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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 21 Nov 2025 at 19:38:52

Take profit at 171.6736 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 172.7632 (0.21 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 21 Nov 2025 at 19:38:52

With 22.0266 MSTR at 172.4$ per unit.

Position size of 3797.3825 $

Take profit at 171.6736 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 172.7632 (0.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.45
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.92
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.95
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.69668

15m : -0.009106

1H : -0.066538

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.2421316933
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.317
  4. ema21 : 173.596
  5. ema50 : 179.043
  6. ema100 : 185.218
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0004776
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00736664
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0304231
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0692095
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0106919
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0960809
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.174477
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.147688
  17. rsi : 0.461485
  18. adx : 0.369232
  19. kc_percentage : 0.429683
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0857198
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.639457
  22. volume_ema1 : 529610.87220068
  23. volume_ema2 : 1468927.9815902
  24. chop : 54.2086
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 171.918
  28. ema21 : 171.88
  29. ema50 : 172.231
  30. ema100 : 172.966
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00279847
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000224901
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00203836
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00327278
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.02759
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00397132
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0131262
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0155674
  41. rsi : 0.520861
  42. adx : 0.0897828
  43. kc_percentage : 0.658208
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0193747
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.95383
  46. volume_ema1 : 14796.596710206
  47. volume_ema2 : 320485.00733263
  48. chop : 84.4969
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 172.185
  52. ema21 : 171.956
  53. ema50 : 171.79
  54. ema100 : 171.676
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00124829
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00133159
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00096677
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00421714
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0287773
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0236705
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0110448
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00623626
  65. rsi : 0.625178
  66. adx : 0.18525
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04543
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00456211
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.940619
  70. volume_ema1 : 2071.2324228091
  71. volume_ema2 : 34880.474211203
  72. chop : 68.4092
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    84499.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00824023
  78. 5m_price: 
    85195.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.69668
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84739.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00359215
  83. 15m_price: 
    85043.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.009106
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88447.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0367666
  88. 1H_price: 
    85195.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.066538
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 181.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 166.51
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6317765264436
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.747522671311
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.7862590835385
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
                    [1] => 167.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 09:30:00
                    [1] => 181.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 166.51
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
                    [1] => 176.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:15:00
                    [1] => 169.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 15:45:00
                    [1] => 169.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:00:00
                    [1] => 172.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:00:00
                    [1] => 170.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 19:30:00
                    [1] => 172.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0588510588511
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0588510588511
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:20:00
                    [1] => 169.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:50:00
                    [1] => 174.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 14:20:00
                    [1] => 174.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 14:50:00
                    [1] => 171.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 15:55:00
                    [1] => 169.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:00:00
                    [1] => 172.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:20:00
                    [1] => 171
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:45:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:05:00
                    [1] => 170.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 19:35:00
                    [1] => 172.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0588510588511
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0588510588511
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.06%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.06%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.6368
0.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1836
1.27%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 13:20:00 169.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 13:50:00 174.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 14:20:00 174.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 14:50:00 171.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 15:55:00 169.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:00:00 172.36 ↑ High
2025-11-21 17:20:00 171 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:45:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-11-21 18:05:00 170.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 19:35:00 172.75 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.06%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.06%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.3768
4.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5136
3.21%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:15:00 167.45 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:30:00 181.14 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 166.51 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 12:00:00 176.7 ↑ High
2025-11-21 13:15:00 169.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 15:45:00 169.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:00:00 172.36 ↑ High
2025-11-21 18:00:00 170.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 19:30:00 172.75 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.63%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.75%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
35.4468
20.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5136
3.21%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 08:00:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:00:00 181.14 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 166.51 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Nov 2025
19:38:52		 21 Nov 2025
19:40:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
172.4 172.7632 171.6736 2 133.73
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 172.4
  • Stop Loss: 172.7632
  • Take Profit: 171.6736

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.7632 - 172.4 = 0.36320000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 172.4 - 171.6736 = 0.72640000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.72640000000001 / 0.36320000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3797.3825 100 22.0266 37.97
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.36320000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.36320000000001 = 22.03

Taille de position USD = 22.03 x 172.4 = 3797.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 22.03 avec un stoploss a 172.7632

Avec un position size USD de 3797.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22.03 x 0.36320000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22.03 x 0.72640000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22.03
  • Taille de position USD 3797.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.42 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3828 % 181.68 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.6736
            [entry_price] => 172.4
            [stop_loss] => 172.79952
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.6736
            [entry_price] => 172.4
            [stop_loss] => 172.83584
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.6736
            [entry_price] => 172.4
            [stop_loss] => 172.87216
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.6736
            [entry_price] => 172.4
            [stop_loss] => 172.9448
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.1
            [max_drawdown] => 0.66
            [rr_ratio] => 3.18
            [high] => 173.06000000
            [low] => 170.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T19:38:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T21:38:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.1
            [max_drawdown] => 0.66
            [rr_ratio] => 3.18
            [high] => 173.06000000
            [low] => 170.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T19:38:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-22T02:38:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 172.75000000
            [high_after] => 173.06000000
            [low_before] => 169.80000000
            [low_after] => 170.30000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)