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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 21 Nov 2025 at 18:59:11

Take profit at 171.2861 (0.57 %) and Stop Loss at 172.762 (0.29 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 21 Nov 2025 at 18:59:11

With 16.2612 MSTR at 172.27$ per unit.

Position size of 2801.3203 $

Take profit at 171.2861 (0.57 %) and Stop Loss at 172.762 (0.29 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.49
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.96
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.722296

15m : -0.004085

1H : 0.018681

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.3279786841
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.297
  4. ema21 : 173.716
  5. ema50 : 179.282
  6. ema100 : 185.241
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000157438
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00816801
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0310467
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0700263
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0251538
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.100943
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.178553
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.14697
  17. rsi : 0.45928
  18. adx : 0.36829
  19. kc_percentage : 0.421568
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0946197
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.487753
  22. volume_ema1 : 782759.71585102
  23. volume_ema2 : 1528091.1362268
  24. chop : 53.1127
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 171.559
  28. ema21 : 171.734
  29. ema50 : 172.218
  30. ema100 : 173.002
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00413929
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00101443
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00281177
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00423316
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00582935
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.02703
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0233558
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0206575
  41. rsi : 0.495759
  42. adx : 0.0749588
  43. kc_percentage : 0.634569
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0239724
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.930491
  46. volume_ema1 : 24920.985301111
  47. volume_ema2 : 358533.73363703
  48. chop : 86.5646
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 171.826
  52. ema21 : 171.623
  53. ema50 : 171.641
  54. ema100 : 171.773
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00258194
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00117907
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000102174
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00289044
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0268741
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0134385
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00157864
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0013364
  65. rsi : 0.620209
  66. adx : 0.130858
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08323
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00634419
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.796498
  70. volume_ema1 : 11006.132122853
  71. volume_ema2 : 54083.812527688
  72. chop : 52.8774
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    84395.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00852101
  78. 5m_price: 
    85115
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.722296
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84849.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00342975
  83. 15m_price: 
    85140.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.004085
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88505.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0383041
  88. 1H_price: 
    85115
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.018681
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 181.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 166.51
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8967649332008
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4592516965948
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.7862590835385
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
                    [1] => 167.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 09:30:00
                    [1] => 181.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 166.51
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
                    [1] => 176.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:15:00
                    [1] => 169.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 15:45:00
                    [1] => 169.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:00:00
                    [1] => 172.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:00:00
                    [1] => 170.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:45:00
                    [1] => 172.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.023213974812833
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77805077805079
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8014508014508
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:20:00
                    [1] => 169.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:50:00
                    [1] => 174.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 14:20:00
                    [1] => 174.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 14:50:00
                    [1] => 171.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 15:55:00
                    [1] => 169.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:00:00
                    [1] => 172.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:20:00
                    [1] => 171
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:45:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:05:00
                    [1] => 170.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:55:00
                    [1] => 172.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.023213974812833
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77805077805079
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8014508014508
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.6380
0.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7961
1.05%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 13:20:00 169.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 13:50:00 174.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 14:20:00 174.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 14:50:00 171.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 15:55:00 169.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:00:00 172.36 ↑ High
2025-11-21 17:20:00 171 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:45:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-11-21 18:05:00 170.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 18:55:00 172.31 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.80%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.3780
4.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.1261
2.99%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:15:00 167.45 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:30:00 181.14 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 166.51 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 12:00:00 176.7 ↑ High
2025-11-21 13:15:00 169.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 15:45:00 169.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:00:00 172.36 ↑ High
2025-11-21 18:00:00 170.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 18:45:00 172.31 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.90%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.46%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
35.4480
20.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.1261
2.99%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 08:00:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:00:00 181.14 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 166.51 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Nov 2025
18:59:11		 21 Nov 2025
19:40:00		 40 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
172.27 172.762 171.2861 2 130.46
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 172.27
  • Stop Loss: 172.762
  • Take Profit: 171.2861

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.762 - 172.27 = 0.49199999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 172.27 - 171.2861 = 0.98390000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.98390000000001 / 0.49199999999999 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2801.3203 100 16.2612 28.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.49199999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.49199999999999 = 16.26

Taille de position USD = 16.26 x 172.27 = 2801.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.26 avec un stoploss a 172.762

Avec un position size USD de 2801.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.26 x 0.49199999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.26 x 0.98390000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.26
  • Taille de position USD 2801.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.57 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.29 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4586 % 160.57 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.2861
            [entry_price] => 172.27
            [stop_loss] => 172.8112
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.2861
            [entry_price] => 172.27
            [stop_loss] => 172.8604
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.2861
            [entry_price] => 172.27
            [stop_loss] => 172.9096
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.2861
            [entry_price] => 172.27
            [stop_loss] => 173.008
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.97
            [max_drawdown] => 0.78999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2.49
            [high] => 173.06000000
            [low] => 170.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.14
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T18:59:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T20:59:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.97
            [max_drawdown] => 0.78999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2.49
            [high] => 173.06000000
            [low] => 170.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.14
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T18:59:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-22T01:59:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 173.49000000
            [high_after] => 173.06000000
            [low_before] => 169.80000000
            [low_after] => 170.30000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)