1] => 1.5083
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 18:00:00
[1] => 1.4775
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14585957700723
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9357021996616
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0846023688663
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 10:25:00
[1] => 1.5496
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 11:15:00
[1] => 1.4882
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 11:45:00
[1] => 1.4899
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 12:25:00
[1] => 1.5559
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 13:20:00
[1] => 1.4884
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 13:45:00
[1] => 1.5217
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 15:35:00
[1] => 1.461
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 17:15:00
[1] => 1.5083
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 18:05:00
[1] => 1.4775
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 18:25:00
[1] => 1.5061
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9357021996616
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9357021996616
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 10:25:00 | 1.5496 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 11:15:00 | 1.4882 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 11:45:00 | 1.4899 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 12:25:00 | 1.5559 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 13:20:00 | 1.4884 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 13:45:00 | 1.5217 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 15:35:00 | 1.461 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 17:15:00 | 1.5083 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 18:05:00 | 1.4775 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 18:25:00 | 1.5061 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 04:30:00 | 1.5205 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 06:00:00 | 1.565 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 07:15:00 | 1.5073 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 07:45:00 | 1.5629 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 09:30:00 | 1.5603 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 11:15:00 | 1.4882 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 12:15:00 | 1.5559 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 15:30:00 | 1.461 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 17:15:00 | 1.5083 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 18:00:00 | 1.4775 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 1.7667 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 21:00:00 | 1.8588 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 01:00:00 | 1.7914 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 11:00:00 | 1.9208 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 00:00:00 | 1.8121 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 10:00:00 | 1.9245 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 14:00:00 | 1.7787 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 16:00:00 | 1.871 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 02:00:00 | 1.4208 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 15:00:00 | 1.461 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 18:29:37 |
21 Nov 2025 19:00:00 |
30 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5061 | 1.5155 | 1.4874 | 1.99 | 1.8477 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.5155 - 1.5061 = 0.0094000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5061 - 1.4874 = 0.0187
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0187 / 0.0094000000000001 = 1.9894
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1285.4905 | 100 | 853.5227 | 12.85 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0094000000000001 = 851.06
Taille de position USD = 851.06 x 1.5061 = 1281.78
Donc, tu peux acheter 851.06 avec un stoploss a 1.5155
Avec un position size USD de 1281.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 851.06 x 0.0094000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 851.06 x 0.0187 = 15.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.91$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.24 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9959 % | 159.57 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4874
[entry_price] => 1.5061
[stop_loss] => 1.51644
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4874
[entry_price] => 1.5061
[stop_loss] => 1.51738
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4874
[entry_price] => 1.5061
[stop_loss] => 1.51832
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4874
[entry_price] => 1.5061
[stop_loss] => 1.5202
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0032000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.0234
[rr_ratio] => 0.14
[high] => 1.52950000
[low] => 1.50290000
[mfe_pct] => 0.21
[mae_pct] => 1.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T18:29:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-21T20:29:37-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0164
[max_drawdown] => 0.0234
[rr_ratio] => 0.7
[high] => 1.52950000
[low] => 1.48970000
[mfe_pct] => 1.09
[mae_pct] => 1.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-21T18:29:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-22T01:29:37-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.50830000
[high_after] => 1.52950000
[low_before] => 1.46100000
[low_after] => 1.49150000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)